Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Penn State Nittany Lions prediction
Chance to win · 58% and 24% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2LostMinnesota1.70Confidence 61%
- Over/UnderWonU7.51.31Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonPenn State +1.51.62Confidence 56%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostMinnesota1.36Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonMinnesota or draw1.25Confidence 78%
- Draw no betPushMinnesota1.36Confidence 74%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonMinnesota2.22Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.68Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Minnesota 3–2
Penn State Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–010%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (3%), 4-3 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonMinnesota Golden Gophers
Penn State Nittany Lions
Head-to-head
Minnesota 1–4
Penn State - Oct 31, 2026: Minnesota Golden Gophers 4, Penn State Nittany Lions 3, after overtime.
- Mar 11, 2026: Penn State Nittany Lions 6, Minnesota Golden Gophers 2.
- Jan 10, 2026: Penn State Nittany Lions 5, Minnesota Golden Gophers 2.
- Jan 9, 2026: Penn State Nittany Lions 3, Minnesota Golden Gophers 0.
- Nov 22, 2025: Minnesota Golden Gophers 1, Penn State Nittany Lions 2.
Last five games
Minnesota
3-2-0 - Win, 5–3 against North Dakota Fighting Hawks, Oct 23. Odds: Minnesota 3.75, North Dakota 1.70.
- Win, 5–3 against North Dakota Fighting Hawks, Oct 22. Odds: Minnesota 3.90, North Dakota 1.62.
- Win, 3–2 at Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Minn. Duluth 1.64, Minnesota 3.60.
- Loss, 1–7 at Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs, Oct 16. Odds: Minn. Duluth 1.83, Minnesota 2.95.
- Loss, 1–3 at Michigan Tech Huskies, Oct 4.
Penn State
2-3-0 - Win, 3–2 against Canisius Golden Griffins, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Penn State 1.50, Canisius 4.80.
- Win, 5–1 against Canisius Golden Griffins, Oct 23. Odds: Penn State 1.47, Canisius 4.85.
- Loss, 2–5 against Robert Morris, Oct 20.
- Loss, 3–6 against Quinnipiac Bobcats, Oct 16. Odds: Penn State 3.00, Quinnipiac 1.75.
- Loss, 3–6 at Sacred Heart Pioneers, Oct 10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Minnesota Golden Gophers coming into this game.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Penn State Nittany Lions.
- 5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 1st vs 3rd in the NCAA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MGG) | 1.76 | 1.76 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PSN) | 3.10 | 3.10 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap MGG | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Big Ten
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Golden Gophers |
30 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 122 | 2.033 | 0 |
| 2 |  Michigan Wolverines |
30 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 123 | 2.050 | 0 |
| 3 | Penn State Nittany Lions |
30 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 105 | 1.750 | 0 |
| 4 |  Ohio State Buckeyes |
29 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 1.603 | 0 |
| 5 |  Michigan State Spartans |
32 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 92 | 1.438 | 0 |
| 6 |  Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
30 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 1.133 | 0 |
| 7 |  Wisconsin Badgers |
30 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 1.233 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Minnesota Golden Gophers host Penn State Nittany Lions in the NCAA on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.