Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Wisconsin Badgers prediction
Chance to win · 23% and 58% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2LostWisconsinodds down 2.03Confidence 61%
- Over/UnderLostO4.51.39Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonMinnesota +1.5odds up 1.40Confidence 57%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonWisconsinodds down 1.63Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonWisconsin or drawodds down 1.36Confidence 79%
- Draw no betPushWisconsinodds down 1.60Confidence 74%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostWisconsinodds down 2.50Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.83Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Nov 7, 2026: Minnesota Golden Gophers 0, Wisconsin Badgers 6.
- Jan 31, 2026: Minnesota Golden Gophers 8, Wisconsin Badgers 4.
- Jan 30, 2026: Minnesota Golden Gophers 4, Wisconsin Badgers 1.
- Nov 1, 2025: Wisconsin Badgers 4, Minnesota Golden Gophers 0.
- Oct 30, 2025: Wisconsin Badgers 5, Minnesota Golden Gophers 2.
Last five games
- Win, 4–3 against Penn State Nittany Lions, after overtime, Oct 31. Odds: Minnesota 1.67, Penn State 3.50.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Penn State Nittany Lions, after a shootout, Oct 30. Odds: Minnesota 1.76, Penn State 3.10.
- Win, 5–3 against North Dakota Fighting Hawks, Oct 23. Odds: Minnesota 3.75, North Dakota 1.70.
- Win, 5–3 against North Dakota Fighting Hawks, Oct 22. Odds: Minnesota 3.90, North Dakota 1.62.
- Win, 3–2 at Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Minn. Duluth 1.64, Minnesota 3.60.
- Win, 9–1 against Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Oct 31.
- Win, 7–1 against Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Oct 30. Odds: Wisconsin 1.33, Notre Dame 5.50.
- Win, 4–1 at Minnesota State Mavericks, Oct 10.
- Win, 4–0 at Minnesota State Mavericks, Oct 9. Odds: Minnesota State 3.15, Wisconsin 1.93.
- Win, 1–0 against Robert Morris, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for Wisconsin Badgers coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Wisconsin Badgers.
- +2.0 goals at home — Minnesota Golden Gophers averaged 3.8 at home and 1.8 away this season.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Minnesota Golden Gophers.
- 6.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MGG) | 2.70 | 2.80 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 3.95 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (WIS) | 1.86 | 2.02 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MGG | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Big Ten
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 122 | 2.033 | 0 | |
| 2 | 30 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 123 | 2.050 | 0 | |
| 3 | 30 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 105 | 1.750 | 0 | |
| 4 | 29 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 1.603 | 0 | |
| 5 | 32 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 92 | 1.438 | 0 | |
| 6 | 30 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 1.133 | 0 | |
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 1.233 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Minnesota Golden Gophers host Wisconsin Badgers in the NCAA on Thursday, November 5, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.