Minnesota State Mavericks vs St. Thomas Tommies prediction
Chance to win · 44% and 34% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonMinnesota Stateodds up 2.22Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.51.41Confidence 70%
- HandicapLostSt. Thomas +1.51.34Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonMinnesota State1.77Confidence 54%
- Double chanceWonMinnesota State or drawodds up 1.43Confidence 65%
- Draw no betWonMinnesota State1.76Confidence 56%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.08Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDraw2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 3 games; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Minnesota State 3–2
St. Thomas Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–020%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonMinnesota State Mavericks
St. Thomas Tommies
Head-to-head
Minnesota State 3–2
St. Thomas - Oct 23, 2026: St. Thomas Tommies 1, Minnesota State Mavericks 3.
- Mar 20, 2026: Minnesota State Mavericks 4, St. Thomas Tommies 1.
- Jan 10, 2026: Minnesota State Mavericks 2, St. Thomas Tommies 4.
- Nov 1, 2025: Minnesota State Mavericks 3, St. Thomas Tommies 4, after overtime.
- Oct 31, 2025: St. Thomas Tommies 1, Minnesota State Mavericks 3.
Last five games
Minnesota State
1-3-1 - Win, 3–1 at St. Thomas Tommies, Oct 23. Odds: St. Thomas 2.08, Minnesota State 2.70.
- Loss, 2–8 at Merrimack Warriors, Oct 17. Odds: Merrimack 1.95, Minnesota State 2.60.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Merrimack Warriors, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Merrimack 1.95, Minnesota State 2.67.
- Loss, 1–4 against Wisconsin Badgers, Oct 10.
- Loss, 0–4 against Wisconsin Badgers, Oct 9. Odds: Minnesota State 3.15, Wisconsin 1.93.
St. Thomas
2-3-0 - Loss, 1–3 against Minnesota State Mavericks, Oct 23. Odds: St. Thomas 2.08, Minnesota State 2.70.
- Win, 4–2 against Air Force Falcons, Oct 10. Odds: St. Thomas 1.47, Air Force 5.30.
- Loss, 1–5 against Air Force Falcons, Oct 9.
- Loss, 1–4 at Minnesota State Mavericks, Mar 20.
- Win, 2–1 against Augustana Vikings, Mar 14.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Minnesota State Mavericks and St. Thomas Tommies played yesterday.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Minnesota State Mavericks.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Minnesota State Mavericks.
- 5.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 1st vs 7th in the NCAA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MSM) | 2.30 | 2.30 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.95 | 3.95 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (STT) | 2.45 | 2.45 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MSM | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · CCHA
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota State Mavericks |
30 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 105 | 1.750 | 0 |
| 2 |  Michigan Tech Huskies |
32 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 1.406 | 0 |
| 3 |  Bowling Green Falcons |
30 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 101 | 1.683 | 0 |
| 4 |  Ferris State Bulldogs |
29 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75 | 1.293 | 0 |
| 5 |  Bemidji State Beavers |
30 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 1.350 | 0 |
| 6 |  Northern Michigan Wildcats |
28 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 1.393 | 0 |
| 7 | St. Thomas Tommies |
31 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 75 | 1.210 | 0 |
| 8 |  Lake Superior State Lakers |
30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 61 | 1.017 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Minnesota State Mavericks host St. Thomas Tommies in the NCAA on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.