Minnesota Wild vs New York Islanders prediction
Minnesota Wild 3–, New York Islanders 4
AOT
Puck drop 20:00 ET
1X2 1.891X2 3.40
Grand Casino Arena (Saint Paul, MN) · USAGrand Casino Arena (Saint Paul, MN)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
OT
MIN
1
1
1
0
NYI
1
1
1
1
61%Minnesota win · 49% in regulationMIN
Overtime or shootout · 23%OT / SO 23%
39%New York win · 28% in regulationNYI
Chance to win · 49% and 28% in regulation
Wallstedt J.StartedSV 91.5% · GAA 2.20 · 6-2-2
Sorokin I.StartedSV 90.5% · GAA 2.50 · 6-4-0
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Won
Islanders +2.5
odds down 1.31
Confidence70%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostWildodds down 1.83Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.38Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonIslanders +2.5odds down 1.31Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostWildodds up 1.47Confidence 62%
- Double chanceWonWild or drawodds up 1.24Confidence 72%
- Draw no betPushWildodds down 1.47Confidence 65%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.09Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostWildodds down 2.42Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.82Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Wild 4–2
Islanders
Total goalsTotal
6
Actual 7
Draw after 60 minDraw
23%
Went to overtime
Minnesota to winTo win
61%
NYI won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min3–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 2-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (3%), 5-3 (2%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Minnesota Wild
New York Islanders
Minnesota Wild
New York Islanders
Season recordMinnesota Wild 9-3-2New York Islanders 6-4-2
Home / road splitMinnesota Wild 4-0-0New York Islanders 2-3-1
StreakMinnesota Wild W3New York Islanders W1
RestMinnesota Wild 1 dayNew York Islanders 1 day
Goals forMinnesota Wild 3.1New York Islanders 3.0
Goals againstMinnesota Wild 2.2New York Islanders 2.7
In the standingsMinnesota Wild 1stNew York Islanders 5th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameMinnesota Wild +1.0New York Islanders −0.1
Goals forMinnesota Wild 3.3New York Islanders 2.8
Goals againstMinnesota Wild 2.3New York Islanders 2.9
Shots on goalMinnesota Wild 31.7New York Islanders 25.6
Shots againstMinnesota Wild 23.8New York Islanders 24.6
Shooting %Minnesota Wild 10.4%New York Islanders 10.9%
Save %Minnesota Wild 90.3%New York Islanders 89.4%
Power-play %Minnesota Wild 17.8%New York Islanders 11.4%
Penalty kill %Minnesota Wild 83.7%New York Islanders 88.6%
Faceoff %Minnesota Wild 49.6%New York Islanders 56.1%
Penalty minutesMinnesota Wild 10.9New York Islanders 11.1
HitsMinnesota Wild 22.9New York Islanders 23.8
Blocked shotsMinnesota Wild 13.3New York Islanders 15.3
Per game · MIN at home, NYI away
Goal differential per gameMinnesota Wild +1.2New York Islanders −1.1
Goals forMinnesota Wild 3.6New York Islanders 2.5
Goals againstMinnesota Wild 2.4New York Islanders 3.6
Shots on goalMinnesota Wild 29.2New York Islanders 22.0
Shots againstMinnesota Wild 29.7New York Islanders 29.2
Shooting %Minnesota Wild 12.3%New York Islanders 11.4%
Save %Minnesota Wild 92.6%New York Islanders 88.7%
Power-play %Minnesota Wild 22.5%New York Islanders 9.1%
Penalty kill %Minnesota Wild 73.7%New York Islanders 80.4%
Faceoff %Minnesota Wild 47.7%New York Islanders 51.4%
Penalty minutesMinnesota Wild 7.7New York Islanders 12.3
HitsMinnesota Wild 27.5New York Islanders 25.2
Blocked shotsMinnesota Wild 14.5New York Islanders 15.3
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Wild 2–2
Islanders
Goals a gameGoals
6.8
MIN 3.8 · NYI 3.0
Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5
3 of 4
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
1 of 4
1 in overtime
- Jan 10, 2026: Minnesota Wild 3, New York Islanders 4, after overtime.
- Nov 7, 2025: New York Islanders 2, Minnesota Wild 5.
- Apr 4, 2025: New York Islanders 3, Minnesota Wild 1.
- Feb 8, 2025: Minnesota Wild 6, New York Islanders 3.
Last five games
Wild
3-1-1 - Win, 3–1 at Utah Mammoth, Oct 27. Odds: Mammoth 2.25, Wild 2.55.
- Win, 4–2 at Vancouver Canucks, Oct 25. Odds: Canucks 3.65, Wild 1.72.
- Win, 5–1 at Seattle Kraken, Oct 24. Odds: Kraken 3.45, Wild 1.83.
- Loss, 1–2 at Calgary Flames, Oct 22. Odds: Flames 4.00, Wild 1.67.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Edmonton Oilers, after overtime, Oct 20. Odds: Oilers 2.12, Wild 2.80.
Islanders
3-1-1 - Win, 4–3 at Nashville Predators, after a shootout, Oct 27. Odds: Predators 2.20, Islanders 2.70.
- Loss, 3–6 at Dallas Stars, Oct 25. Odds: Stars 1.93, Islanders 3.34.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Los Angeles Kings, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: Islanders 2.50, Kings 2.40.
- Win, 3–2 against Anaheim Ducks, Oct 20. Odds: Islanders 2.02, Ducks 2.92.
- Win, 4–1 at Toronto Maple Leafs, Oct 17. Odds: Maple Leafs 2.17, Islanders 2.77.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 00:27 Goal Minnesota Wild: Eriksson Ek J. assists: Kaprizov K., Hughes Q. 1-0
- 07:14 2 min New York Islanders: Palmieri K. Hooking
- 16:36 Goal New York Islanders: Schaefer M. assists: Heineman E., Eklund V. 1-1
2nd period1-1
- 00:57 2 min Minnesota Wild: Maatta O. Tripping
- 01:41 Goal PPG New York Islanders: Horvat B. assists: Holmstrom S., Schaefer M. 1-2
- 06:40 2 min New York Islanders: Pageau J. Tripping
- 17:21 Goal Minnesota Wild: Hughes Q. assists: Hartman R., Brodin J. 2-2
3rd period1-1
- 04:17 2 min New York Islanders: Pelech A. Tripping
- 07:14 Goal New York Islanders: Pelech A. 2-3
- 10:43 2 min Minnesota Wild: Eriksson Ek J. Tripping
- 16:07 Goal Minnesota Wild: Boldy M. 3-3
Overtime0-1
- 00:33 Goal New York Islanders: Schaefer M. assists: Pageau J. 3-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Minnesota Wild coming into this game.
- In goal: Wallstedt J. for Minnesota Wild (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts), Sorokin I. for New York Islanders (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Minnesota Wild +1.0, New York Islanders −0.1 over their recent games.
- +0.9 goals at home — Minnesota Wild averaged 3.8 at home and 2.9 away this season.
- −1.0 goals away — New York Islanders averaged 3.5 at home and 2.5 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MIN) | 1.89 | 1.89 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NYI) | 3.40 | 3.40 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MIN | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Wild |
20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | .750 | 65 | 44 | +21 |
| 2 |  Colorado Avalanche |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 78 | 59 | +19 |
| 3 |  Nashville Predators |
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 51 | +4 |
| 4 |  Dallas Stars |
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .647 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 5 |  Utah Mammoth |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 63 | 63 | 0 |
| 6 |  Winnipeg Jets |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 53 | 65 | −12 |
| 7 |  St. Louis Blues |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 53 | 55 | −2 |
| 8 |  Chicago Blackhawks |
18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 9 | .250 | 39 | 76 | −37 |
Regular Season · Metropolitan Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Carolina Hurricanes |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | .789 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 |  New Jersey Devils |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 68 | 55 | +13 |
| 3 |  New York Rangers |
19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .553 | 56 | 55 | +1 |
| 4 |  Washington Capitals |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 56 | 53 | +3 |
| 5 | New York Islanders |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .529 | 49 | 52 | −3 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Flyers |
20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | .375 | 45 | 66 | −21 |
| 7 |  Columbus Blue Jackets |
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .438 | 41 | 51 | −10 |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh Penguins |
18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .389 | 58 | 65 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Minnesota Wild host New York Islanders in the NHL on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.