Mjolby vs Grastorps prediction
Chance to win · 79% and 9% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Full game
- 1X2LostMjolbyodds down 1.50Confidence 76%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.26Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostMjolby -1.51.79Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostMjolby1.28Confidence 84%
- Double chanceLostMjolby or drawodds down 1.20Confidence 89%
- Banker of the day: Draw no betLostMjolbyodds down 1.25Confidence 95%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostMjolby1.96Confidence 56%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.66Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–46%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–213%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (6%), 5-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Feb 18, 2026: Grastorps 6, Mjolby 5.
- Oct 29, 2025: Mjolby 6, Grastorps 4.
Last five games
- Loss, 3–5 at Halmstad, Oct 21. Odds: Halmstad 1.65, Mjolby 3.65.
- Win, 5–2 against Troja/Ljungby, Oct 16. Odds: Mjolby 2.03, Troja/Ljungby 2.84.
- Win, 3–2 against Dalen, Oct 11.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Tyringe, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Tyringe 3.00, Mjolby 1.89.
- Loss, 2–4 at Mariestad, Oct 2.
- Loss, 2–3 against Boro Vetlanda HC, Oct 21. Odds: Grastorps 3.20, Boro/Vetlanda 1.80.
- Loss, 0–3 at Tingsryd, Oct 18. Odds: Tingsryd 1.28, Grastorps 7.40.
- Loss, 3–6 at Boras, Oct 14. Odds: Boras 1.27, Grastorps 8.24.
- Win, 5–3 against Huddinge, Oct 9. Odds: Grastorps 2.32, Huddinge 2.48.
- Loss, 2–5 against Tranas, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 03:31 Goal Grastorps: Sandstrom V. assists: Lofstrom L., Svensson S. 0-1
- 17:36 Goal PPG Grastorps: Cederqvist O. assists: Berntsson R., Sterner A. 0-2
2nd period1-1
- 05:08 Goal PPG Mjolby: Lindblad A. assists: Sikl A., Lillsund S. 1-2
- 19:21 Goal Grastorps: Casselsten O. assists: Boris L. 1-3
3rd period2-1
- 03:51 Goal Grastorps: Jansson A. assists: Bolinder V. 1-4
- 12:36 Goal Mjolby: Persson S. 2-4
- 17:26 Goal Mjolby: Karlsson O. assists: Sikl A., Lindblad A. 3-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Grastorps coming into this game.
- +2.3 goals at home — Mjolby averaged 4.8 at home and 2.5 away this season.
- 15th vs 18th in the HockeyEttan Sodra standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MJO) | 1.48 | 1.50 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.80 | 4.70 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (GRA) | 4.68 | 4.65 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap MJO | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Sodra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 1.042 | 53 | 25 | +28 | |
| 2 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 1.136 | 49 | 27 | +22 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 1.150 | 51 | 28 | +23 | |
| 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 1.150 | 34 | 16 | +18 | |
| 5 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 1.100 | 34 | 20 | +14 | |
| 6 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 1.000 | 34 | 23 | +11 | |
| 7 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | .864 | 34 | 33 | +1 | |
| 8 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | .900 | 33 | 27 | +6 | |
| 9 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | .773 | 34 | 36 | −2 | |
| 10 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .727 | 41 | 43 | −2 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | .682 | 27 | 33 | −6 | |
| 12 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 14 | .636 | 36 | 34 | +2 | |
| 13 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14 | .636 | 31 | 36 | −5 | |
| 14 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 14 | .636 | 33 | 42 | −9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13 | .650 | 33 | 32 | +1 | |
| 16 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 10 | .455 | 30 | 47 | −17 | |
| 17 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 9 | .409 | 23 | 41 | −18 | |
| 18 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 9 | .409 | 25 | 47 | −22 | |
| 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9 | .409 | 15 | 43 | −28 | |
| 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 24 | 41 | −17 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Mjolby host Grastorps in the HockeyEttan Sodra on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.