Mjolby vs Troja/Ljungby prediction
Chance to win · 44% and 34% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonMjolbyodds down 2.23Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.34Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostTroja/Ljungby +1.5odds down 1.38Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonMjolbyodds down 1.65Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonMjolby or drawodds down 1.53Confidence 68%
- Draw no betWonMjolbyodds down 1.77Confidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.07Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostMjolbyodds down 2.46Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.72Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Mjolby 3–2
Troja/Ljungby Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min5–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–17%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonMjolby
Troja/Ljungby
Last five games
Mjolby
3-1-1 - Win, 3–2 against Dalen, Oct 11.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Tyringe, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Tyringe 3.00, Mjolby 1.89.
- Loss, 2–4 at Mariestad, Oct 2.
- Win, 7–1 against Nykoping, Sep 30.
- Win, 4–2 against Grums, Sep 27.
Troja/Ljungby
2-1-2 - Overtime loss, 3–4 against Boro Vetlanda HC, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Troja/Ljungby 1.67, Boro/Vetlanda 3.75.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at Vastervik, after a shootout, Oct 7.
- Win, 5–4 against Morrums GoIS, Sep 30.
- Loss, 2–4 at Tranas, Sep 27.
- Win, 5–2 against Tingsryd, Sep 25.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 07:54 Goal Troja/Ljungby: Ek Koskela H. assists: Rupi N., Kakela L. 0-1
2nd period0-1
- 09:35 Goal Troja/Ljungby: Ek Koskela H. assists: Dynell E. 0-2
3rd period5-0
- 02:25 Goal PPG Mjolby: Sikl A. 1-2
- 03:08 Goal Mjolby: Rapp C. assists: Lundqvist E. 2-2
- 17:21 Goal PPG Mjolby: Karlsson O. 3-2
- 19:02 Goal PPG Mjolby: Lundqvist E. assists: Rapp C., Lindblad A. 4-2
- 19:17 Goal PPG Mjolby: Karlsson A. assists: Forsell M., Lillsund S. 5-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Troja/Ljungby, 4 for Mjolby.
- 15th vs 16th in the HockeyEttan Sodra standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MJO) | 2.24 | 2.03 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.97 | 3.96 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (TRO) | 2.50 | 2.84 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MJO | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Sodra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boras |
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 1.042 | 53 | 25 | +28 |
| 2 |  Tingsryd |
11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 1.136 | 49 | 27 | +22 |
| 3 |  Mariestad |
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 1.150 | 51 | 28 | +23 |
| 4 |  Karlskrona |
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 1.150 | 34 | 16 | +18 |
| 5 |  Vita Hasten |
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 1.100 | 34 | 20 | +14 |
| 6 |  Dalen |
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 1.000 | 34 | 23 | +11 |
| 7 |  Boro Vetlanda HC |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | .864 | 34 | 33 | +1 |
| 8 |  Halmstad |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | .900 | 33 | 27 | +6 |
| 9 |  Tranas |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | .773 | 34 | 36 | −2 |
| 10 |  Vastervik |
11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .727 | 41 | 43 | −2 |
| 11 |  Huddinge |
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | .682 | 27 | 33 | −6 |
| 12 |  Tyringe |
11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 14 | .636 | 36 | 34 | +2 |
| 13 |  Hanvikens |
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14 | .636 | 31 | 36 | −5 |
| 14 |  Kungalvs |
11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 14 | .636 | 33 | 42 | −9 |
| 15 | Mjolby |
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13 | .650 | 33 | 32 | +1 |
| 16 | Troja/Ljungby |
11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 10 | .455 | 30 | 47 | −17 |
| 17 |  Morrums GoIS |
11 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 9 | .409 | 23 | 41 | −18 |
| 18 |  Grastorps |
11 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 9 | .409 | 25 | 47 | −22 |
| 19 |  Nykoping |
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9 | .409 | 15 | 43 | −28 |
| 20 |  Grums |
10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 24 | 41 | −17 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Mjolby host Troja/Ljungby in the HockeyEttan Sodra on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.