Mlada Boleslav vs Ceske Budejovice prediction
Mlada Boleslav 3–, Ceske Budejovice 2
AP
Puck drop 11:00 ET
1X2 2.301X2 2.55
SKO-ENERGO Arena (Mlada Boleslav) · Czech RepublicSKO-ENERGO Arena (Mlada Boleslav)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
OT
SO
MLA
1
1
0
0
1
CES
0
0
2
0
0
41%Mlada Boleslav win · 31% in regulationMLA
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
59%Ceske Budejovice win · 47% in regulationCES
Chance to win · 31% and 47% in regulation
Mokry V.StartedSV 92.3% · GAA 2.40 · 4-4-2
Kloucek M.StartedSV 91.8% · GAA 2.40 · 4-5-1
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Won
C. Budejovice +1.5
odds up 1.30
Confidence73%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2LostC. Budejoviceodds up 2.57Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.30Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonC. Budejovice +1.5odds up 1.30Confidence 73%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostC. Budejoviceodds up 1.98Confidence 61%
- Double chanceWonC. Budejovice or drawodds up 1.53Confidence 70%
- Draw no betPushC. Budejoviceodds up 1.95Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.12Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostC. Budejoviceodds up 3.00Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.18Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 3% since they opened.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Mlada Boleslav 1–4
C. Budejovice
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 5
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Went to a shootout
CES to winTo win
59%
MLA won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min2–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period1–018%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-1, 1-2, 0-1
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 1-3 (4%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Mlada Boleslav
Ceske Budejovice
Mlada Boleslav
Ceske Budejovice
Season recordMlada Boleslav 4-8-1Ceske Budejovice 7-5-1
Home / road splitMlada Boleslav 2-4-0Ceske Budejovice 3-4-0
StreakMlada Boleslav L1Ceske Budejovice W1
RestMlada Boleslav 2 daysCeske Budejovice 1 day
Goals forMlada Boleslav 2.2Ceske Budejovice 2.9
Goals againstMlada Boleslav 3.5Ceske Budejovice 2.8
In the standingsMlada Boleslav 12thCeske Budejovice 5th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameMlada Boleslav −1.6Ceske Budejovice −0.1
Goals forMlada Boleslav 2.0Ceske Budejovice 3.1
Goals againstMlada Boleslav 3.6Ceske Budejovice 3.2
Shots on goalMlada Boleslav 27.7Ceske Budejovice 25.2
Shots againstMlada Boleslav 32.3Ceske Budejovice 32.9
Shooting %Mlada Boleslav 7.2%Ceske Budejovice 12.3%
Save %Mlada Boleslav 90.4%Ceske Budejovice 91.2%
Power-play %Mlada Boleslav 8.9%Ceske Budejovice 22.4%
Penalty kill %Mlada Boleslav 81.3%Ceske Budejovice 76.6%
Faceoff %Mlada Boleslav 42.8%Ceske Budejovice 45.4%
Penalty minutesMlada Boleslav 12.0Ceske Budejovice 12.3
HitsMlada Boleslav 4.2Ceske Budejovice 6.5
Blocked shotsMlada Boleslav 16.4Ceske Budejovice 18.2
Per game · MLA at home, CES away
Goal differential per gameMlada Boleslav −1.3Ceske Budejovice −0.6
Goals forMlada Boleslav 2.0Ceske Budejovice 2.1
Goals againstMlada Boleslav 3.3Ceske Budejovice 2.7
Shots on goalMlada Boleslav 28.9Ceske Budejovice 24.9
Shots againstMlada Boleslav 28.8Ceske Budejovice 31.0
Shooting %Mlada Boleslav 6.9%Ceske Budejovice 8.4%
Save %Mlada Boleslav 90.3%Ceske Budejovice 92.3%
Power-play %Mlada Boleslav 7.0%Ceske Budejovice 11.1%
Penalty kill %Mlada Boleslav 81.6%Ceske Budejovice 88.6%
Faceoff %Mlada Boleslav 42.0%Ceske Budejovice 45.1%
Penalty minutesMlada Boleslav 12.1Ceske Budejovice 10.6
HitsMlada Boleslav 5.2Ceske Budejovice 6.2
Blocked shotsMlada Boleslav 16.1Ceske Budejovice 19.6
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Mlada Boleslav 2–3
C. Budejovice
Goals a gameGoals
5.6
MLA 2.6 · CES 3.0
Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0
3 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
2 of 5
1 in overtime · 1 in a shootout
- Sep 16, 2026: Ceske Budejovice 2, Mlada Boleslav 3, after overtime.
- Mar 1, 2026: Ceske Budejovice 3, Mlada Boleslav 0.
- Jan 2, 2026: Mlada Boleslav 4, Ceske Budejovice 2.
- Nov 21, 2025: Ceske Budejovice 4, Mlada Boleslav 3, after a shootout.
- Oct 3, 2025: Mlada Boleslav 3, Ceske Budejovice 4.
Last five games
Mlada Boleslav
2-3-0 - Loss, 2–4 at Olomouc, Oct 22. Odds: Olomouc 3.10, Mlada Boleslav 2.05.
- Win, 4–3 against Mountfield HK, Oct 18. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.40, Hradec Kralove 2.18.
- Loss, 0–3 at Trinec, Oct 16. Odds: Trinec 1.40, Mlada Boleslav 5.00.
- Win, 2–1 against Litvinov, Oct 11. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.17, Litvinov 2.77.
- Loss, 3–4 at Kladno, Oct 9. Odds: Kladno 1.77, Mlada Boleslav 3.50.
C. Budejovice
3-2-0 - Win, 6–2 at Trinec, Oct 23. Odds: Trinec 1.46, C. Budejovice 5.00.
- Loss, 2–3 against Kladno, Oct 18. Odds: C. Budejovice 2.26, Kladno 2.69.
- Win, 3–1 at Vitkovice, Oct 16. Odds: Vitkovice 2.25, C. Budejovice 2.69.
- Win, 4–3 against Liberec, Oct 11. Odds: C. Budejovice 2.47, Liberec 2.37.
- Loss, 1–4 at Plzen, Oct 8.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 13:12 2 min Ceske Budejovice: Lantosi R. Tripping
- 14:18 Goal PPG Mlada Boleslav: Skalicky P. assists: Hyka T., Gardon M. 1-0
- 20:00 2 min Ceske Budejovice: Beranek M. Roughing
- 20:00 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Kubicek S. Roughing
2nd period1-0
- 04:00 5 min Mlada Boleslav: Kubicek S. Fighting
- 04:00 5 min Ceske Budejovice: Beranek M. Fighting
- 11:09 2 min Ceske Budejovice: Pour J. Tripping
- 12:49 Goal PPG Mlada Boleslav: Hyka T. assists: Fort T., Gardon M. 2-0
- 18:33 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Gardon M. Too many men on the ice
3rd period0-2
- 03:12 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Moravec D. Hooking
- 05:01 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Lichtag J. Tripping
- 10:10 Goal Ceske Budejovice: Beranek M. assists: Kundratek T., Toman M. 2-1
- 11:29 2 min Ceske Budejovice: Hejduk M. High sticking
- 12:37 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Gardon M. Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 16:33 Goal Ceske Budejovice: Vrablik R. assists: Nedorost V. 2-2
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout1-0
-
Round 1
Gardon M.
✗missed
Kolacek J.
✗missed
-
Round 2
Gavars F.
✓scored
Olesen N.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Zamorsky P.
✗missed
Lantosi R.
✗missed
-
Round 4
Morand A.
✗missed
Stencel J.
✗missed
-
Round 5
—
Krastenbergs R.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Mokry V. for Mlada Boleslav (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts), Kloucek M. for Ceske Budejovice (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.5 per game — Mlada Boleslav −1.6, Ceske Budejovice −0.1 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Ceske Budejovice.
- −1.1 goals away — Ceske Budejovice averaged 3.5 at home and 2.4 away this season.
- 5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MLA) | 2.30 | 2.30 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (CES) | 2.55 | 2.55 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap MLA | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Trinec |
16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 |
| 2 |  Pardubice |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 |
| 3 |  Kladno |
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 |
| 4 |  Karlovy Vary |
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 |
| 5 | Ceske Budejovice |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 |
| 6 |  Sparta Prague |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 |
| 7 |  Plzen |
17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 |
| 8 |  Liberec |
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 |
| 9 |  Mountfield HK |
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 |
| 10 |  Kometa Brno |
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 |
| 11 |  Litvinov |
17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 |
| 12 | Mlada Boleslav |
17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 |
| 13 |  Vitkovice |
15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 |
| 14 |  Olomouc |
17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Mlada Boleslav host Ceske Budejovice in the Extraliga on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.