Mlada Boleslav vs Mountfield HK prediction
Mlada Boleslav 4–, Mountfield HK 3
FT
Puck drop 10:00 ET
1X2 2.401X2 2.18
SKO-ENERGO Arena (Mlada Boleslav) · Czech RepublicSKO-ENERGO Arena (Mlada Boleslav)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
MLA
0
4
0
MOU
1
1
1
40%Mlada Boleslav win · 30% in regulationMLA
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
60%Mountfield HK win · 48% in regulationMOU
Chance to win · 30% and 48% in regulation
Furch D.StartedSV 89.2% · GAA 3.20 · 1-7-2
Vomacka T.StartedSV 91.6% · GAA 2.56 · 5-3-1
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Won
Hradec Kralove +1.5
odds down 1.26
Confidence74%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostHradec Kraloveodds down 2.47Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO3.51.27Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonHradec Kralove +1.5odds down 1.26Confidence 74%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostHradec Kraloveodds down 1.92Confidence 62%
- Double chanceLostHradec Kralove or drawodds down 1.48Confidence 71%
- Draw no betLostHradec Kraloveodds down 1.84Confidence 64%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.12Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.30Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.51.67Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Mlada Boleslav 1–4
Hradec Kralove
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 7
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Decided in regulation
MOU to winTo win
60%
MLA won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min4–35%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–123%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 5 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-0, 1-2, 0-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (5%), 1-3 (5%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Mlada Boleslav
Mountfield HK
Mlada Boleslav
Mountfield HK
Season recordMlada Boleslav 3-7-1Mountfield HK 7-4-0
Home / road splitMlada Boleslav 1-4-0Mountfield HK 3-3-0
StreakMlada Boleslav L1Mountfield HK W2
RestMlada Boleslav 1 dayMountfield HK 2 days
Goals forMlada Boleslav 2.1Mountfield HK 2.9
Goals againstMlada Boleslav 3.5Mountfield HK 2.5
In the standingsMlada Boleslav 12thMountfield HK 9th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameMlada Boleslav −1.6Mountfield HK +0.2
Goals forMlada Boleslav 2.0Mountfield HK 2.6
Goals againstMlada Boleslav 3.6Mountfield HK 2.4
Shots on goalMlada Boleslav 28.7Mountfield HK 31.8
Shots againstMlada Boleslav 31.4Mountfield HK 28.5
Shooting %Mlada Boleslav 7.0%Mountfield HK 8.2%
Save %Mlada Boleslav 90.1%Mountfield HK 91.6%
Power-play %Mlada Boleslav 5.3%Mountfield HK 21.2%
Penalty kill %Mlada Boleslav 80.4%Mountfield HK 87.5%
Faceoff %Mlada Boleslav 43.1%Mountfield HK 49.0%
Penalty minutesMlada Boleslav 11.9Mountfield HK 8.3
HitsMlada Boleslav 3.5Mountfield HK 3.9
Blocked shotsMlada Boleslav 15.3Mountfield HK 20.3
Per game · MLA at home, MOU away
Goal differential per gameMlada Boleslav −1.3Mountfield HK −0.4
Goals forMlada Boleslav 1.7Mountfield HK 2.5
Goals againstMlada Boleslav 3.0Mountfield HK 2.9
Shots on goalMlada Boleslav 29.4Mountfield HK 27.9
Shots againstMlada Boleslav 26.8Mountfield HK 30.8
Shooting %Mlada Boleslav 5.8%Mountfield HK 9.0%
Save %Mlada Boleslav 90.7%Mountfield HK 90.9%
Power-play %Mlada Boleslav 5.3%Mountfield HK 16.0%
Penalty kill %Mlada Boleslav 83.3%Mountfield HK 83.3%
Faceoff %Mlada Boleslav 42.6%Mountfield HK 46.8%
Penalty minutesMlada Boleslav 11.7Mountfield HK 10.8
HitsMlada Boleslav 5.0Mountfield HK 4.0
Blocked shotsMlada Boleslav 15.2Mountfield HK 16.7
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Mlada Boleslav 2–3
Hradec Kralove
Goals a gameGoals
3.0
MLA 1.2 · MOU 1.8
Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0
0 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
2 of 5
2 in a shootout
- Mar 6, 2026: Mountfield HK 3, Mlada Boleslav 1.
- Jan 13, 2026: Mlada Boleslav 2, Mountfield HK 0.
- Nov 25, 2025: Mountfield HK 0, Mlada Boleslav 1, after a shootout.
- Oct 10, 2025: Mlada Boleslav 2, Mountfield HK 3, after a shootout.
- Mar 28, 2025: Mountfield HK 3, Mlada Boleslav 0.
Last five games
Mlada Boleslav
1-3-1 - Loss, 0–3 at Trinec, Oct 16. Odds: Trinec 1.40, Mlada Boleslav 5.00.
- Win, 2–1 against Litvinov, Oct 11. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.17, Litvinov 2.77.
- Loss, 3–4 at Kladno, Oct 9. Odds: Kladno 1.77, Mlada Boleslav 3.50.
- Loss, 3–5 against Liberec, Oct 4.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Kometa Brno, after a shootout, Oct 2.
Hradec Kralove
4-1-0 - Win, 4–1 at Litvinov, Oct 15. Odds: Litvinov 2.70, Hradec Kralove 2.02.
- Win, 3–1 against Olomouc, Oct 11. Odds: Hradec Kralove 1.56, Olomouc 4.60.
- Loss, 2–5 at Trinec, Oct 9. Odds: Trinec 1.63, Hradec Kralove 4.10.
- Win, 3–2 against Vitkovice, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–3 at Kladno, after a shootout, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 07:38 2 min Mountfield HK: Miskar P. Roughing
- 07:38 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Lichtag J. Roughing
- 08:01 2 min Mountfield HK: McCormack G. Tripping
- 13:53 2 min Mountfield HK: Radil L. Tripping
- 14:10 Goal SHG Mountfield HK: Vukojevic M. assists: Miskar P., Pavlik R. 0-1
- 16:47 2 min Mountfield HK: Zdrahal P. High sticking
- 20:00 2 min Mountfield HK: Perret J. Slashing
2nd period4-1
- 00:51 Goal PPG Mlada Boleslav: Hyka T. assists: Zamorsky P., Gardon M. 1-1
- 01:29 Goal Mlada Boleslav: Gavars F. assists: Moravec D. 2-1
- 02:23 Goal Mlada Boleslav: Gardon M. 3-1
- 05:56 Goal Mlada Boleslav: Skalicky P. assists: Hyka T., Moravec D. 4-1
- 07:45 2 min Mountfield HK: Cacho V. Slashing
- 12:48 Goal Mountfield HK: Klima Kev. assists: Vukojevic M. 4-2
- 14:28 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Hyka T. Tripping
- 16:42 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Moravec D. Slashing
- 19:16 2 min Mountfield HK: Zdrahal P. Slashing
3rd period0-1
- 03:35 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Rekonen A. Holding
- 04:51 Goal PPG Mountfield HK: Radil L. assists: Koch A., Kousal R. 4-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 1-4-0 at home for Mlada Boleslav this season.
- In goal: Furch D. for Mlada Boleslav (1-7-2 in the last 10 starts), Vomacka T. for Mountfield HK (5-3-1 in the last 9 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.8 per game — Mlada Boleslav −1.6, Mountfield HK +0.2 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Mountfield HK.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Mlada Boleslav.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MLA) | 2.40 | 2.40 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.75 | 3.75 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MOU) | 2.18 | 2.18 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap MLA | −0.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Trinec |
16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 |
| 2 |  Pardubice |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 |
| 3 |  Kladno |
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 |
| 4 |  Karlovy Vary |
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 |
| 5 |  Ceske Budejovice |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 |
| 6 |  Sparta Prague |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 |
| 7 |  Plzen |
17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 |
| 8 |  Liberec |
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 |
| 9 | Mountfield HK |
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 |
| 10 |  Kometa Brno |
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 |
| 11 |  Litvinov |
17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 |
| 12 | Mlada Boleslav |
17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 |
| 13 |  Vitkovice |
15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 |
| 14 |  Olomouc |
17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Mlada Boleslav host Mountfield HK in the Extraliga on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.