Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prague prediction
Mlada Boleslav 1–, Sparta Prague 4
FT
Puck drop 12:30 ET
1X2 odds up 3.301X2 odds down 1.90
SKO-ENERGO Arena (Mlada Boleslav) · Czech RepublicSKO-ENERGO Arena (Mlada Boleslav)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
MLA
0
1
0
SPA
1
1
2
42%Mlada Boleslav win · 32% in regulationMLA
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
58%Sparta Prague win · 46% in regulationSPA
Chance to win · 32% and 46% in regulation
Mokry V.Surprise startSV 92.5% · GAA 2.30 · 6-4-0
Kovar J.StartedSV 90.5% · GAA 2.20 · 5-4-1
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Lost
Mlada Boleslav +1.5
odds up 1.37
Confidence66%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonSparta Pragueodds down 2.00Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.28Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostMlada Boleslav +1.5odds up 1.37Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSparta Pragueodds down 1.62Confidence 59%
- Double chanceWonSparta Prague or drawodds down 1.32Confidence 69%
- Draw no betWonSparta Pragueodds down 1.57Confidence 61%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.14Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.47Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds up 1.67Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Mlada Boleslav 1–2
Sparta Prague
Total goalsTotal
3
Actual 5
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Decided in regulation
SPA to winTo win
58%
SPA won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min1–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–123%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
- Likeliest 1-2 (4%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Mlada Boleslav
Sparta Prague
Mlada Boleslav
Sparta Prague
Season recordMlada Boleslav 6-8-1Sparta Prague 6-7-2
Home / road splitMlada Boleslav 3-4-0Sparta Prague 3-4-1
StreakMlada Boleslav W2Sparta Prague L1
RestMlada Boleslav 2 daysSparta Prague 2 days
Goals forMlada Boleslav 2.3Sparta Prague 2.5
Goals againstMlada Boleslav 3.3Sparta Prague 2.6
In the standingsMlada Boleslav 12thSparta Prague 6th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameMlada Boleslav −0.8Sparta Prague −0.3
Goals forMlada Boleslav 2.1Sparta Prague 2.4
Goals againstMlada Boleslav 2.9Sparta Prague 2.7
Shots on goalMlada Boleslav 28.0Sparta Prague 32.5
Shots againstMlada Boleslav 31.8Sparta Prague 27.3
Shooting %Mlada Boleslav 7.5%Sparta Prague 7.4%
Save %Mlada Boleslav 92.1%Sparta Prague 90.5%
Power-play %Mlada Boleslav 13.3%Sparta Prague 10.9%
Penalty kill %Mlada Boleslav 87.5%Sparta Prague 91.3%
Faceoff %Mlada Boleslav 45.0%Sparta Prague 51.2%
Penalty minutesMlada Boleslav 12.3Sparta Prague 12.2
HitsMlada Boleslav 5.2Sparta Prague 6.6
Blocked shotsMlada Boleslav 15.1Sparta Prague 19.7
Per game · MLA at home, SPA away
Goal differential per gameMlada Boleslav −1.2Sparta Prague −0.3
Goals forMlada Boleslav 2.0Sparta Prague 2.5
Goals againstMlada Boleslav 3.2Sparta Prague 2.8
Shots on goalMlada Boleslav 29.5Sparta Prague 31.4
Shots againstMlada Boleslav 28.9Sparta Prague 27.9
Shooting %Mlada Boleslav 6.8%Sparta Prague 8.0%
Save %Mlada Boleslav 90.7%Sparta Prague 90.3%
Power-play %Mlada Boleslav 9.1%Sparta Prague 11.9%
Penalty kill %Mlada Boleslav 85.7%Sparta Prague 84.1%
Faceoff %Mlada Boleslav 42.5%Sparta Prague 50.6%
Penalty minutesMlada Boleslav 13.2Sparta Prague 9.7
HitsMlada Boleslav 5.7Sparta Prague 5.0
Blocked shotsMlada Boleslav 16.3Sparta Prague 18.3
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Mlada Boleslav 1–4
Sparta Prague
Goals a gameGoals
5.8
MLA 2.0 · SPA 3.8
Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0
2 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
0 of 5
All decided in regulation
- Sep 22, 2026: Sparta Prague 3, Mlada Boleslav 5.
- Feb 22, 2026: Mlada Boleslav 2, Sparta Prague 3.
- Jan 29, 2026: Sparta Prague 4, Mlada Boleslav 1.
- Nov 2, 2025: Sparta Prague 2, Mlada Boleslav 0.
- Sep 26, 2025: Mlada Boleslav 2, Sparta Prague 7.
Last five games
Mlada Boleslav
3-2-0 - Win, 2–1 at Karlovy Vary, Oct 27. Odds: Karlovy Vary 1.65, Mlada Boleslav 4.30.
- Win, 3–2 against Ceske Budejovice, after a shootout, Oct 25. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.30, C. Budejovice 2.55.
- Loss, 2–4 at Olomouc, Oct 22. Odds: Olomouc 3.10, Mlada Boleslav 2.05.
- Win, 4–3 against Mountfield HK, Oct 18. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.40, Hradec Kralove 2.18.
- Loss, 0–3 at Trinec, Oct 16. Odds: Trinec 1.40, Mlada Boleslav 5.00.
Sparta Prague
2-3-0 - Loss, 1–5 at Kladno, Oct 27. Odds: Kladno 3.10, Sparta Prague 2.00.
- Win, 2–1 against Olomouc, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Sparta Prague 1.36, Olomouc 6.50.
- Loss, 1–3 at Liberec, Oct 23. Odds: Liberec 2.45, Sparta Prague 2.40.
- Loss, 1–2 against Trinec, Oct 18. Odds: Sparta Prague 2.20, Trinec 2.35.
- Win, 2–0 at Plzen, Oct 16. Odds: Plzen 2.40, Sparta Prague 2.54.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 01:28 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Skalicky P. Interference
- 03:11 Goal PPG Sparta Prague: Danicek M. assists: Masin D., Kousal P. 0-1
2nd period1-1
- 00:49 Goal Sparta Prague: Spacek M. assists: Danicek M., Krejcik J. 0-2
- 04:15 2 min Sparta Prague: Seppala N. Cross checking
- 06:58 2 min Sparta Prague: Shore D. Tripping
- 10:06 2 min Sparta Prague: Krejcik J. Hooking
- 11:38 2 min Sparta Prague: Kousal P. Holding
- 11:38 Penalty Sparta Prague: Kousal P. Abuse of officials
- 15:03 2 min Sparta Prague: Chlapik F. Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 16:04 Goal PPG Mlada Boleslav: Gardon M. assists: Jandric S., Martel J. 1-2
- 19:53 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Gardon M. Holding the stick
- 19:53 2 min Sparta Prague: Krejcik J. Roughing
- 19:53 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Kubicek S. Roughing
3rd period0-2
- 02:09 5 min Sparta Prague: Sekac J. Fighting
- 02:09 5 min Mlada Boleslav: Janosik A. Fighting
- 04:31 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Griger D. Slashing
- 11:54 Goal Sparta Prague: Shore D. assists: Chlapik F., Sekac J. 1-3
- 13:43 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Pavlik F. Tripping
- 13:59 Goal PPG Sparta Prague: Spacek M. 1-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Surprise in goal: Mokry V. started for Mlada Boleslav, not Furch D..
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Sparta Prague.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
- 12th vs 6th in the Extraliga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MLA) | 3.10 | 3.30 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.30 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (SPA) | 2.00 | 1.90 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap MLA | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Trinec |
16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 |
| 2 |  Pardubice |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 |
| 3 |  Kladno |
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 |
| 4 |  Karlovy Vary |
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 |
| 5 |  Ceske Budejovice |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 |
| 6 | Sparta Prague |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 |
| 7 |  Plzen |
17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 |
| 8 |  Liberec |
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 |
| 9 |  Mountfield HK |
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 |
| 10 |  Kometa Brno |
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 |
| 11 |  Litvinov |
17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 |
| 12 | Mlada Boleslav |
17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 |
| 13 |  Vitkovice |
15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 |
| 14 |  Olomouc |
17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Mlada Boleslav host Sparta Prague in the Extraliga on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.