Mogilev vs Novopolotsk prediction
Chance to win · 49% and 32% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostMogilevodds up 2.08Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU61.45Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonNovopolotsk +1.5Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostMogilevodds up 1.66Confidence 61%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostMogilev or drawodds up 1.37Confidence 70%
- Draw no betLostMogilev1.64Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonMogilev2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.91Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · all three29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (5%), 2-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 29, 2026: Mogilev 4, Novopolotsk 3, after overtime.
- Feb 17, 2026: Novopolotsk 7, Mogilev 1.
- Feb 15, 2026: Novopolotsk 2, Mogilev 6.
- Oct 19, 2025: Mogilev 3, Novopolotsk 2, after overtime.
- Oct 17, 2025: Mogilev 3, Novopolotsk 6.
Last five games
- Win, 4–2 at Molodechno, Oct 23. Odds: Molodechno 1.25, Mogilev 7.50.
- Loss, 1–4 at Molodechno, Oct 21. Odds: Molodechno 1.33, Mogilev 7.20.
- Loss, 2–6 at Neman Grodno, Oct 18. Odds: Neman Grodno 1.38, Mogilev 6.50.
- Loss, 0–4 at Neman Grodno, Oct 16. Odds: Neman Grodno 1.42, Mogilev 5.40.
- Loss, 1–5 against Gomel, Oct 11.
- Loss, 0–3 against Zhlobin, Oct 24. Odds: Novopolotsk 5.75, Zhlobin 1.36.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Zhlobin, after a shootout, Oct 22. Odds: Novopolotsk 5.75, Zhlobin 1.36.
- Loss, 1–3 at Brest, Oct 17. Odds: Brest 1.22, Novopolotsk 11.00.
- Loss, 0–3 at Brest, Oct 15. Odds: Brest 1.28, Novopolotsk 7.40.
- Loss, 2–3 against Molodechno, Oct 11.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 14:37 Goal PPG Mogilev: Yermolenko A. assists: Kozinov A. 1-0
2nd period0-1
- 00:45 Goal PPG Novopolotsk: Guskov I. assists: Kotelovsky A., Kormilov D. 1-1
3rd period0-1
- 03:05 Goal Novopolotsk: Guskov I. 1-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 8-game losing streak for Novopolotsk coming into this game.
- 0-9-1 away for Novopolotsk this season.
- In goal: Stepanov S. for Mogilev (3-7-0 in the last 10 starts), Anarkulov G. for Novopolotsk (2-7-0 in the last 9 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Mogilev.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Mogilev.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MOG) | 2.15 | 2.15 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.75 | 3.75 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NOV) | 2.60 | 2.60 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraleague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 35 | .795 | 73 | 49 | +24 | |
| 2 | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 34 | .773 | 91 | 49 | +42 | |
| 3 | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 33 | .750 | 72 | 43 | +29 | |
| 4 | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 31 | .705 | 66 | 43 | +23 | |
| 5 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | .714 | 75 | 54 | +21 | |
| 6 | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 27 | .643 | 62 | 48 | +14 | |
| 7 | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 26 | .591 | 60 | 45 | +15 | |
| 8 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 25 | .568 | 58 | 50 | +8 | |
| 9 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 62 | 81 | −19 | |
| 10 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 20 | .455 | 56 | 60 | −4 | |
| 11 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 14 | .333 | 44 | 75 | −31 | |
| 12 | 21 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 13 | .310 | 46 | 79 | −33 | |
| 13 | 22 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 11 | .250 | 39 | 85 | −46 | |
| 14 | 21 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 9 | .214 | 33 | 76 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Mogilev host Novopolotsk in the Extraleague on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.