Mogilev vs Novopolotsk prediction
Chance to win · 46% and 34% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostMogilev2.10Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.33Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonNovopolotsk +1.5Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonMogilev1.68Confidence 58%
- Double chanceWonMogilev or draw1.39Confidence 68%
- Draw no betPushMogilevConfidence 60%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonMogilevConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–017%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 2-1, 0-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (5%), 2-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 27, 2026: Mogilev 1, Novopolotsk 2.
- Feb 17, 2026: Novopolotsk 7, Mogilev 1.
- Feb 15, 2026: Novopolotsk 2, Mogilev 6.
- Oct 19, 2025: Mogilev 3, Novopolotsk 2, after overtime.
- Oct 17, 2025: Mogilev 3, Novopolotsk 6.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–2 against Novopolotsk, Oct 27. Odds: Mogilev 2.15, Novopolotsk 2.60.
- Win, 4–2 at Molodechno, Oct 23. Odds: Molodechno 1.25, Mogilev 7.50.
- Loss, 1–4 at Molodechno, Oct 21. Odds: Molodechno 1.33, Mogilev 7.20.
- Loss, 2–6 at Neman Grodno, Oct 18. Odds: Neman Grodno 1.38, Mogilev 6.50.
- Loss, 0–4 at Neman Grodno, Oct 16. Odds: Neman Grodno 1.42, Mogilev 5.40.
- Win, 2–1 at Mogilev, Oct 27. Odds: Mogilev 2.15, Novopolotsk 2.60.
- Loss, 0–3 against Zhlobin, Oct 24. Odds: Novopolotsk 5.75, Zhlobin 1.36.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Zhlobin, after a shootout, Oct 22. Odds: Novopolotsk 5.75, Zhlobin 1.36.
- Loss, 1–3 at Brest, Oct 17. Odds: Brest 1.22, Novopolotsk 11.00.
- Loss, 0–3 at Brest, Oct 15. Odds: Brest 1.28, Novopolotsk 7.40.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 16:48 Goal Mogilev: Savritsky D. assists: Solomonov Y. 1-0
2nd period1-2
- 05:05 Goal Mogilev: Solomonov Y. assists: Deribo A., Shapiro I. 2-0
- 08:56 Goal Novopolotsk: Zasko I. 2-1
- 11:13 Goal Novopolotsk: Novik M. assists: Zasko I. 2-2
3rd period1-1
- 14:12 Goal Novopolotsk: Isayev A. assists: Khrapovitsky A., Kotelovsky A. 2-3
- 16:36 Goal Mogilev: Solomonov Y. assists: Dubinich N. 3-3
Overtime1-0
- 03:36 Goal Mogilev: Shiafotdinov K. assists: Valeyev A. 4-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 1-9-1 away for Novopolotsk this season.
- In goal: Kropova D. for Mogilev (3-7-0 in the last 10 starts), Anarkulov G. for Novopolotsk (3-7-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Novopolotsk.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Mogilev.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Novopolotsk.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MOG) | 2.15 | 2.15 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.80 | 3.80 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NOV) | 2.60 | 2.60 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraleague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 35 | .795 | 73 | 49 | +24 | |
| 2 | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 34 | .773 | 91 | 49 | +42 | |
| 3 | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 33 | .750 | 72 | 43 | +29 | |
| 4 | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 31 | .705 | 66 | 43 | +23 | |
| 5 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | .714 | 75 | 54 | +21 | |
| 6 | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 27 | .643 | 62 | 48 | +14 | |
| 7 | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 26 | .591 | 60 | 45 | +15 | |
| 8 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 25 | .568 | 58 | 50 | +8 | |
| 9 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 62 | 81 | −19 | |
| 10 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 20 | .455 | 56 | 60 | −4 | |
| 11 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 14 | .333 | 44 | 75 | −31 | |
| 12 | 21 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 13 | .310 | 46 | 79 | −33 | |
| 13 | 22 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 11 | .250 | 39 | 85 | −46 | |
| 14 | 21 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 9 | .214 | 33 | 76 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Mogilev host Novopolotsk in the Extraleague on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.