Mogo vs Riga Prizma prediction
Chance to win · 96% and 1% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 78%Full game
- 1X2WonMogoodds up 1.02Confidence 86%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostO6.51.37Confidence 75%
- HandicapWonMogo -1.5Confidence 78%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonMogo1.04Confidence 87%
- Double chanceWonMogo or drawConfidence 89%
- Draw no betWonMogoConfidence 89%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostMogoConfidence 65%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.61Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Mogo 7–1
Riga Prizma Score details
- Correct scoreLost7–1After 60 min4–15%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–018%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals33%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 7-1
- By period 2-0, 2-0, 3-1
- Likeliest 7-1 (5%), 6-1 (5%), 8-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonMogo
Riga Prizma
Head-to-head
Mogo 4–1
Riga Prizma - Oct 10, 2026: Riga Prizma 1, Mogo 6.
- Mar 3, 2026: Riga Prizma 2, Mogo 5.
- Dec 16, 2025: Riga Prizma 3, Mogo 8.
- Sep 20, 2025: Mogo 3, Riga Prizma 4, after overtime.
- Sep 9, 2025: Riga Prizma 3, Mogo 4, after overtime.
Last five games
Mogo
5-0-0 - Win, 5–1 at Kyiv Capitals, Oct 24. Odds: Kyiv Capitals 2.90, Mogo 1.91.
- Win, 4–3 against Sokil Kyiv, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Mogo 1.43, Sokil Kyiv 5.00.
- Win, 8–1 against Jaca, Oct 17.
- Win, 6–1 at Energija Elektrenai, Oct 16. Odds: Energija 15.00, Mogo 1.09.
- Win, 6–1 at Riga Prizma, Oct 10. Odds: Riga Prizma 14.00, Mogo 1.08.
Riga Prizma
1-4-0 - Win, 10–4 at Punks Vilnius, Oct 24. Odds: Punks Vilnius 3.25, Riga Prizma 1.72.
- Loss, 2–6 against HC Panter, Oct 13. Odds: Riga Prizma 2.59, HC Panter 2.15.
- Loss, 1–6 against Mogo, Oct 10. Odds: Riga Prizma 14.00, Mogo 1.08.
- Loss, 2–8 against Kyiv Capitals, Oct 3.
- Loss, 3–6 at Kyiv Capitals, Sep 30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period0-1
- 01:37 Goal Riga Prizma: Bormanis K. assists: Riekstins K., Jekimovs R. 0-1
3rd period4-0
- 06:29 Goal PPG Mogo: Polcs R. assists: Berzins R., Krums E. 1-1
- 07:18 Goal PPG Mogo: Ziemins K. assists: Ozollapa R. 2-1
- 16:16 Goal Mogo: Zelubovskis E. assists: Meija G. 3-1
- 19:29 Goal ENG Mogo: Ziemins K. assists: Ozollapa R., Kenins R. 4-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 10+ straight wins for Mogo coming into this game.
- 5-0-0 at home for Mogo this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Mogo.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Riga Prizma.
- 7.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 7.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MOG) | 1.05 | 1.01 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 11.50 | 14.20 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (RIG) | 18.00 | 22.00 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 7.5 | 7.5 | No change |
| Handicap MOG | −4.5 | −4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Optibet Hokeja Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kyiv Capitals |
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 75 | 31 | +44 |
| 2 | Mogo |
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .955 | 59 | 14 | +45 |
| 3 |  HC Panter |
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 44 | 35 | +9 |
| 4 |  Liepaja |
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 37 | +5 |
| 5 |  Zemgale |
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14 | .778 | 38 | 24 | +14 |
| 6 |  Punks Vilnius |
12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .292 | 26 | 71 | −45 |
| 7 | Riga Prizma |
13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 41 | 56 | −15 |
| 8 |  HS Riga |
13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 24 | 65 | −41 |
| 9 |  Energija Elektrenai |
8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 16 | 32 | −16 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Mogo host Riga Prizma in the Optibet Hokeja Liga on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.