Molodechno vs Lokomotiv Orsha prediction
Chance to win · 77% and 10% in regulation
Makarov A.Started4-4-2
Malkov A.Started3-6-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Full game
- 1X2WonMolodechnoodds down 1.39Confidence 75%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.53Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonMolodechno -1.5Confidence 66%
- Banker of the day: Winner (incl. OT)WonMolodechnoodds down 1.21Confidence 94%
- Double chanceWonMolodechno or drawodds down 1.12Confidence 88%
- Draw no betWonMolodechnoodds down 1.17Confidence 86%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.17Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonMolodechnoodds down 1.93Confidence 55%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.97Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Molodechno 4–1
Lokomotiv Orsha Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–17%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–013%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (5%), 5-1 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonMolodechno
Lokomotiv Orsha
Head-to-head
Molodechno 5–0
Lokomotiv Orsha - Oct 18, 2026: Molodechno 5, Lokomotiv Orsha 3.
- Feb 11, 2026: Lokomotiv Orsha 1, Molodechno 5.
- Feb 9, 2026: Lokomotiv Orsha 0, Molodechno 2.
- Nov 7, 2025: Molodechno 4, Lokomotiv Orsha 0.
- Nov 5, 2025: Molodechno 4, Lokomotiv Orsha 3.
Last five games
Molodechno
3-1-1 - Win, 3–2 at Novopolotsk, Oct 11.
- Win, 6–1 at Novopolotsk, Oct 9. Odds: Novopolotsk 4.00, Molodechno 1.64.
- Loss, 2–3 against Brest, Oct 6.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Brest, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Win, 3–0 against Zhlobin, Sep 29.
Lokomotiv Orsha
1-3-1 - Loss, 0–1 against Neman Grodno, Oct 11.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Neman Grodno, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Lokomotiv Orsha 4.60, Neman Grodno 1.52.
- Loss, 2–5 at Gomel, Oct 5.
- Loss, 3–4 at Gomel, Oct 3.
- Win, 5–4 against Lida, after a shootout, Sep 29.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 10:50 Goal Molodechno: Volochko K. assists: Lugovyak S., Rogovsky I. 1-0
2nd period0-1
- 10:49 Goal Lokomotiv Orsha: Litvin N. assists: Speshilov I., Makarov V. 1-1
3rd period2-0
- 11:35 Goal Molodechno: Kaletnik V. assists: Stankevich S., Valitsky I. 2-1
- 19:26 Goal Molodechno: Rogovsky I. 3-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Lokomotiv Orsha coming into this game.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Molodechno.
- In goal: Makarov A. for Molodechno (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts), Malkov A. for Lokomotiv Orsha (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts).
- −1.1 goals away — Lokomotiv Orsha averaged 2.6 at home and 1.5 away this season.
- 5.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MOL) | 1.37 | 1.37 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.00 | 5.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (LOK) | 6.00 | 6.00 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraleague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zhlobin |
22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 35 | .795 | 73 | 49 | +24 |
| 2 |  Soligorsk |
22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 34 | .773 | 91 | 49 | +42 |
| 3 |  Gomel |
22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 33 | .750 | 72 | 43 | +29 |
| 4 | Molodechno |
22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 31 | .705 | 66 | 43 | +23 |
| 5 |  Slavutych |
21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | .714 | 75 | 54 | +21 |
| 6 |  Brest |
21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 27 | .643 | 62 | 48 | +14 |
| 7 |  Lida |
22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 26 | .591 | 60 | 45 | +15 |
| 8 |  Neman Grodno |
22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 25 | .568 | 58 | 50 | +8 |
| 9 |  Baranavichy |
21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 62 | 81 | −19 |
| 10 |  Vitebsk |
22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 20 | .455 | 56 | 60 | −4 |
| 11 |  Mogilev |
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 14 | .333 | 44 | 75 | −31 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Orsha |
21 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 13 | .310 | 46 | 79 | −33 |
| 13 |  Yunost Minsk |
22 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 11 | .250 | 39 | 85 | −46 |
| 14 |  Novopolotsk |
21 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 9 | .214 | 33 | 76 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Molodechno host Lokomotiv Orsha in the Extraleague on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.