Moncton Wildcats vs Shawinigan Cataractes prediction
Chance to win · 63% and 20% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- 1X2WonMonctonodds up 1.29Confidence 65%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO5.5odds up 1.31Confidence 73%
- HandicapWonMoncton -1.51.72Confidence 60%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonMonctonodds up 1.15Confidence 74%
- Double chanceWonMoncton or drawodds up 1.08Confidence 81%
- Draw no betWonMonctonodds up 1.11Confidence 77%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.07Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostMonctonodds up 1.72Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.51Confidence 66%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Moncton 5–2
Shawinigan Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min6–46%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–210%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (6%), 6-3 (4%), 4-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonMoncton Wildcats
Shawinigan Cataractes
Head-to-head
Moncton 3–2
Shawinigan - Oct 25, 2026: Shawinigan Cataractes 4, Moncton Wildcats 1.
- Feb 15, 2026: Moncton Wildcats 6, Shawinigan Cataractes 2.
- Nov 29, 2025: Shawinigan Cataractes 4, Moncton Wildcats 3, after a shootout.
- Feb 13, 2025: Moncton Wildcats 5, Shawinigan Cataractes 4, after a shootout.
- Oct 26, 2024: Shawinigan Cataractes 2, Moncton Wildcats 5.
Last five games
Moncton
2-3-0 - Loss, 1–2 against Rouyn-Noranda Huskies, Oct 10.
- Loss, 3–4 against Drummondville Voltigeurs, Oct 8.
- Loss, 2–4 at Cape Breton Eagles, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–3 against Halifax Mooseheads, after overtime, Oct 2.
- Win, 4–3 against Charlottetown Islanders, after overtime, Sep 26.
Shawinigan
1-3-1 - Win, 7–4 against Newfoundland Regiment, Oct 12.
- Loss, 3–5 at Victoriaville Tigres, Oct 7.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Gatineau Olympiques, after overtime, Oct 1.
- Loss, 2–13 at Rimouski Oceanic, Sep 26.
- Loss, 3–7 at Quebec Remparts, Sep 25.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 02:54 Goal Moncton Wildcats: Kilfoil L. assists: Brosnan M., Gould S. 1-0
- 10:46 Goal Shawinigan Cataractes: Yared W. assists: Lygitsakos C., Dupuis K. 1-1
- 14:18 Goal Shawinigan Cataractes: Dupuis K. assists: Collette N., Corso B. 1-2
2nd period2-2
- 00:17 Goal Moncton Wildcats: Kilfoil L. assists: Chudzinski R. 2-2
- 03:03 Goal Shawinigan Cataractes: Charron O. 2-3
- 15:31 Goal Moncton Wildcats: Blace W. 3-3
- 19:28 Goal Shawinigan Cataractes: Bergeron F. assists: Charron O. 3-4
3rd period3-0
- 04:27 Goal Moncton Wildcats: Chudzinski R. assists: Survilas N., Gould S. 4-4
- 09:45 Goal Moncton Wildcats: Fortier-Gendron A. 5-4
- 19:25 Goal ENG Moncton Wildcats: Tournas N. assists: Kilfoil L. 6-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Moncton Wildcats coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Moncton Wildcats, 3 for Shawinigan Cataractes.
- 1-4-1 away for Shawinigan Cataractes this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Moncton Wildcats.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Shawinigan Cataractes.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MON) | 1.36 | 1.42 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.10 | 4.90 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (SHA) | 5.90 | 5.30 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 7 | 7 | No change |
| Handicap MON | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
QMJHL standings
Regular Season · Maritimes Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Newfoundland Regiment |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 63 | 58 | +5 |
| 2 |  Saint John Sea Dogs |
18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 24 | .667 | 65 | 59 | +6 |
| 3 |  Halifax Mooseheads |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | .588 | 59 | 66 | −7 |
| 4 |  Cape Breton Eagles |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | .559 | 57 | 55 | +2 |
| 5 | Moncton Wildcats |
18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 19 | .528 | 51 | 55 | −4 |
| 6 |  Charlottetown Islanders |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 16 | .421 | 64 | 87 | −23 |
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Victoriaville Tigres |
18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 78 | 70 | +8 |
| 2 |  Sherbrooke Phoenix |
16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .625 | 62 | 46 | +16 |
| 3 |  Drummondville Voltigeurs |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 61 | 69 | −8 |
| 4 | Shawinigan Cataractes |
16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 11 | .344 | 51 | 78 | −27 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Moncton Wildcats host Shawinigan Cataractes in the QMJHL on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.