Mont Blanc vs Valence Prediction & Picks

D1 Saturday, October 24, 2026Sat · Oct 24 Round 4

HomeMont Blanc3-2-211th in the standingsWLWLW

32 AOT Puck drop 13:30 ET 1.982.70

1st 2nd 3rd OT

MON 0 2 0 1

VAL 0 1 1 0

FranceFrance

AwayValence5-1-15th in the standingsWWLLL

77%Mont Blanc win · 67% in regulationMON Overtime or shootout · 16%OT / SO 16% 23%Valence win · 17% in regulationVAL

Chance to win · 67% and 17% in regulation

Best tip of the gameBest tip 1X2 Lost

Mont Blanc 2.02

Confidence57%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%

Full game

Best tip of the game: 1X2LostMont Blanc2.02Confidence 57%
Over/UnderLostO4.5Confidence 71%
HandicapLostMont Blanc -1.52.37Confidence 57%
Winner (incl. OT)WonMont Blanc1.62Confidence 69%
Double chanceWonMont Blanc or draw1.40Confidence 71%
Draw no betPushMont BlancConfidence 71%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 87%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostMont BlancConfidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 3 games; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Mont Blanc 41

Valence

Final 3–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 16% Went to overtime

MON to winTo win 77% MON won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–25%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–010%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (5%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%)

Last five games

Mont Blanc 3-2-0

Win, 6–3 against Nice, Oct 20. Odds: Mont Blanc 14.00, Nice 1.07.
Loss, 2–3 against Neuilly Sur Marne, Oct 17. Odds: Mont Blanc 2.33, Neuilly 2.21.
Win, 4–3 at Epinal, after a shootout, Oct 10.
Loss, 3–4 against Dunkerque Corsaires, Oct 3.
Win, 7–1 against Valence, Sep 26.

Valence 2-3-0

Win, 3–2 against Meudon, Oct 17. Odds: Valence 2.46, Meudon 2.11.
Win, 6–5 at Neuilly Sur Marne, after a shootout, Oct 10.
Loss, 3–5 against Morzine-Avoriaz, Oct 3.
Loss, 1–7 at Mont Blanc, Sep 26.
Loss, 3–9 against Villard, Sep 27, 2025.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (MON)	1.98	1.98	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.50	4.50	No change
1X2: 2 (VAL)	2.70	2.70	No change
Over/Under line	6.5	6.5	No change
Handicap MON	−1.5	−1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

D1 standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Nantes	8	6	1	1	19	1.188	28	14	+14
2	Lyon	8	6	2	0	17	1.063	33	23	+10
3	Dunkerque Corsaires	8	5	0	3	16	1.000	35	20	+15
4	Neuilly Sur Marne	7	5	1	1	15	1.071	29	24	+5
5	Valence	7	5	1	1	15	1.071	26	18	+8
6	Epinal	8	5	2	1	15	.938	23	15	+8
7	Caen	7	4	1	2	13	.929	24	16	+8
8	Chambery	6	4	2	0	10	.833	21	16	+5
9	Meudon	8	3	3	2	10	.625	21	25	−4
10	Tours	7	3	3	1	10	.714	18	30	−12
11	Mont Blanc	7	3	2	2	9	.643	23	24	−1
12	Villard	8	3	5	0	9	.563	18	27	−9
13	Morzine-Avoriaz	8	3	5	0	7	.438	22	32	−10
14	Strasbourg	8	3	5	0	7	.438	15	26	−11
15	Cholet	6	1	2	3	5	.417	14	19	−5
16	Valenciennes	7	0	7	0	0	.000	11	32	−21

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Mont Blanc host Valence in the D1 on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.