Montreal Canadiens vs San Jose Sharks prediction
Montreal Canadiens 3–, San Jose Sharks 4
AOT
Puck drop 19:00 ET
1X2 1.701X2 3.70
Bell Centre (Montreal, QC) · USABell Centre (Montreal, QC)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
OT
MTL
1
2
0
0
SJS
1
0
2
1
67%Montreal win · 55% in regulationMTL
Overtime or shootout · 21%OT / SO 21%
33%San Jose win · 24% in regulationSJS
Chance to win · 55% and 24% in regulation
Dobes J.StartedSV 86.9% · GAA 3.90 · 2-5-3
Nedeljkovic A.StartedSV 92.3% · GAA 2.00 · 8-1-1
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Draw no bet
Push
Canadiens
odds down 1.41
Confidence73%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostCanadiensodds down 1.74Confidence 58%
- Over/UnderWonU7.51.42Confidence 57%
- HandicapWonSharks +1.5odds up 1.70Confidence 61%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostCanadiens1.44Confidence 69%
- Double chanceWonCanadiens or draw1.24Confidence 78%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betPushCanadiensodds down 1.41Confidence 73%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostCanadiensodds down 2.29Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.65Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 4% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Canadiens 3–2
Sharks
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 7
Draw after 60 minDraw
21%
Went to overtime
Montreal to winTo win
67%
SJS won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–33%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–19%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (2%), 2-1 (2%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Montreal Canadiens
San Jose Sharks
Montreal Canadiens
San Jose Sharks
Season recordMontreal Canadiens 4-3-1San Jose Sharks 4-4-1
Home / road splitMontreal Canadiens 3-2-0San Jose Sharks 2-2-1
StreakMontreal Canadiens W1San Jose Sharks L2
RestMontreal Canadiens 2 daysSan Jose Sharks Back-to-back
Goals forMontreal Canadiens 3.4San Jose Sharks 2.6
Goals againstMontreal Canadiens 3.8San Jose Sharks 3.6
In the standingsMontreal Canadiens 2ndSan Jose Sharks 6th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameMontreal Canadiens −1.4San Jose Sharks −0.4
Goals forMontreal Canadiens 2.6San Jose Sharks 2.8
Goals againstMontreal Canadiens 4.0San Jose Sharks 3.2
Shots on goalMontreal Canadiens 27.5San Jose Sharks 28.5
Shots againstMontreal Canadiens 27.6San Jose Sharks 27.7
Shooting %Montreal Canadiens 9.5%San Jose Sharks 9.8%
Save %Montreal Canadiens 87.3%San Jose Sharks 89.2%
Power-play %Montreal Canadiens 11.1%San Jose Sharks 17.5%
Penalty kill %Montreal Canadiens 85.7%San Jose Sharks 82.9%
Faceoff %Montreal Canadiens 53.3%San Jose Sharks 46.5%
Penalty minutesMontreal Canadiens 13.6San Jose Sharks 10.9
HitsMontreal Canadiens 20.9San Jose Sharks 24.0
Blocked shotsMontreal Canadiens 15.2San Jose Sharks 13.5
Per game · MTL at home, SJS away
Goal differential per gameMontreal Canadiens −1.1San Jose Sharks −0.7
Goals forMontreal Canadiens 2.6San Jose Sharks 2.4
Goals againstMontreal Canadiens 3.7San Jose Sharks 3.1
Shots on goalMontreal Canadiens 27.5San Jose Sharks 26.5
Shots againstMontreal Canadiens 28.9San Jose Sharks 27.7
Shooting %Montreal Canadiens 9.5%San Jose Sharks 9.1%
Save %Montreal Canadiens 88.9%San Jose Sharks 89.2%
Power-play %Montreal Canadiens 13.3%San Jose Sharks 18.2%
Penalty kill %Montreal Canadiens 83.3%San Jose Sharks 82.4%
Faceoff %Montreal Canadiens 51.5%San Jose Sharks 47.6%
Penalty minutesMontreal Canadiens 20.8San Jose Sharks 8.4
HitsMontreal Canadiens 23.4San Jose Sharks 23.4
Blocked shotsMontreal Canadiens 16.7San Jose Sharks 14.2
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Canadiens 2–2
Sharks
Goals a gameGoals
8.0
MTL 3.8 · SJS 4.3
Over 6.5 goalsOver 6.5
3 of 4
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
1 of 4
1 in overtime
- Mar 14, 2026: Montreal Canadiens 2, San Jose Sharks 4.
- Mar 3, 2026: San Jose Sharks 7, Montreal Canadiens 5.
- Feb 27, 2025: Montreal Canadiens 4, San Jose Sharks 3, after overtime.
- Feb 4, 2025: San Jose Sharks 3, Montreal Canadiens 4.
Last five games
Canadiens
3-2-0 - Win, 4–3 against Buffalo Sabres, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Canadiens 2.13, Sabres 2.82.
- Loss, 4–5 at Washington Capitals, Oct 14. Odds: Capitals 2.34, Canadiens 2.65.
- Win, 4–3 against Buffalo Sabres, after a shootout, Oct 13. Odds: Canadiens 2.06, Sabres 3.09.
- Win, 1–0 against Detroit Red Wings, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: Canadiens 1.95, Red Wings 3.05.
- Loss, 2–5 against Nashville Predators, Oct 8.
Sharks
1-3-1 - Loss, 1–3 at Toronto Maple Leafs, Oct 19. Odds: Maple Leafs 2.01, Sharks 3.00.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Detroit Red Wings, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Red Wings 2.10, Sharks 2.88.
- Win, 3–2 at Nashville Predators, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Predators 2.15, Sharks 2.75.
- Loss, 3–6 against Boston Bruins, Oct 13. Odds: Sharks 2.74, Bruins 2.30.
- Loss, 1–3 against Edmonton Oilers, Oct 10. Odds: Sharks 2.85, Oilers 2.05.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 10:45 2 min San Jose Sharks: Dellandrea T. Holding the stick
- 13:49 Goal San Jose Sharks: Celebrini M. 0-1
- 16:38 Goal Montreal Canadiens: Suzuki N. assists: Slafkovsky J., Hutson L. 1-1
- 17:22 2 min San Jose Sharks: Misa M. Holding
2nd period2-0
- 01:49 Goal Montreal Canadiens: Slafkovsky J. assists: Caufield C. 2-1
- 11:57 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Slafkovsky J. Roughing
- 11:57 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Guhle K. Roughing
- 11:57 2 min San Jose Sharks: Goodrow B. Roughing
- 11:57 2 min San Jose Sharks: Ostapchuk Z. Roughing
- 14:03 Goal Montreal Canadiens: Caufield C. assists: Suzuki N., Danault P. 3-1
- 17:27 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Texier A. High sticking
3rd period0-2
- 05:36 Goal San Jose Sharks: Misa M. assists: Sherwood K. 3-2
- 09:33 2 min San Jose Sharks: Kesselring M. Roughing
- 09:33 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Xhekaj A. Roughing
- 09:33 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Xhekaj A. Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 11:09 Goal PPG San Jose Sharks: Toffoli T. assists: Celebrini M., Trouba J. 3-3
Overtime0-1
- 01:53 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Dobes J. Interference
- 02:13 Goal PPG San Jose Sharks: Celebrini M. assists: Stenberg I., Smith W. 3-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for San Jose Sharks, who played yesterday.
- In goal: Dobes J. for Montreal Canadiens (2-5-3 in the last 10 starts), Nedeljkovic A. for San Jose Sharks (8-1-1 in the last 10 starts).
- The total moved up from 5.5 to 6.5 since it was first published.
- −1.3 goals away — San Jose Sharks averaged 3.3 at home and 2.0 away this season.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for San Jose Sharks.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MTL) | 1.70 | 1.70 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SJS) | 3.70 | 3.70 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap MTL | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 2 | Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 3 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 4 |  Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 5 |  Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 6 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 7 |  Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 8 |  Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Edmonton Oilers |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 78 | 56 | +22 |
| 2 |  Vegas Golden Knights |
19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .684 | 64 | 51 | +13 |
| 3 |  Anaheim Ducks |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 69 | 66 | +3 |
| 4 |  Seattle Kraken |
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .594 | 57 | 57 | 0 |
| 5 |  Calgary Flames |
18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 17 | .472 | 46 | 63 | −17 |
| 6 | San Jose Sharks |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 51 | 71 | −20 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Kings |
16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 12 | .375 | 45 | 55 | −10 |
| 8 |  Vancouver Canucks |
20 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 7 | .175 | 56 | 90 | −34 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Montreal Canadiens host San Jose Sharks in the NHL on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.