Montreal Canadiens vs Utah Mammoth prediction
Montreal Canadiens 5–, Utah Mammoth 4
AOT
Puck drop 19:00 ET
1X2 2.651X2 2.15
Bell Centre (Montreal, QC) · USABell Centre (Montreal, QC)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
OT
MTL
2
0
2
1
UTA
2
1
1
0
56%Montreal win · 44% in regulationMTL
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
44%Utah win · 34% in regulationUTA
Chance to win · 44% and 34% in regulation
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Won
Canadiens +1.5
odds up 1.36
Confidence71%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostCanadiensodds up 2.49Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU7.5odds up 1.33Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonCanadiens +1.5odds up 1.36Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonCanadiensodds up 1.92Confidence 57%
- Double chanceWonCanadiens or drawodds up 1.52Confidence 65%
- Draw no betPushCanadiensodds up 1.93Confidence 59%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostCanadiens2.80Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.69Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 14% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 7% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Canadiens 5–2
Mammoth
Total goalsTotal
7
Actual 9
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Went to overtime
Montreal to winTo win
56%
MTL won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min4–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–27%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (4%), 4-1 (4%), 4-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Montreal Canadiens
Utah Mammoth
Montreal Canadiens
Utah Mammoth
Season recordMontreal Canadiens 9-3-3Utah Mammoth 10-6-0
Home / road splitMontreal Canadiens 4-2-2Utah Mammoth 6-4-0
StreakMontreal Canadiens L1Utah Mammoth W1
RestMontreal Canadiens 1 dayUtah Mammoth 1 day
Goals forMontreal Canadiens 3.5Utah Mammoth 3.6
Goals againstMontreal Canadiens 3.1Utah Mammoth 3.4
In the standingsMontreal Canadiens 2ndUtah Mammoth 5th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameMontreal Canadiens +0.8Utah Mammoth −0.4
Goals forMontreal Canadiens 3.6Utah Mammoth 3.5
Goals againstMontreal Canadiens 2.8Utah Mammoth 3.9
Shots on goalMontreal Canadiens 27.4Utah Mammoth 29.1
Shots againstMontreal Canadiens 29.4Utah Mammoth 25.7
Shooting %Montreal Canadiens 13.1%Utah Mammoth 12.0%
Save %Montreal Canadiens 90.5%Utah Mammoth 85.6%
Power-play %Montreal Canadiens 12.5%Utah Mammoth 25.6%
Penalty kill %Montreal Canadiens 88.0%Utah Mammoth 74.4%
Faceoff %Montreal Canadiens 50.0%Utah Mammoth 54.0%
Penalty minutesMontreal Canadiens 10.9Utah Mammoth 9.3
HitsMontreal Canadiens 19.7Utah Mammoth 25.3
Blocked shotsMontreal Canadiens 12.2Utah Mammoth 15.8
Per game · MTL at home, UTA away
Goal differential per gameMontreal Canadiens −1.0Utah Mammoth 0.0
Goals forMontreal Canadiens 2.7Utah Mammoth 3.3
Goals againstMontreal Canadiens 3.7Utah Mammoth 3.3
Shots on goalMontreal Canadiens 26.9Utah Mammoth 31.0
Shots againstMontreal Canadiens 31.0Utah Mammoth 24.8
Shooting %Montreal Canadiens 10.0%Utah Mammoth 10.6%
Save %Montreal Canadiens 89.4%Utah Mammoth 87.9%
Power-play %Montreal Canadiens 12.5%Utah Mammoth 35.6%
Penalty kill %Montreal Canadiens 86.2%Utah Mammoth 82.5%
Faceoff %Montreal Canadiens 52.1%Utah Mammoth 49.7%
Penalty minutesMontreal Canadiens 14.9Utah Mammoth 10.0
HitsMontreal Canadiens 21.0Utah Mammoth 25.4
Blocked shotsMontreal Canadiens 14.6Utah Mammoth 17.7
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Canadiens 3–1
Mammoth
Goals a gameGoals
7.0
MTL 4.3 · UTA 2.8
Over 6.5 goalsOver 6.5
3 of 4
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
1 of 4
1 in overtime
- Nov 26, 2025: Utah Mammoth 3, Montreal Canadiens 4.
- Nov 8, 2025: Montreal Canadiens 6, Utah Mammoth 2.
- Jan 14, 2025: Utah Mammoth 3, Montreal Canadiens 5.
- Nov 26, 2024: Montreal Canadiens 2, Utah Mammoth 3, after overtime.
Last five games
Canadiens
4-0-1 - Overtime loss, 4–5 against Winnipeg Jets, after overtime, Nov 3. Odds: Canadiens 1.83, Jets 3.45.
- Win, 5–4 against Pittsburgh Penguins, Oct 31. Odds: Canadiens 2.20, Penguins 2.60.
- Win, 5–2 at Dallas Stars, Oct 29. Odds: Stars 1.96, Canadiens 3.19.
- Win, 2–0 at St. Louis Blues, Oct 27. Odds: Blues 2.60, Canadiens 2.25.
- Win, 2–1 at Winnipeg Jets, Oct 25. Odds: Jets 2.55, Canadiens 2.30.
Mammoth
3-2-0 - Win, 3–2 at Toronto Maple Leafs, Nov 3. Odds: Maple Leafs 2.90, Mammoth 1.96.
- Loss, 3–6 at Philadelphia Flyers, Nov 1. Odds: Flyers 3.13, Mammoth 1.99.
- Win, 4–3 at Pittsburgh Penguins, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Penguins 2.85, Mammoth 2.05.
- Loss, 1–3 against Minnesota Wild, Oct 27. Odds: Mammoth 2.25, Wild 2.55.
- Win, 5–4 against Tampa Bay Lightning, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Mammoth 2.01, Lightning 2.90.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-2
- 01:42 Goal Utah Mammoth: Cooley L. assists: Schmidt N., Trocheck V. 0-1
- 09:04 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Anderson J. Tripping
- 09:24 Goal PPG Utah Mammoth: Cooley L. assists: Schmaltz N., Sergachyov M. 0-2
- 15:25 Goal Montreal Canadiens: Suzuki N. assists: Slafkovsky J., Dobson N. 1-2
- 17:10 Goal Montreal Canadiens: Xhekaj A. assists: Dach K., Newhook A. 2-2
- 17:14 5 min Montreal Canadiens: Xhekaj A. Fighting
- 17:14 5 min Utah Mammoth: O'Brien L. Fighting
- 19:19 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Texier A. Holding the stick
2nd period0-1
- 07:21 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Kreider C. Tripping
- 09:14 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Guhle K. Delay of game
- 11:05 Goal PPG Utah Mammoth: Cooley L. assists: Schmaltz N., Keller C. 2-3
- 11:29 2 min Utah Mammoth: Peeke A. Holding the stick
- 14:43 2 min Utah Mammoth: Cooley L. High sticking
- 19:35 2 min Utah Mammoth: Sergachyov M. Delay of game
3rd period2-1
- 00:20 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Caufield C. Interference
- 00:20 2 min Utah Mammoth: Stenlund K. Diving
- 01:09 Goal PPG Montreal Canadiens: Dach K. assists: Suzuki N., Hutson L. 3-3
- 06:20 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Slafkovsky J. High sticking
- 07:14 Goal PPG Utah Mammoth: Schmaltz N. assists: Cooley L., Guenther D. 3-4
- 12:23 2 min Utah Mammoth: O'Brien L. Interference
- 14:54 Goal Montreal Canadiens: Engstrom A. assists: Evans J., Dobson N. 4-4
- 18:17 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Newhook A. Roughing
- 18:17 2 min Utah Mammoth: Stenlund K. Roughing
Overtime1-0
- 00:30 Goal Montreal Canadiens: Caufield C. assists: Hutson L., Suzuki N. 5-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Goal differential gap of 1.2 per game — Montreal Canadiens +0.8, Utah Mammoth −0.4 over their recent games.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Montreal Canadiens.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Montreal Canadiens.
- Save % gap: Montreal Canadiens 90.5%, Utah Mammoth 85.6% over their recent games.
- 7.0 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MTL) | 2.65 | 2.65 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (UTA) | 2.15 | 2.15 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap MTL | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 2 | Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 3 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 4 |  Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 5 |  Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 6 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 7 |  Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 8 |  Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Wild |
20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | .750 | 65 | 44 | +21 |
| 2 |  Colorado Avalanche |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 78 | 59 | +19 |
| 3 |  Nashville Predators |
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 51 | +4 |
| 4 |  Dallas Stars |
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .647 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 5 | Utah Mammoth |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 63 | 63 | 0 |
| 6 |  Winnipeg Jets |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 53 | 65 | −12 |
| 7 |  St. Louis Blues |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 53 | 55 | −2 |
| 8 |  Chicago Blackhawks |
18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 9 | .250 | 39 | 76 | −37 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Montreal Canadiens host Utah Mammoth in the NHL on Thursday, November 5, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.