Montreal Canadiens vs Winnipeg Jets prediction
Montreal Canadiens 4–, Winnipeg Jets 5
AOT
Puck drop 19:00 ET
1X2 1.831X2 3.45
Bell Centre (Montreal, QC) · USABell Centre (Montreal, QC)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
OT
MTL
2
1
1
0
WPG
0
0
4
1
65%Montreal win · 54% in regulationMTL
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
35%Winnipeg win · 24% in regulationWPG
Chance to win · 54% and 24% in regulation
Fowler J.StartedSV 93.7% · GAA 1.80 · 9-1-0
Skinner S.StartedSV 89% · GAA 3.30 · 3-4-3
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Double chance
Won
Canadiens or draw
odds down 1.31
Confidence76%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostCanadiensodds up 1.86Confidence 55%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.37Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonJets +1.5odds down 1.60Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostCanadiensodds up 1.47Confidence 68%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonCanadiens or drawodds down 1.31Confidence 76%
- Draw no betPushCanadiensodds up 1.47Confidence 71%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonCanadiensodds up 2.38Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.78Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Canadiens 3–2
Jets
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 9
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Went to overtime
Montreal to winTo win
65%
WPG won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–43%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon2–01st period2–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Montreal Canadiens
Winnipeg Jets
Montreal Canadiens
Winnipeg Jets
Season recordMontreal Canadiens 9-3-2Winnipeg Jets 4-8-3
Home / road splitMontreal Canadiens 4-2-1Winnipeg Jets 2-4-2
StreakMontreal Canadiens W5Winnipeg Jets L9
RestMontreal Canadiens 2 daysWinnipeg Jets 1 day
Goals forMontreal Canadiens 3.4Winnipeg Jets 2.3
Goals againstMontreal Canadiens 3.0Winnipeg Jets 3.6
In the standingsMontreal Canadiens 2ndWinnipeg Jets 6th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameMontreal Canadiens +0.9Winnipeg Jets −1.8
Goals forMontreal Canadiens 3.2Winnipeg Jets 2.1
Goals againstMontreal Canadiens 2.3Winnipeg Jets 3.9
Shots on goalMontreal Canadiens 28.1Winnipeg Jets 26.6
Shots againstMontreal Canadiens 27.6Winnipeg Jets 29.7
Shooting %Montreal Canadiens 11.4%Winnipeg Jets 7.9%
Save %Montreal Canadiens 91.7%Winnipeg Jets 87.5%
Power-play %Montreal Canadiens 8.1%Winnipeg Jets 9.1%
Penalty kill %Montreal Canadiens 89.1%Winnipeg Jets 68.4%
Faceoff %Montreal Canadiens 50.9%Winnipeg Jets 46.1%
Penalty minutesMontreal Canadiens 9.5Winnipeg Jets 7.9
HitsMontreal Canadiens 20.0Winnipeg Jets 26.7
Blocked shotsMontreal Canadiens 13.5Winnipeg Jets 13.5
Per game · MTL at home, WPG away
Goal differential per gameMontreal Canadiens −1.4Winnipeg Jets −1.9
Goals forMontreal Canadiens 2.6Winnipeg Jets 2.3
Goals againstMontreal Canadiens 4.0Winnipeg Jets 4.2
Shots on goalMontreal Canadiens 26.9Winnipeg Jets 26.6
Shots againstMontreal Canadiens 29.8Winnipeg Jets 33.4
Shooting %Montreal Canadiens 9.7%Winnipeg Jets 8.6%
Save %Montreal Canadiens 88.3%Winnipeg Jets 88.3%
Power-play %Montreal Canadiens 10.2%Winnipeg Jets 21.1%
Penalty kill %Montreal Canadiens 82.3%Winnipeg Jets 75.0%
Faceoff %Montreal Canadiens 51.0%Winnipeg Jets 47.1%
Penalty minutesMontreal Canadiens 18.5Winnipeg Jets 10.4
HitsMontreal Canadiens 22.0Winnipeg Jets 24.0
Blocked shotsMontreal Canadiens 15.5Winnipeg Jets 12.4
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Canadiens 3–2
Jets
Goals a gameGoals
5.0
MTL 2.6 · WPG 2.4
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
0 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
1 of 5
1 in a shootout
- Oct 25, 2026: Winnipeg Jets 1, Montreal Canadiens 2.
- Feb 4, 2026: Winnipeg Jets 1, Montreal Canadiens 5.
- Dec 3, 2025: Montreal Canadiens 3, Winnipeg Jets 2, after a shootout.
- Jan 28, 2025: Montreal Canadiens 1, Winnipeg Jets 4.
- Dec 14, 2024: Winnipeg Jets 4, Montreal Canadiens 2.
Last five games
Canadiens
5-0-0 - Win, 5–4 against Pittsburgh Penguins, Oct 31. Odds: Canadiens 2.20, Penguins 2.60.
- Win, 5–2 at Dallas Stars, Oct 29. Odds: Stars 1.96, Canadiens 3.19.
- Win, 2–0 at St. Louis Blues, Oct 27. Odds: Blues 2.60, Canadiens 2.25.
- Win, 2–1 at Winnipeg Jets, Oct 25. Odds: Jets 2.55, Canadiens 2.30.
- Win, 4–1 at Chicago Blackhawks, Oct 23. Odds: Blackhawks 3.20, Canadiens 1.91.
Jets
0-5-0 - Loss, 0–7 at Carolina Hurricanes, Nov 1. Odds: Hurricanes 1.51, Jets 4.90.
- Loss, 2–5 at Florida Panthers, Oct 30. Odds: Panthers 1.65, Jets 4.10.
- Loss, 4–6 at Tampa Bay Lightning, Oct 29. Odds: Lightning 1.67, Jets 3.90.
- Loss, 1–5 against Florida Panthers, Oct 27. Odds: Jets 2.70, Panthers 2.15.
- Loss, 1–2 against Montreal Canadiens, Oct 25. Odds: Jets 2.55, Canadiens 2.30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 03:05 Goal Montreal Canadiens: Beck O. assists: Xhekaj F., Xhekaj A. 1-0
- 07:25 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Dobson N. Hooking
- 11:15 2 min Winnipeg Jets: Pionk N. Roughing
- 18:18 Goal Montreal Canadiens: Anderson J. assists: Kreider C., Guhle K. 2-0
2nd period1-0
- 02:18 2 min Winnipeg Jets: Salomonsson E. Interference
- 03:03 2 min Winnipeg Jets: Barron M. Interference
- 04:00 Goal PPG Montreal Canadiens: Caufield C. assists: Dobson N., Slafkovsky J. 3-0
- 05:59 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Hutson L. Tripping
- 16:04 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Xhekaj A. Interference
3rd period1-4
- 00:15 2 min Winnipeg Jets: Scheifele M. Tripping
- 00:46 Goal PPG Montreal Canadiens: Caufield C. assists: Hutson L., Slafkovsky J. 4-0
- 10:40 5 min Montreal Canadiens: Xhekaj A. Fighting
- 10:40 5 min Winnipeg Jets: Bauer T. Fighting
- 12:50 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Xhekaj F. Roughing
- 12:50 2 min Winnipeg Jets: Pionk N. Roughing
- 15:02 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Xhekaj F. Roughing
- 15:02 5 min Montreal Canadiens: Xhekaj F. Fighting
- 15:02 5 min Winnipeg Jets: Lowry A. Fighting
- 17:21 Goal Winnipeg Jets: Bauer T. assists: Koepke C., DeMelo D. 4-1
- 18:03 Goal Winnipeg Jets: Barron M. assists: Bauer T., DeMelo D. 4-2
- 19:00 Goal Winnipeg Jets: Connor K. assists: Scheifele M. 4-3
- 19:25 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Carrier A. Tripping
- 19:27 Goal PPG Winnipeg Jets: Connor K. assists: Scheifele M., Barron M. 4-4
Overtime0-1
- 03:30 Goal Winnipeg Jets: Samberg D. assists: Lowry A., Vilardi G. 4-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 9-game losing streak for Winnipeg Jets coming into this game.
- 5-game winning streak for Montreal Canadiens coming into this game.
- 2-4-2 away for Winnipeg Jets this season.
- In goal: Fowler J. for Montreal Canadiens (9-1-0 in the last 10 starts), Skinner S. for Winnipeg Jets (3-4-3 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.7 per game — Montreal Canadiens +0.9, Winnipeg Jets −1.8 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MTL) | 1.83 | 1.83 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (WPG) | 3.45 | 3.45 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap MTL | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 2 | Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 3 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 4 |  Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 5 |  Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 6 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 7 |  Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 8 |  Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Wild |
20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | .750 | 65 | 44 | +21 |
| 2 |  Colorado Avalanche |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 78 | 59 | +19 |
| 3 |  Nashville Predators |
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 51 | +4 |
| 4 |  Dallas Stars |
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .647 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 5 |  Utah Mammoth |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 63 | 63 | 0 |
| 6 | Winnipeg Jets |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 53 | 65 | −12 |
| 7 |  St. Louis Blues |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 53 | 55 | −2 |
| 8 |  Chicago Blackhawks |
18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 9 | .250 | 39 | 76 | −37 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Montreal Canadiens host Winnipeg Jets in the NHL on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.