Morzine-Avoriaz vs Caen prediction
Chance to win · 34% and 45% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostCaen2.02Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.51.65Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonMorzine-Avoriaz +1.51.44Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostCaen1.67Confidence 57%
- Double chanceWonCaen or draw1.42Confidence 66%
- Draw no betPushCaenConfidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostCaenConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Mar 29, 2026: Caen 3, Morzine-Avoriaz 2, after overtime.
- Mar 26, 2026: Morzine-Avoriaz 6, Caen 1.
- Mar 25, 2026: Morzine-Avoriaz 2, Caen 4.
- Mar 22, 2026: Caen 5, Morzine-Avoriaz 3.
- Mar 21, 2026: Caen 1, Morzine-Avoriaz 2.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–4 at Nantes, Oct 24. Odds: Nantes 1.72, Morzine-Avoriaz 3.30.
- Loss, 0–10 against Marseille, Oct 20. Odds: Morzine-Avoriaz 13.20, Marseille 1.08.
- Loss, 2–3 against Villard, Oct 17. Odds: Morzine-Avoriaz 1.87, Villard 2.93.
- Loss, 2–4 at Meudon, Oct 10.
- Win, 5–3 at Valence, Oct 3.
- Win, 5–1 at Strasbourg, Oct 17. Odds: Strasbourg 2.29, Caen 2.29.
- Win, 5–2 against Valenciennes, Oct 10.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Chambery, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Tours, after a shootout, Sep 26.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Cholet, after overtime, Apr 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Morzine-Avoriaz coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Caen.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 13th vs 7th in the D1 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MOR) | 2.55 | 2.55 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.55 | 4.45 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (CAE) | 2.08 | 2.08 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap MOR | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
D1 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 1.188 | 28 | 14 | +14 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 1.063 | 33 | 23 | +10 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1.000 | 35 | 20 | +15 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 29 | 24 | +5 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 26 | 18 | +8 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .938 | 23 | 15 | +8 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | .929 | 24 | 16 | +8 | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | .833 | 21 | 16 | +5 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | .625 | 21 | 25 | −4 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | .714 | 18 | 30 | −12 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | .643 | 23 | 24 | −1 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 18 | 27 | −9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 22 | 32 | −10 | |
| 14 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 15 | 26 | −11 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | .417 | 14 | 19 | −5 | |
| 16 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 11 | 32 | −21 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Morzine-Avoriaz host Caen in the D1 on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.