Mountfield HK vs Karlovy Vary Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

Karlovy Vary +1.5 1.30

Confidence70%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%

Full game

1X2LostHradec Kraloveodds down 2.22Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonO3.5odds down 1.29Confidence 71%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonKarlovy Vary +1.5odds up 1.30Confidence 70%
Winner (incl. OT)LostHradec Kraloveodds down 1.74Confidence 51%
Double chanceWonHradec Kralove or draw1.40Confidence 66%
Draw no betPushHradec Kraloveodds down 1.70Confidence 51%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.14Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDraw2.47Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds up 1.62Confidence 58%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Hradec Kralove 32

Karlovy Vary

Final 3–4

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 7

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Went to overtime

MOU to winTo win 50% KAR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–34%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–224%chance
Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals27%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 0-0, 2-1, 1-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record7-5-08-4-0

Home / road split4-1-04-3-0

StreakL1W1

Rest4 days2 days

Goals for2.92.5

Goals against2.61.7

In the standings9th4th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.3+0.9

Goals for2.92.6

Goals against2.61.7

Shots on goal33.029.0

Shots against29.228.3

Shooting %8.8%9.0%

Save %91.1%94.7%

Power-play %22.9%11.4%

Penalty kill %87.0%90.3%

Faceoff %49.0%49.8%

Penalty minutes9.56.5

Blocked shots19.716.7

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Hradec Kralove 05

Karlovy Vary

Karlovy Vary won five of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.2 MOU 2.0 · KAR 4.2

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 4 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Jan 23, 2026: Mountfield HK 2, Karlovy Vary 3, after overtime.
Dec 19, 2025: Karlovy Vary 4, Mountfield HK 1.
Oct 26, 2025: Mountfield HK 4, Karlovy Vary 5.
Sep 19, 2025: Karlovy Vary 3, Mountfield HK 1.
Feb 2, 2025: Mountfield HK 2, Karlovy Vary 6.

Last five games

Hradec Kralove 3-2-0

Loss, 3–4 at Mlada Boleslav, Oct 18. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.40, Hradec Kralove 2.18.
Win, 4–1 at Litvinov, Oct 15. Odds: Litvinov 2.70, Hradec Kralove 2.02.
Win, 3–1 against Olomouc, Oct 11. Odds: Hradec Kralove 1.56, Olomouc 4.60.
Loss, 2–5 at Trinec, Oct 9. Odds: Trinec 1.63, Hradec Kralove 4.10.
Win, 3–2 against Vitkovice, after overtime, Oct 4.

Karlovy Vary 3-2-0

Win, 2–1 against Kometa Brno, after overtime, Oct 20. Odds: Karlovy Vary 1.98, Kometa Brno 2.70.
Loss, 1–3 at Litvinov, Oct 18. Odds: Litvinov 2.65, Karlovy Vary 2.00.
Win, 5–0 at Olomouc, Oct 16. Odds: Olomouc 3.13, Karlovy Vary 2.00.
Win, 3–1 against Kladno, Oct 11. Odds: Karlovy Vary 1.76, Kladno 3.65.
Loss, 0–5 at Liberec, Oct 9. Odds: Liberec 2.10, Karlovy Vary 2.75.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-2

02:36 Goal Karlovy Vary: Beranek O. assists: Brickley D., Jiskra V. 0-1
05:11 Goal Karlovy Vary: Schmiemann Q. assists: Beranek O., Cernoch J. 0-2

2nd period2-1

01:36 Goal Karlovy Vary: Stastny D. assists: Jones N. 0-3
01:56 2 min Mountfield HK: Kohout M. Slashing
02:41 2 min Mountfield HK: Perret J. Tripping
04:20 Goal SHG Mountfield HK: Klima Kev. assists: Kohout M. 1-3
09:57 Goal Mountfield HK: Vukojevic M. assists: Perret J. 2-3

3rd period1-0

06:10 Goal Mountfield HK: Perret J. assists: McCormack G., Jergl A. 3-3
07:38 2 min Karlovy Vary: Jones N. Slashing
11:58 2 min Karlovy Vary: Koci M. Tripping

Overtime0-1

03:07 Goal Karlovy Vary: Brickley D. 3-4

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Rest advantage: 4 days off for Mountfield HK, 2 for Karlovy Vary.
5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Karlovy Vary.
In goal: Skorvanek S. for Mountfield HK (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Frodl D. for Karlovy Vary (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts).
4-1-0 at home for Mountfield HK this season.
Save % gap: Mountfield HK 91.1%, Karlovy Vary 94.7% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (MOU)	2.18	2.18	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (KAR)	2.80	2.80	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change
Handicap MOU	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Extraliga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Trinec	16	13	2	1	39	1.219	64	38	+26
2	Pardubice	17	12	4	1	36	1.059	64	43	+21
3	Kladno	17	10	4	3	30	.882	53	49	+4
4	Karlovy Vary	17	10	7	0	28	.824	41	33	+8
5	Ceske Budejovice	17	8	7	2	26	.765	45	47	−2
6	Sparta Prague	17	8	7	2	25	.735	45	40	+5
7	Plzen	17	10	6	1	25	.735	44	42	+2
8	Liberec	16	7	5	4	24	.750	44	43	+1
9	Mountfield HK	16	8	6	2	24	.750	43	42	+1
10	Kometa Brno	16	8	5	3	24	.750	43	43	0
11	Litvinov	17	7	9	1	21	.618	36	45	−9
12	Mlada Boleslav	17	6	10	1	17	.500	35	57	−22
13	Vitkovice	15	5	8	2	16	.533	37	49	−12
14	Olomouc	17	4	11	2	13	.382	32	55	−23

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Mountfield HK vs Karlovy Vary prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details