Mountfield HK vs Pardubice prediction
Chance to win · 33% and 46% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostPardubiceodds up 2.06Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.41Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonHradec Kralove +1.51.38Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostPardubiceodds up 1.65Confidence 58%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostPardubice or drawodds up 1.36Confidence 69%
- Draw no betLostPardubiceodds up 1.60Confidence 60%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.09Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostPardubiceodds up 2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.22Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period1–017%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-1, 2-1, 0-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 16, 2026: Pardubice 3, Mountfield HK 5.
- Jan 9, 2026: Mountfield HK 4, Pardubice 3, after a shootout.
- Nov 28, 2025: Pardubice 3, Mountfield HK 1.
- Oct 12, 2025: Mountfield HK 2, Pardubice 1, after overtime.
- Sep 10, 2025: Pardubice 7, Mountfield HK 1.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Karlovy Vary, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Hradec Kralove 2.18, Karlovy Vary 2.80.
- Loss, 3–4 at Mlada Boleslav, Oct 18. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.40, Hradec Kralove 2.18.
- Win, 4–1 at Litvinov, Oct 15. Odds: Litvinov 2.70, Hradec Kralove 2.02.
- Win, 3–1 against Olomouc, Oct 11. Odds: Hradec Kralove 1.56, Olomouc 4.60.
- Loss, 2–5 at Trinec, Oct 9. Odds: Trinec 1.63, Hradec Kralove 4.10.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Kladno, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Kladno 3.20, Pardubice 1.90.
- Win, 4–1 at Olomouc, Oct 18. Odds: Olomouc 6.60, Pardubice 1.40.
- Win, 2–1 against Vaxjo, after overtime, Oct 13. Odds: Pardubice 3.74, Vaxjo 1.66.
- Win, 5–4 against Trinec, after overtime, Oct 11. Odds: Pardubice 2.11, Trinec 2.82.
- Win, 3–2 at Vitkovice, Oct 9. Odds: Vitkovice 3.90, Pardubice 1.66.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 07:31 Goal Mountfield HK: Kohout M. assists: McCormack G., Nenonen M. 1-0
2nd period1-0
- 05:20 2 min Pardubice: Stransky M. Tripping
- 06:40 Goal PPG Mountfield HK: Koch A. assists: Jergl A., Klima Kev. 2-0
- 07:01 2 min Mountfield HK: Cacho V. Roughing
- 07:01 2 min Pardubice: Stransky M. Roughing
- 07:01 2 min Pardubice: Tomasek D. Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 16:51 2 min Mountfield HK: Perret J. Roughing
- 16:51 2 min Pardubice: Stransky J. Roughing
3rd period0-0
- 07:43 2 min Pardubice: Stransky J. Tripping
- 16:34 2 min Mountfield HK: Kalina P. Interference
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Skorvanek S. for Mountfield HK (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts), Will R. for Pardubice (8-2-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 5-0-1 away for Pardubice this season.
- Goal differential gap of 1.3 per game — Mountfield HK +0.4, Pardubice +1.7 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Mountfield HK.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Pardubice.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MOU) | 2.80 | 2.45 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PAR) | 2.10 | 2.35 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MOU | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 7 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 | |
| 10 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 | |
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 | |
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 | |
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Mountfield HK host Pardubice in the Extraliga on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.