Mountfield HK vs Plzen prediction
Chance to win · 45% and 32% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2Hradec Kralove2.30Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderO3.51.31Confidence 71%
- HandicapPlzen +1.51.28Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)Hradec Kralove1.78Confidence 58%
- Double chanceHradec Kralove or draw1.41Confidence 69%
- Draw no betHradec Kraloveodds up 1.71Confidence 61%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)Yes1.15Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2Draw2.25Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderU1.51.61Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct score3–24%chance
- 1st period correct score0–024%chance
- Highest scoring period3rd period27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Predicted team stats
The brighter bar is the bigger figureShots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 27, 2026: Plzen 2, Mountfield HK 1.
- Jan 18, 2026: Plzen 2, Mountfield HK 3, after a shootout.
- Dec 7, 2025: Mountfield HK 5, Plzen 4.
- Oct 24, 2025: Plzen 2, Mountfield HK 3.
- Sep 16, 2025: Mountfield HK 4, Plzen 3, after overtime.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Liberec, after overtime, Nov 1. Odds: Liberec 2.20, Hradec Kralove 2.65.
- Loss, 0–3 at Ceske Budejovice, Oct 27. Odds: C. Budejovice 2.45, Hradec Kralove 2.35.
- Win, 2–0 against Pardubice, Oct 25. Odds: Hradec Kralove 2.45, Pardubice 2.35.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Karlovy Vary, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Hradec Kralove 2.18, Karlovy Vary 2.80.
- Loss, 3–4 at Mlada Boleslav, Oct 18. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.40, Hradec Kralove 2.18.
- Loss, 4–5 at Davos, Nov 10. Odds: Davos 1.95, Plzen 2.70.
- Win, 6–5 against Kladno, after a shootout, Nov 1. Odds: Plzen 1.91, Kladno 3.30.
- Win, 4–2 against Trinec, Oct 30. Odds: Plzen 2.60, Trinec 2.30.
- Win, 3–2 against Olomouc, after overtime, Oct 27. Odds: Plzen 1.42, Olomouc 6.00.
- Loss, 0–2 at Liberec, Oct 25. Odds: Liberec 2.11, Plzen 2.90.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Mountfield HK.
- −1.5 goals away — Plzen averaged 3.4 at home and 1.9 away this season.
- 1-2-2 in the last five for Mountfield HK.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
- 9th vs 7th in the Extraliga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MOU) | 2.25 | 2.25 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PLZ) | 2.70 | 2.70 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 4.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap MOU | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 7 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 | |
| 10 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 | |
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 | |
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 | |
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Mountfield HK host Plzen in the Extraliga on Friday, November 13, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.