Nantes vs Morzine-Avoriaz prediction
Chance to win · 39% and 39% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostMorzine-Avoriaz3.25Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderPushU61.62Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostMorzine-Avoriaz +1.5odds down 1.57Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostMorzine-Avoriazodds down 2.41Confidence 51%
- Double chanceLostMorzine-Avoriaz or draw1.75Confidence 62%
- Draw no betLostMorzine-AvoriazConfidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDraw2.75Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 3 games; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Nantes 2–3
Morzine-Avoriaz Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min4–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–019%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (3%), 1-4 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonNantes
Morzine-Avoriaz
Head-to-head
Nantes 3–1
Morzine-Avoriaz - Feb 24, 2026: Nantes 4, Morzine-Avoriaz 3, after a shootout.
- Dec 10, 2025: Morzine-Avoriaz 1, Nantes 2.
- Jan 11, 2025: Nantes 4, Morzine-Avoriaz 3, after overtime.
- Dec 7, 2024: Morzine-Avoriaz 4, Nantes 1.
Last five games
Nantes
3-1-1 - Win, 3–1 at Cholet, Oct 16. Odds: Cholet 1.77, Nantes 3.40.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Strasbourg, after a shootout, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–0 at Valenciennes, Oct 3.
- Loss, 0–5 at Cholet, Sep 26.
- Win, 5–4 against HCMP, after overtime, Mar 22.
Morzine-Avoriaz
2-3-0 - Loss, 0–10 against Marseille, Oct 20. Odds: Morzine-Avoriaz 13.20, Marseille 1.08.
- Loss, 2–3 against Villard, Oct 17. Odds: Morzine-Avoriaz 1.87, Villard 2.93.
- Loss, 2–4 at Meudon, Oct 10.
- Win, 5–3 at Valence, Oct 3.
- Win, 3–1 at Roanne, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Morzine-Avoriaz coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Nantes, 3 for Morzine-Avoriaz.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Nantes.
- 5.5 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 1st vs 13th in the D1 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NAN) | 1.73 | 1.72 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.45 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (MOR) | 3.49 | 3.30 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap NAN | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
D1 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nantes |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 1.188 | 28 | 14 | +14 |
| 2 |  Lyon |
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 1.063 | 33 | 23 | +10 |
| 3 |  Dunkerque Corsaires |
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1.000 | 35 | 20 | +15 |
| 4 |  Neuilly Sur Marne |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 29 | 24 | +5 |
| 5 |  Valence |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 26 | 18 | +8 |
| 6 |  Epinal |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .938 | 23 | 15 | +8 |
| 7 |  Caen |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | .929 | 24 | 16 | +8 |
| 8 |  Chambery |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | .833 | 21 | 16 | +5 |
| 9 |  Meudon |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | .625 | 21 | 25 | −4 |
| 10 |  Tours |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | .714 | 18 | 30 | −12 |
| 11 |  Mont Blanc |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | .643 | 23 | 24 | −1 |
| 12 |  Villard |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 18 | 27 | −9 |
| 13 | Morzine-Avoriaz |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 22 | 32 | −10 |
| 14 |  Strasbourg |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 15 | 26 | −11 |
| 15 |  Cholet |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | .417 | 14 | 19 | −5 |
| 16 |  Valenciennes |
7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 11 | 32 | −21 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Nantes host Morzine-Avoriaz in the D1 on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.