Nantes vs Villard prediction
Chance to win · 51% and 27% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonNantesodds down 1.80Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU5.51.90Confidence 68%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostVillard +1.51.55Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonNantesodds down 1.50Confidence 62%
- Double chanceWonNantes or drawodds up 1.26Confidence 70%
- Draw no betWonNantesConfidence 64%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostNantesConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min6–25%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–219%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (5%), 2-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Jan 17, 2026: Nantes 0, Villard 3.
- Nov 1, 2025: Villard 1, Nantes 0.
- Mar 1, 2025: Nantes 1, Villard 2, after overtime.
- Nov 16, 2024: Villard 2, Nantes 4.
Last five games
- Win, 5–1 at Meudon, Oct 27. Odds: Meudon 2.40, Nantes 2.25.
- Win, 4–2 against Morzine-Avoriaz, Oct 24. Odds: Nantes 1.72, Morzine-Avoriaz 3.30.
- Win, 3–1 at Cholet, Oct 16. Odds: Cholet 1.77, Nantes 3.40.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Strasbourg, after a shootout, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–0 at Valenciennes, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–4 at Valence, Oct 27. Odds: Valence 2.30, Villard 2.30.
- Win, 4–1 against Meudon, Oct 24. Odds: Villard 2.25, Meudon 2.40.
- Loss, 0–4 against Gap, Oct 20. Odds: Villard 7.00, Gap 1.28.
- Win, 3–2 at Morzine-Avoriaz, Oct 17. Odds: Morzine-Avoriaz 1.87, Villard 2.93.
- Win, 4–3 against Cholet, Oct 10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Nantes coming into this game.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Villard.
- 3.3 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 1st vs 12th in the D1 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NAN) | 1.72 | 1.72 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.75 | 4.75 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (VIL) | 3.30 | 3.30 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap NAN | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
D1 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 1.188 | 28 | 14 | +14 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 1.063 | 33 | 23 | +10 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1.000 | 35 | 20 | +15 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 29 | 24 | +5 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 26 | 18 | +8 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .938 | 23 | 15 | +8 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | .929 | 24 | 16 | +8 | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | .833 | 21 | 16 | +5 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | .625 | 21 | 25 | −4 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | .714 | 18 | 30 | −12 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | .643 | 23 | 24 | −1 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 18 | 27 | −9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 22 | 32 | −10 | |
| 14 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 15 | 26 | −11 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | .417 | 14 | 19 | −5 | |
| 16 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 11 | 32 | −21 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Nantes host Villard in the D1 on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.