Nashville Predators vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction
Nashville Predators 5–, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
AP
Puck drop 14:00 ET
1X2 3.301X2 1.86
Bridgestone Arena (Nashville, TN) · USABridgestone Arena (Nashville, TN)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
OT
SO
NSH
1
2
1
0
1
TBL
1
2
1
0
0
47%Nashville win · 36% in regulationNSH
Overtime or shootout · 23%OT / SO 23%
53%Tampa Bay win · 41% in regulationTBL
Chance to win · 36% and 41% in regulation
Annunen J.StartedSV 92.4% · GAA 2.22 · 5-5-0
Vasilevski A.StartedSV 87.2% · GAA 3.00 · 6-4-0
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Won
Predators +2.5
odds up 1.26
Confidence73%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostLightning1.90Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.36Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonPredators +2.5odds up 1.26Confidence 73%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostLightningodds up 1.52Confidence 55%
- Double chanceWonLightning or drawodds up 1.29Confidence 67%
- Draw no betPushLightningodds down 1.53Confidence 56%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostLightning2.41Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.76Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Predators 2–4
Lightning
Total goalsTotal
6
Actual 9
Draw after 60 minDraw
23%
Went to a shootout
Tampa Bay to winTo win
53%
NSH won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–4After 60 min4–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–17%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-4
- By period 0-2, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-4 (4%), 2-3 (3%), 3-5 (2%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Nashville Predators
Tampa Bay Lightning
Nashville Predators
Tampa Bay Lightning
Season recordNashville Predators 4-4-5Tampa Bay Lightning 8-3-1
Home / road splitNashville Predators 3-3-2Tampa Bay Lightning 2-3-1
StreakNashville Predators L2Tampa Bay Lightning W1
RestNashville Predators 1 dayTampa Bay Lightning 1 day
Goals forNashville Predators 2.8Tampa Bay Lightning 3.7
Goals againstNashville Predators 3.3Tampa Bay Lightning 3.2
In the standingsNashville Predators 3rdTampa Bay Lightning 3rd
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameNashville Predators −0.1Tampa Bay Lightning +0.8
Goals forNashville Predators 3.0Tampa Bay Lightning 4.0
Goals againstNashville Predators 3.1Tampa Bay Lightning 3.2
Shots on goalNashville Predators 26.4Tampa Bay Lightning 30.9
Shots againstNashville Predators 28.3Tampa Bay Lightning 24.3
Shooting %Nashville Predators 11.4%Tampa Bay Lightning 12.9%
Save %Nashville Predators 89.0%Tampa Bay Lightning 87.7%
Power-play %Nashville Predators 25.6%Tampa Bay Lightning 17.9%
Penalty kill %Nashville Predators 91.9%Tampa Bay Lightning 82.4%
Faceoff %Nashville Predators 51.3%Tampa Bay Lightning 47.7%
Penalty minutesNashville Predators 8.0Tampa Bay Lightning 7.7
HitsNashville Predators 22.6Tampa Bay Lightning 19.6
Blocked shotsNashville Predators 13.4Tampa Bay Lightning 16.2
Per game · NSH at home, TBL away
Goal differential per gameNashville Predators 0.0Tampa Bay Lightning −0.3
Goals forNashville Predators 3.0Tampa Bay Lightning 2.8
Goals againstNashville Predators 3.0Tampa Bay Lightning 3.1
Shots on goalNashville Predators 26.7Tampa Bay Lightning 25.5
Shots againstNashville Predators 28.3Tampa Bay Lightning 25.2
Shooting %Nashville Predators 11.2%Tampa Bay Lightning 11.0%
Save %Nashville Predators 89.8%Tampa Bay Lightning 88.9%
Power-play %Nashville Predators 30.6%Tampa Bay Lightning 10.9%
Penalty kill %Nashville Predators 88.6%Tampa Bay Lightning 88.6%
Faceoff %Nashville Predators 52.4%Tampa Bay Lightning 46.0%
Penalty minutesNashville Predators 7.8Tampa Bay Lightning 9.4
HitsNashville Predators 20.1Tampa Bay Lightning 25.7
Blocked shotsNashville Predators 13.9Tampa Bay Lightning 17.2
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Predators 1–4
Lightning
Goals a gameGoals
5.0
NSH 1.8 · TBL 3.2
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
1 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
1 of 5
1 in overtime
- Sep 22, 2026: Nashville Predators 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2, after overtime.
- Sep 20, 2026: Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Nashville Predators 1.
- Mar 29, 2026: Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Nashville Predators 2.
- Oct 28, 2025: Nashville Predators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5.
- Sep 27, 2025: Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Nashville Predators 1.
Last five games
Predators
1-2-2 - Loss, 3–4 against Washington Capitals, Oct 29. Odds: Predators 2.42, Capitals 2.43.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against New York Islanders, after a shootout, Oct 27. Odds: Predators 2.20, Islanders 2.70.
- Win, 6–2 against Colorado Avalanche, Oct 25. Odds: Predators 4.20, Avalanche 1.60.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Pittsburgh Penguins, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Penguins 2.15, Predators 2.65.
- Loss, 0–6 at Boston Bruins, Oct 22. Odds: Bruins 1.91, Predators 3.20.
Lightning
3-1-1 - Win, 6–4 against Winnipeg Jets, Oct 29. Odds: Lightning 1.67, Jets 3.90.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at Utah Mammoth, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Mammoth 2.01, Lightning 2.90.
- Loss, 3–6 at Colorado Avalanche, Oct 23. Odds: Avalanche 2.15, Lightning 2.70.
- Win, 6–2 at Vegas Golden Knights, Oct 20. Odds: Golden Knights 2.40, Lightning 2.40.
- Win, 4–2 against Vancouver Canucks, Oct 17. Odds: Lightning 1.50, Canucks 5.30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 06:23 2 min Tampa Bay Lightning: Moser J.J. Tripping
- 11:14 Goal Nashville Predators: Schaefer R. assists: Kerfoot A., Perbix N. 1-0
- 13:38 Goal Tampa Bay Lightning: Carlson J. assists: Kucherov N., D'Astous C. 1-1
2nd period2-2
- 00:18 Goal Tampa Bay Lightning: Guentzel J. assists: Carlson J., Kucherov N. 1-2
- 00:45 Goal Nashville Predators: Edstrom A. assists: Skjei B. 2-2
- 03:23 Goal Tampa Bay Lightning: Hedman V. assists: Kucherov N., Point B. 2-3
- 13:01 2 min Nashville Predators: Drury J. Hooking
- 19:42 Goal Nashville Predators: Struble J. assists: Wilsby A., Forsberg F. 3-3
3rd period1-1
- 01:06 2 min Nashville Predators: O'Reilly R. Tripping
- 03:31 Goal Tampa Bay Lightning: Geekie C. assists: Truchon-Viel J. 3-4
- 07:05 2 min Tampa Bay Lightning: Sabourin S. Hooking
- 07:27 Goal PPG Nashville Predators: Stamkos S. assists: Forsberg F., O'Reilly R. 4-4
- 11:05 2 min Tampa Bay Lightning: Mikheyev I. Hooking
- 17:03 2 min Nashville Predators: Wilsby A. Delay of game
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout1-0
-
Round 1
Forsberg F.
✗missed
Holmberg P.
✗missed
-
Round 2
O'Reilly R.
✗missed
Point B.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Marchessault J.
✗missed
Guentzel J.
✗missed
-
Round 4
Stamkos S.
✓scored
Goncalves G.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Annunen J. for Nashville Predators (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts), Vasilevski A. for Tampa Bay Lightning (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Tampa Bay Lightning.
- 1-2-2 in the last five for Nashville Predators.
- 5.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NSH) | 3.30 | 3.30 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TBL) | 1.86 | 1.86 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6 | Line lowered |
| Handicap NSH | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Wild |
20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | .750 | 65 | 44 | +21 |
| 2 |  Colorado Avalanche |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 78 | 59 | +19 |
| 3 | Nashville Predators |
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 51 | +4 |
| 4 |  Dallas Stars |
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .647 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 5 |  Utah Mammoth |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 63 | 63 | 0 |
| 6 |  Winnipeg Jets |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 53 | 65 | −12 |
| 7 |  St. Louis Blues |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 53 | 55 | −2 |
| 8 |  Chicago Blackhawks |
18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 9 | .250 | 39 | 76 | −37 |
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 2 |  Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 4 |  Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 5 |  Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 6 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 7 |  Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 8 |  Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Nashville Predators host Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.