Neuilly Sur Marne vs Cholet prediction
Chance to win · 39% and 40% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2Cholet3.20Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderU6.5odds down 1.56Confidence 70%
- HandicapNeuilly +1.5Confidence 68%
- Winner (incl. OT)Cholet2.37Confidence 51%
- Double chanceCholet or draw1.72Confidence 65%
- Draw no betCholetConfidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)YesConfidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2Cholet3.25Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderO1.5odds up 1.69Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Neuilly 2–3
Cholet Score details
- Correct score2–34%chance
- 1st period correct score0–26%chance
- Highest scoring period3rd period28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonNeuilly Sur Marne
Cholet
Head-to-head
Neuilly 2–2
Cholet - Jan 14, 2026: Cholet 4, Neuilly Sur Marne 3.
- Oct 28, 2025: Neuilly Sur Marne 3, Cholet 2, after overtime.
- Jan 29, 2025: Cholet 3, Neuilly Sur Marne 2.
- Oct 12, 2024: Neuilly Sur Marne 2, Cholet 1, after a shootout.
Last five games
Neuilly
4-1-0 - Win, 4–2 at Strasbourg, Nov 7. Odds: Strasbourg 2.15, Neuilly 2.25.
- Win, 5–2 against Valenciennes, Oct 31. Odds: Neuilly 1.46, Valenciennes 4.50.
- Loss, 2–5 at Chambery, Oct 28. Odds: Chambery 2.30, Neuilly 2.30.
- Win, 5–4 against Tours, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Neuilly 2.02, Tours 2.65.
- Win, 3–2 at Mont Blanc, Oct 17. Odds: Mont Blanc 2.33, Neuilly 2.21.
Cholet
2-1-2 - Overtime loss, 1–2 against Epinal, after overtime, Nov 7. Odds: Cholet 2.25, Epinal 2.15.
- Win, 4–3 at Dunkerque Corsaires, after overtime, Nov 3. Odds: Dunkerque 1.93, Cholet 2.95.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Lyon, after overtime, Oct 28. Odds: Cholet 1.85, Lyon 2.95.
- Win, 2–1 at La Roche sur Yon, after overtime, Oct 21. Odds: La Roche 8.70, Cholet 1.22.
- Loss, 1–3 against Nantes, Oct 16. Odds: Cholet 1.77, Nantes 3.40.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Neuilly Sur Marne.
- Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
- 5.0 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
- 4th vs 15th in the D1 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NSM) | 1.75 | 1.75 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (CHO) | 3.30 | 3.30 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
D1 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nantes |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 1.188 | 28 | 14 | +14 |
| 2 |  Lyon |
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 1.063 | 33 | 23 | +10 |
| 3 |  Dunkerque Corsaires |
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1.000 | 35 | 20 | +15 |
| 4 | Neuilly Sur Marne |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 29 | 24 | +5 |
| 5 |  Valence |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 26 | 18 | +8 |
| 6 |  Epinal |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .938 | 23 | 15 | +8 |
| 7 |  Caen |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | .929 | 24 | 16 | +8 |
| 8 |  Chambery |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | .833 | 21 | 16 | +5 |
| 9 |  Meudon |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | .625 | 21 | 25 | −4 |
| 10 |  Tours |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | .714 | 18 | 30 | −12 |
| 11 |  Mont Blanc |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | .643 | 23 | 24 | −1 |
| 12 |  Villard |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 18 | 27 | −9 |
| 13 |  Morzine-Avoriaz |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 22 | 32 | −10 |
| 14 |  Strasbourg |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 15 | 26 | −11 |
| 15 | Cholet |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | .417 | 14 | 19 | −5 |
| 16 |  Valenciennes |
7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 11 | 32 | −21 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Neuilly Sur Marne host Cholet in the D1 on Wednesday, November 11, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.