Neuilly Sur Marne vs Valenciennes prediction
Chance to win · 56% and 26% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonNeuillyodds down 1.52Confidence 57%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostValenciennes +1.51.90Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonNeuilly1.33Confidence 64%
- Double chanceWonNeuilly or draw1.11Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonNeuillyConfidence 66%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2No betNeuillyConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderNo betO1.5Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min5–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreNo bet2–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodNo bet3rd period29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 2-1 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Jan 21, 2026: Neuilly Sur Marne 3, Valenciennes 6.
- Nov 5, 2025: Valenciennes 4, Neuilly Sur Marne 5.
- Jan 25, 2025: Neuilly Sur Marne 5, Valenciennes 2.
- Oct 9, 2024: Valenciennes 1, Neuilly Sur Marne 4.
- Sep 28, 2024: Valenciennes 5, Neuilly Sur Marne 1.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–5 at Chambery, Oct 28. Odds: Chambery 2.30, Neuilly 2.30.
- Win, 5–4 against Tours, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Neuilly 2.02, Tours 2.65.
- Win, 3–2 at Mont Blanc, Oct 17. Odds: Mont Blanc 2.33, Neuilly 2.21.
- Overtime loss, 5–6 against Valence, after a shootout, Oct 10.
- Win, 4–3 against Epinal, Oct 3.
- Loss, 3–5 against Epinal, Oct 28. Odds: Valenciennes 2.47, Epinal 2.12.
- Loss, 1–7 at Dunkerque Corsaires, Oct 24. Odds: Dunkerque 1.50, Valenciennes 4.50.
- Win, 7–2 at Evry, Oct 20. Odds: Evry 8.50, Valenciennes 1.22.
- Loss, 2–3 against Lyon, Oct 17. Odds: Valenciennes 2.46, Lyon 2.11.
- Loss, 2–5 at Caen, Oct 10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Neuilly Sur Marne.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Valenciennes.
- 7.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 4th vs 16th in the D1 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NSM) | 1.46 | 1.46 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.10 | 5.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (VAL) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap NSM | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
D1 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 1.188 | 28 | 14 | +14 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 1.063 | 33 | 23 | +10 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1.000 | 35 | 20 | +15 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 29 | 24 | +5 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 26 | 18 | +8 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .938 | 23 | 15 | +8 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | .929 | 24 | 16 | +8 | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | .833 | 21 | 16 | +5 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | .625 | 21 | 25 | −4 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | .714 | 18 | 30 | −12 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | .643 | 23 | 24 | −1 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 18 | 27 | −9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 22 | 32 | −10 | |
| 14 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 15 | 26 | −11 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | .417 | 14 | 19 | −5 | |
| 16 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 11 | 32 | −21 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Neuilly Sur Marne host Valenciennes in the D1 on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.