New York Islanders vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction
New York Islanders 3–, Carolina Hurricanes 5
FT
Puck drop 19:00 ET
1X2 3.751X2 1.76
UBS Arena (Elmont, NY) · USAUBS Arena (Elmont, NY)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
NYI
0
3
0
CAR
2
1
2
39%New York win · 29% in regulationNYI
Overtime or shootout · 23%OT / SO 23%
61%Carolina win · 48% in regulationCAR
Chance to win · 29% and 48% in regulation
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Double chance
Won
Hurricanes or draw
odds down 1.31
Confidence71%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonHurricanesodds down 1.93Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.40Confidence 69%
- HandicapLostIslanders +1.5odds up 1.53Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonHurricanesodds down 1.55Confidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonHurricanes or drawodds down 1.31Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonHurricanesodds down 1.50Confidence 65%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonHurricanesodds down 2.47Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.83Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Islanders 2–3
Hurricanes
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 8
Draw after 60 minDraw
23%
Decided in regulation
Carolina to winTo win
61%
CAR won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min3–53%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–21st period0–28%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
New York Islanders
Carolina Hurricanes
New York Islanders
Carolina Hurricanes
Season recordNew York Islanders 7-5-2Carolina Hurricanes 12-3-2
Home / road splitNew York Islanders 4-2-1Carolina Hurricanes 7-2-1
StreakNew York Islanders L1Carolina Hurricanes L1
RestNew York Islanders 4 daysCarolina Hurricanes 1 day
Goals forNew York Islanders 2.9Carolina Hurricanes 3.8
Goals againstNew York Islanders 2.8Carolina Hurricanes 2.4
In the standingsNew York Islanders 5thCarolina Hurricanes 1st
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameNew York Islanders −0.4Carolina Hurricanes +1.5
Goals forNew York Islanders 2.6Carolina Hurricanes 3.7
Goals againstNew York Islanders 3.0Carolina Hurricanes 2.2
Shots on goalNew York Islanders 26.2Carolina Hurricanes 33.5
Shots againstNew York Islanders 24.9Carolina Hurricanes 22.8
Shooting %New York Islanders 9.9%Carolina Hurricanes 11.0%
Save %New York Islanders 88.8%Carolina Hurricanes 90.8%
Power-play %New York Islanders 10.5%Carolina Hurricanes 21.2%
Penalty kill %New York Islanders 88.4%Carolina Hurricanes 78.1%
Faceoff %New York Islanders 55.8%Carolina Hurricanes 50.3%
Penalty minutesNew York Islanders 11.4Carolina Hurricanes 6.7
HitsNew York Islanders 24.9Carolina Hurricanes 20.1
Blocked shotsNew York Islanders 14.9Carolina Hurricanes 15.7
Per game · NYI at home, CAR away
Goal differential per gameNew York Islanders −0.3Carolina Hurricanes +1.3
Goals forNew York Islanders 2.3Carolina Hurricanes 3.9
Goals againstNew York Islanders 2.6Carolina Hurricanes 2.6
Shots on goalNew York Islanders 28.4Carolina Hurricanes 35.3
Shots againstNew York Islanders 23.3Carolina Hurricanes 22.2
Shooting %New York Islanders 8.1%Carolina Hurricanes 11.0%
Save %New York Islanders 90.1%Carolina Hurricanes 88.7%
Power-play %New York Islanders 11.9%Carolina Hurricanes 22.6%
Penalty kill %New York Islanders 88.9%Carolina Hurricanes 81.8%
Faceoff %New York Islanders 54.9%Carolina Hurricanes 51.7%
Penalty minutesNew York Islanders 12.9Carolina Hurricanes 6.6
HitsNew York Islanders 21.7Carolina Hurricanes 19.1
Blocked shotsNew York Islanders 13.9Carolina Hurricanes 15.1
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Islanders 1–4
Hurricanes
Goals a gameGoals
6.6
NYI 2.6 · CAR 4.0
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
3 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
1 of 5
1 in overtime
- Apr 14, 2026: New York Islanders 1, Carolina Hurricanes 2.
- Apr 4, 2026: Carolina Hurricanes 4, New York Islanders 3.
- Oct 30, 2025: Carolina Hurricanes 6, New York Islanders 2.
- Mar 30, 2025: Carolina Hurricanes 6, New York Islanders 4.
- Jan 25, 2025: New York Islanders 3, Carolina Hurricanes 2, after overtime.
Last five games
Islanders
2-2-1 - Loss, 0–4 against Edmonton Oilers, Oct 31. Odds: Islanders 2.35, Oilers 2.45.
- Win, 4–3 at Minnesota Wild, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Wild 1.89, Islanders 3.40.
- Win, 4–3 at Nashville Predators, after a shootout, Oct 27. Odds: Predators 2.20, Islanders 2.70.
- Loss, 3–6 at Dallas Stars, Oct 25. Odds: Stars 1.93, Islanders 3.34.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Los Angeles Kings, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: Islanders 2.50, Kings 2.40.
Hurricanes
4-1-0 - Loss, 1–4 at Nashville Predators, Nov 3. Odds: Predators 3.67, Hurricanes 1.85.
- Win, 7–0 against Winnipeg Jets, Nov 1. Odds: Hurricanes 1.51, Jets 4.90.
- Win, 3–2 against Columbus Blue Jackets, Oct 29. Odds: Hurricanes 1.58, Blue Jackets 4.50.
- Win, 2–1 against Boston Bruins, Oct 27. Odds: Hurricanes 1.72, Bruins 3.65.
- Win, 4–0 at St. Louis Blues, Oct 24. Odds: Blues 3.10, Hurricanes 1.96.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 00:57 Goal Carolina Hurricanes: Stankoven L. assists: Blake J., Miller K. 0-1
- 03:20 Goal Carolina Hurricanes: Kotkaniemi J. assists: Martinook J., Chatfield J. 0-2
- 03:35 2 min Carolina Hurricanes: Walker S. Holding the stick
2nd period3-1
- 03:40 Goal New York Islanders: Chaffee M. assists: Schaefer M., Cizikas C. 1-2
- 05:44 Goal New York Islanders: Schenn B. assists: Eklund V., Kessel M. 2-2
- 06:44 Goal Carolina Hurricanes: Svechnikov A. assists: Aho S., Carrier W. 2-3
- 07:23 2 min Carolina Hurricanes: Gostisbehere S. Holding
- 17:13 Goal New York Islanders: Eklund V. assists: Schenn B., Heineman E. 3-3
- 19:25 2 min New York Islanders: Pelech A. Holding
3rd period0-2
- 04:21 2 min Carolina Hurricanes: Blake J. Tripping
- 04:47 2 min New York Islanders: Schenn B. Holding the stick
- 08:02 2 min Carolina Hurricanes: Jankowski M. High sticking
- 14:49 Goal Carolina Hurricanes: Carrier W. assists: Svechnikov A., Aho S. 3-4
- 19:09 Goal ENG Carolina Hurricanes: Chatfield J. 3-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for New York Islanders, 1 for Carolina Hurricanes.
- Goal differential gap of 1.9 per game — New York Islanders −0.4, Carolina Hurricanes +1.5 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Carolina Hurricanes.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Carolina Hurricanes.
- Save % gap: New York Islanders 88.8%, Carolina Hurricanes 90.8% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NYI) | 3.75 | 3.75 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (CAR) | 1.76 | 1.76 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap NYI | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Metropolitan Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | .789 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 |  New Jersey Devils |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 68 | 55 | +13 |
| 3 |  New York Rangers |
19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .553 | 56 | 55 | +1 |
| 4 |  Washington Capitals |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 56 | 53 | +3 |
| 5 | New York Islanders |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .529 | 49 | 52 | −3 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Flyers |
20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | .375 | 45 | 66 | −21 |
| 7 |  Columbus Blue Jackets |
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .438 | 41 | 51 | −10 |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh Penguins |
18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .389 | 58 | 65 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
New York Islanders host Carolina Hurricanes in the NHL on Thursday, November 5, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.