Niagara IceDogs vs Erie Otters prediction
Chance to win · 52% and 27% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostNiagaraodds up 2.13Confidence 52%
- Over/UnderWonU7odds up 1.48Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonErie +1.5odds down 1.42Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonNiagaraodds up 1.71Confidence 64%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonNiagara or drawodds up 1.40Confidence 73%
- Draw no betPushNiagaraodds up 1.69Confidence 67%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.04Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostNiagaraodds up 2.49Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.65Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–33%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (2%), 2-1 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 24, 2026: Erie Otters 5, Niagara IceDogs 2.
- Mar 22, 2026: Niagara IceDogs 6, Erie Otters 5, after overtime.
- Mar 14, 2026: Erie Otters 1, Niagara IceDogs 7.
- Feb 26, 2026: Niagara IceDogs 5, Erie Otters 4, after a shootout.
- Nov 8, 2025: Erie Otters 5, Niagara IceDogs 2.
Last five games
- Win, 5–4 at North Bay Battalion, Oct 18. Odds: North Bay 1.80, Niagara 3.45.
- Loss, 2–5 at Kitchener Rangers, Oct 16. Odds: Kitchener 1.69, Niagara 3.65.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Soo Greyhounds, after overtime, Oct 15. Odds: Niagara 3.45, Sault Ste Marie 1.77.
- Win, 4–2 against Barrie Colts, Oct 10. Odds: Niagara 1.95, Barrie 2.80.
- Win, 2–1 against Ottawa 67s, after overtime, Oct 8.
- Loss, 1–7 against London Knights, Oct 17. Odds: Erie 3.26, London 1.80.
- Loss, 1–3 against Soo Greyhounds, Oct 16. Odds: Erie 2.46, Sault Ste Marie 2.21.
- Win, 3–2 against Barrie Colts, Oct 11. Odds: Erie 1.56, Barrie 4.47.
- Loss, 0–3 against Ottawa 67s, Oct 10.
- Win, 4–3 at London Knights, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: London 1.32, Erie 6.30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period2-2
- 00:16 Goal Erie Otters: Dec M. assists: Agrette M. 0-1
- 04:56 Goal Niagara IceDogs: Banas J. assists: Langdon J., Dell'Elce S. 1-1
- 11:55 Goal Niagara IceDogs: Smith R. assists: Cheynowski C. 2-1
- 13:52 Goal Erie Otters: Kamzik K. assists: Cooper T., Kennedy C. 2-2
3rd period1-1
- 00:43 Goal Niagara IceDogs: Edgar R. assists: Smith R., Cheynowski C. 3-2
- 16:59 Goal Erie Otters: McArthur B. assists: Agrette M., Dec M. 3-3
Overtime1-0
- 02:30 Goal Niagara IceDogs: Banas J. 4-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Erie Otters dropped from 2.00 to 1.74 since they were first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Niagara IceDogs.
- 8.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NIA) | 2.63 | 2.47 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.33 | 4.10 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (ERI) | 2.20 | 2.27 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap NIA | −1.5 | +1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .711 | 76 | 53 | +23 | |
| 2 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 17 | .500 | 50 | 64 | −14 | |
| 3 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 15 | .395 | 68 | 79 | −11 | |
| 4 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 10 | .263 | 52 | 83 | −31 | |
| 5 | 19 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 9 | .237 | 41 | 73 | −32 |
Regular Season · Midwest Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 30 | .833 | 81 | 53 | +28 | |
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 71 | 59 | +12 | |
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 23 | .605 | 61 | 56 | +5 | |
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 65 | −5 | |
| 5 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 15 | .395 | 49 | 78 | −29 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Niagara IceDogs host Erie Otters in the OHL on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.