Niagara IceDogs vs Soo Greyhounds prediction
Chance to win · 34% and 44% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostSault Ste Marieodds down 1.71Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU7.5odds up 1.33Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonNiagara +1.5odds up 1.65Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSault Ste Marieodds down 1.43Confidence 57%
- Double chanceWonSault Ste Marie or draw1.24Confidence 68%
- Draw no betPushSault Ste Marieodds down 1.39Confidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonSault Ste Marieodds down 2.17Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.67Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min4–43%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–38%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 3-4 (2%), 1-2 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Jan 29, 2026: Niagara IceDogs 6, Soo Greyhounds 3.
- Jan 10, 2026: Soo Greyhounds 5, Niagara IceDogs 0.
- Dec 13, 2024: Soo Greyhounds 4, Niagara IceDogs 8.
- Nov 21, 2024: Niagara IceDogs 7, Soo Greyhounds 2.
Last five games
- Win, 4–2 against Barrie Colts, Oct 10. Odds: Niagara 1.95, Barrie 2.80.
- Win, 2–1 against Ottawa 67s, after overtime, Oct 8.
- Loss, 1–7 at Sudbury Wolves, Oct 2.
- Win, 2–1 at Barrie Colts, after overtime, Oct 1.
- Win, 5–2 at Flint Firebirds, Sep 26.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Peterborough Petes, after overtime, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 against Kitchener Rangers, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Sault Ste Marie 2.27, Kitchener 2.37.
- Win, 3–2 at Flint Firebirds, Oct 3.
- Win, 4–3 at Sarnia Sting, after overtime, Oct 2.
- Win, 5–4 against North Bay Battalion, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-3
- 02:04 Goal Soo Greyhounds: Smith B. assists: Szongoth D. 0-1
- 09:53 Goal Soo Greyhounds: Fitzgerald C. assists: Croskery C. 0-2
- 10:33 Goal Niagara IceDogs: Banas J. assists: Dell'Elce S., McFadden W. 1-2
- 12:20 Goal Soo Greyhounds: Fitzgerald C. 1-3
2nd period1-1
- 01:47 Goal Niagara IceDogs: Langdon J. assists: Barnes B., Cheynowski C. 2-3
- 13:17 Goal PPG Soo Greyhounds: Charron J. assists: Brown C., Winkelhofer J. 2-4
3rd period2-0
- 08:07 Goal Niagara IceDogs: Smith R. assists: Edgar R. 3-4
- 08:46 Goal Niagara IceDogs: Galiyanov I. assists: Hull C. 4-4
Overtime0-1
- 00:51 Goal Soo Greyhounds: Hayes T. assists: Croskery C., McKenzie Q. 4-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Niagara IceDogs.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Niagara IceDogs.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Soo Greyhounds.
- 8.8 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NIA) | 3.17 | 3.45 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.35 | 4.47 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (SOO) | 1.89 | 1.77 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap NIA | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .711 | 76 | 53 | +23 | |
| 2 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 17 | .500 | 50 | 64 | −14 | |
| 3 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 15 | .395 | 68 | 79 | −11 | |
| 4 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 10 | .263 | 52 | 83 | −31 | |
| 5 | 19 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 9 | .237 | 41 | 73 | −32 |
Regular Season · West Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .619 | 70 | 69 | +1 | |
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 72 | 58 | +14 | |
| 3 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 64 | 50 | +14 | |
| 4 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 70 | 68 | +2 | |
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 76 | 84 | −8 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Niagara IceDogs host Soo Greyhounds in the OHL on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.