Niagara Purple Eagles vs Union Dutchmen prediction
Chance to win · 19% and 64% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Full game
- 1X2WonUnion1.62Confidence 58%
- Over/UnderLostO5.51.70Confidence 54%
- HandicapWonUnion -1.52.02Confidence 53%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonUnion1.37Confidence 61%
- Double chanceWonUnion or drawodds up 1.21Confidence 66%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betWonUnionodds up 1.31Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostUnion2.15Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.80Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 2 games.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Niagara 2–5
Union Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–5After 60 min1–45%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–010%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-5
- By period 0-2, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-5 (5%), 2-4 (4%), 1-5 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonNiagara Purple Eagles
Union Dutchmen
Head-to-head
Niagara 1–4
Union - Oct 24, 2026: Niagara Purple Eagles 5, Union Dutchmen 4, after overtime.
- Oct 18, 2025: Union Dutchmen 6, Niagara Purple Eagles 0.
- Oct 17, 2025: Union Dutchmen 3, Niagara Purple Eagles 2.
- Nov 30, 2024: Niagara Purple Eagles 3, Union Dutchmen 5.
- Nov 29, 2024: Niagara Purple Eagles 2, Union Dutchmen 4.
Last five games
Niagara
2-3-0 - Win, 2–1 at Bowling Green Falcons, Oct 17. Odds: Bowling Green 1.47, Niagara 4.15.
- Win, 3–2 at Bowling Green Falcons, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Bowling Green 1.38, Niagara 5.25.
- Loss, 0–4 at Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Oct 9.
- Loss, 1–3 at Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Oct 8.
- Loss, 2–4 at RIT Tigers, Oct 3.
Union
2-2-1 - Overtime loss, 2–3 against Providence Friars, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Union 3.35, Providence 1.65.
- Win, 7–1 against Alaska Nanooks, Oct 10.
- Win, 4–2 at Army Black Knights, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–5 at Princeton Tigers, Mar 14.
- Loss, 2–5 at Princeton Tigers, Mar 13.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Union Dutchmen.
- 6.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NPE) | 3.60 | 4.05 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.35 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (UNI) | 1.63 | 1.62 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap NPE | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Atlantic Hockey
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  RIT Tigers |
30 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 96 | 1.600 | 0 |
| 2 | Niagara Purple Eagles |
30 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 94 | 1.567 | 0 |
| 3 | American International | 32 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 1.641 | 0 |
| 4 |  Sacred Heart Pioneers |
30 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 92 | 1.533 | 0 |
| 5 |  Canisius Golden Griffins |
29 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 1.293 | 0 |
| 6 |  Army Black Knights |
30 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 81 | 1.350 | 0 |
| 7 |  Holy Cross Crusaders |
30 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 71 | 1.183 | 0 |
| 8 |  Air Force Falcons |
32 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 1.375 | 0 |
| 9 |  Bentley Falcons |
29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 69 | 1.190 | 0 |
| 10 | Mercyhurst Lakers | 30 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 1.283 | 0 |
NCAA · ECAC
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Quinnipiac Bobcats |
29 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 116 | 2.000 | 0 |
| 2 |  Harvard Crimson |
25 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 92 | 1.840 | 0 |
| 3 |  Cornell Big Red |
25 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 92 | 1.840 | 0 |
| 4 |  St. Lawrence Saints |
30 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 76 | 1.267 | 0 |
| 5 |  Colgate Raiders |
30 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 86 | 1.433 | 0 |
| 6 | Union Dutchmen |
30 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 76 | 1.267 | 0 |
| 7 |  Clarkson Golden Knights |
30 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 82 | 1.367 | 0 |
| 8 |  Princeton Tigers |
25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 73 | 1.460 | 0 |
| 9 |  Rensselaer Engineers |
30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 74 | 1.233 | 0 |
| 10 |  Brown Bears |
25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 59 | 1.180 | 0 |
| 11 |  Yale Bulldogs |
25 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 43 | .860 | 0 |
| 12 |  Dartmouth Big Green |
25 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 60 | 1.200 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Niagara Purple Eagles host Union Dutchmen in the NCAA on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.