Nidaros vs Lillehammer prediction
Chance to win · 54% and 27% in regulation
Lebedeff D.StartedSV 92.6% · GAA 2.20 · 5-4-1
Halonen N.StartedSV 89% · GAA 3.00 · 3-7-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonNidarosodds up 2.12Confidence 55%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.42Confidence 70%
- HandicapLostLillehammer +1.5odds down 1.40Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonNidarosodds up 1.70Confidence 65%
- Double chanceWonNidaros or drawodds up 1.42Confidence 73%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betWonNidarosodds up 1.67Confidence 68%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.10Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonNidarosodds up 2.57Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.83Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Nidaros 3–2
Lillehammer Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min5–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon2–01st period2–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formNidaros
Lillehammer
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Nidaros 5–0
Lillehammer - Sep 24, 2026: Lillehammer 2, Nidaros 3.
- Feb 26, 2026: Nidaros 4, Lillehammer 3.
- Jan 8, 2026: Nidaros 4, Lillehammer 0.
- Dec 4, 2025: Lillehammer 3, Nidaros 4, after overtime.
- Nov 2, 2025: Nidaros 5, Lillehammer 4, after a shootout.
Last five games
Nidaros
2-2-1 - Win, 2–0 against Narvik, Oct 10. Odds: Nidaros 1.87, Narvik 3.10.
- Loss, 3–6 at Valerenga, Oct 8.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Ringerike, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Win, 3–2 against Storhamar, Oct 1.
- Loss, 2–6 against Frisk Asker, Sep 26.
Lillehammer
1-3-1 - Loss, 3–5 against Frisk Asker, Oct 15. Odds: Lillehammer 6.60, Frisk Asker 1.35.
- Loss, 0–5 at Valerenga, Oct 10. Odds: Valerenga 1.18, Lillehammer 9.00.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Stjernen, after a shootout, Oct 8.
- Win, 5–3 at Narvik, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–3 at Frisk Asker, Oct 1.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 00:28 Goal Nidaros: Bjurstrom A. assists: Wisten L., Backehag A. 1-0
- 06:47 2 min Nidaros: Indergaard O. Tripping
- 11:15 2 min Lillehammer: Leibnitz J. Roughing
- 12:22 Goal PPG Nidaros: Siironen T. assists: Wisten L., Bjurstrom A. 2-0
- 14:20 2 min Lillehammer: Genlid E. K. Tripping
2nd period1-1
- 04:38 2 min Nidaros: Ohman A. Delay of game
- 09:16 Goal Nidaros: Rimjans L. assists: Gjos E. 3-0
- 15:08 2 min Nidaros: Backehag A. Holding
- 16:46 Goal PPG Lillehammer: Fredriksen V. assists: Hartikainen S., Sevanen R. 3-1
- 18:06 2 min Lillehammer: Juusola V. Roughing
3rd period2-1
- 00:29 2 min Lillehammer: Sevanen R. Interference
- 04:57 Goal Lillehammer: Olsen M. assists: Langland O. 3-2
- 05:29 2 min Nidaros: Rimjans L. Hooking
- 08:48 2 min Lillehammer: Juusola V. Tripping
- 14:17 Goal Nidaros: Bah A. assists: Indergaard O. 4-2
- 16:27 Goal ENG Nidaros: Wisten L. 5-2
- 19:35 2 min Nidaros: Stormli H. Slashing
- 19:47 2 min Nidaros: Gullhav W. Hooking
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Lillehammer coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Nidaros, 1 for Lillehammer.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Nidaros.
- In goal: Lebedeff D. for Nidaros (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Halonen N. for Lillehammer (3-7-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.5 per game — Nidaros +0.1, Lillehammer −1.4 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NID) | 2.18 | 2.18 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.70 | 3.70 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (LIL) | 2.37 | 2.37 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap NID | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Fjordkraft-ligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Valerenga |
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 1.375 | 56 | 16 | +40 |
| 2 |  Frisk Asker |
13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 1.077 | 46 | 28 | +18 |
| 3 |  Storhamar |
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 1.042 | 48 | 20 | +28 |
| 4 | Nidaros |
12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | .875 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 5 |  Stavanger |
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .731 | 34 | 39 | −5 |
| 6 |  Stjernen |
13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 13 | .500 | 34 | 41 | −7 |
| 7 |  Ringerike |
13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 12 | .462 | 23 | 52 | −29 |
| 8 |  Narvik |
12 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 10 | .417 | 23 | 43 | −20 |
| 9 | Lillehammer |
12 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 4 | .167 | 23 | 48 | −25 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Nidaros host Lillehammer in the Fjordkraft-ligaen on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.