Nidaros vs Stjernen prediction
Chance to win · 49% and 31% in regulation
Lebedeff D.StartedSV 92.2% · GAA 2.20 · 5-4-1
Byrkjeland K. L.StartedSV 87% · GAA 3.70 · 4-5-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostNidarosodds down 2.85Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.47Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonNidaros +1.5odds down 1.42Confidence 73%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonNidarosodds down 2.15Confidence 59%
- Double chanceWonNidaros or draw1.52Confidence 70%
- Draw no betPushNidarosodds down 2.22Confidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.07Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonNidarosodds down 3.20Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.90Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Nidaros 3–2
Stjernen Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%), 4-1 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formNidaros
Stjernen
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Nidaros 0–5
Stjernen - Feb 24, 2026: Stjernen 6, Nidaros 4.
- Jan 17, 2026: Nidaros 1, Stjernen 6.
- Dec 18, 2025: Stjernen 3, Nidaros 1.
- Nov 20, 2025: Nidaros 0, Stjernen 2.
- Sep 27, 2025: Stjernen 7, Nidaros 3.
Last five games
Nidaros
2-2-1 - Loss, 1–2 against Ringerike, Oct 22. Odds: Nidaros 1.56, Ringerike 4.30.
- Win, 5–2 against Lillehammer, Oct 17. Odds: Nidaros 2.18, Lillehammer 2.37.
- Win, 2–0 against Narvik, Oct 10. Odds: Nidaros 1.87, Narvik 3.10.
- Loss, 3–6 at Valerenga, Oct 8.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Ringerike, after overtime, Oct 3.
Stjernen
1-4-0 - Loss, 2–4 against Narvik, Oct 22. Odds: Stjernen 1.59, Narvik 3.80.
- Loss, 2–3 at Storhamar, Oct 17. Odds: Storhamar 1.22, Stjernen 7.20.
- Loss, 3–4 at Stavanger, Oct 15. Odds: Stavanger 1.73, Stjernen 3.80.
- Win, 4–3 at Lillehammer, after a shootout, Oct 8.
- Loss, 1–4 against Frisk Asker, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 02:28 2 min Stjernen: Myklebust C. Slashing
- 05:40 Penalty shot missed Nidaros: Bjurstrom A.
- 07:31 Goal Nidaros: Bjurstrom A. assists: Siironen T., Vedul-Kjelsas S. 1-0
2nd period0-0
- 00:51 2 min Nidaros: Ohman A. Holding
- 08:16 2 min Stjernen: Lynch C. High sticking
- 18:54 2 min Stjernen: Olsen M. Cross checking
3rd period0-1
- 11:48 2 min Nidaros: Siironen T. Hooking
- 12:50 Goal PPG Stjernen: Hedman L. assists: Aarseth Opsahl J., Jakobsson K. 1-1
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout1-0
-
Round 1
Bjurstrom A.
✗missed
Hedman L.
✗missed
-
Round 2
Wisten L.
✗missed
Olsen M.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Siironen T.
✗missed
Nordlund T.
✗missed
-
Round 4
Fransson L.
✗missed
Aarseth Opsahl J.
✗missed
-
Round 5
Bye F. V.
✓scored
Ohman O.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Stjernen coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Nidaros dropped from 2.15 to 1.90 since they were first published.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Stjernen.
- In goal: Lebedeff D. for Nidaros (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Byrkjeland K. L. for Stjernen (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Save % gap: Nidaros 90.7%, Stjernen 87.7% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NID) | 2.45 | 2.00 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (STJ) | 2.18 | 2.75 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap NID | +1.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Fjordkraft-ligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Valerenga |
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 1.375 | 56 | 16 | +40 |
| 2 |  Frisk Asker |
13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 1.077 | 46 | 28 | +18 |
| 3 |  Storhamar |
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 1.042 | 48 | 20 | +28 |
| 4 | Nidaros |
12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | .875 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 5 |  Stavanger |
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .731 | 34 | 39 | −5 |
| 6 | Stjernen |
13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 13 | .500 | 34 | 41 | −7 |
| 7 |  Ringerike |
13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 12 | .462 | 23 | 52 | −29 |
| 8 |  Narvik |
12 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 10 | .417 | 23 | 43 | −20 |
| 9 |  Lillehammer |
12 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 4 | .167 | 23 | 48 | −25 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Nidaros host Stjernen in the Fjordkraft-ligaen on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.