Nidaros vs Valerenga Prediction & Picks

Banker of the dayBanker Winner (incl. OT)

Valerenga 1.21

Confidence95%

All predictions

9 picks · Average confidence 76%

Full game

1X2Valerengaodds down 1.37Confidence 77%
Over/UnderO4.5odds down 1.40Confidence 71%
HandicapValerenga -1.5odds down 1.57Confidence 67%
Banker of the day: Winner (incl. OT)Valerengaodds down 1.21Confidence 95%
Double chanceValerenga or draw1.11Confidence 89%
Draw no betValerengaodds down 1.15Confidence 88%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)YesConfidence 82%

1st period

1st period 1X2Valerengaodds down 1.98Confidence 57%
1st period Over/UnderO1.5odds down 1.93Confidence 55%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Nidaros 14

Valerenga

Predicted score

Total goalsTotal 5 Line 5.5 · Under

Draw after 60 minDraw 12%

VAL to winTo win 87% 79% in regulation

Score details

Correct score1–47%chance
1st period correct score0–213%chance
Highest scoring period3rd period28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-4
By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
Likeliest 1-4 (7%), 2-5 (5%), 1-5 (5%)

Predicted team stats

The brighter bar is the bigger figure

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record8-4-111-1-0

Home / road split4-2-05-1-0

StreakW2W7

Rest10 days11 days

Goals for2.84.7

Goals against2.71.3

In the standings4th1st

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.1+3.5

Goals for2.35.0

Goals against2.41.5

Shots on goal27.130.0

Shots against25.219.4

Shooting %8.5%16.7%

Save %90.9%92.3%

Power-play %17.2%23.3%

Penalty kill %80.0%93.8%

Penalty minutes8.87.0

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Nidaros 05

Valerenga

Valerenga won five of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.4 NID 1.4 · VAL 5.0

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 3 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Oct 8, 2026: Valerenga 6, Nidaros 3.
Feb 12, 2026: Valerenga 5, Nidaros 0.
Dec 30, 2025: Valerenga 5, Nidaros 2.
Nov 29, 2025: Nidaros 1, Valerenga 5.
Oct 16, 2025: Valerenga 4, Nidaros 1.

Last five games

Nidaros 3-2-0

Win, 3–2 at Narvik, after a shootout, Nov 1. Odds: Narvik 2.30, Nidaros 2.40.
Win, 2–1 at Narvik, Oct 31. Odds: Narvik 2.18, Nidaros 2.50.
Loss, 2–5 at Storhamar, Oct 29. Odds: Storhamar 1.14, Nidaros 11.00.
Win, 2–1 against Stjernen, after a shootout, Oct 24. Odds: Nidaros 2.00, Stjernen 2.75.
Loss, 1–2 against Ringerike, Oct 22. Odds: Nidaros 1.56, Ringerike 4.30.

Valerenga 5-0-0

Win, 3–0 at Lillehammer, Oct 31. Odds: Lillehammer 7.50, Valerenga 1.22.
Win, 6–2 against Ringerike, Oct 29. Odds: Valerenga 1.10, Ringerike 14.00.
Win, 4–1 at Stavanger, Oct 24. Odds: Stavanger 2.65, Valerenga 2.05.
Win, 5–2 against Frisk Asker, Oct 22. Odds: Valerenga 1.91, Frisk Asker 2.90.
Win, 5–0 at Ringerike, Oct 15. Odds: Ringerike 8.80, Valerenga 1.23.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Key insights

7-game winning streak for Valerenga coming into this game.
5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Valerenga.
5-1-0 away for Valerenga this season.
Goal differential gap of 3.6 per game — Nidaros −0.1, Valerenga +3.5 over their recent games.
6.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (NID)	6.50	6.00	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	5.00	6.00	Drifted
1X2: 2 (VAL)	1.33	1.30	Shortened
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap NID	+2.5	+2.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Fjordkraft-ligaen standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Valerenga	12	11	1	0	33	1.375	56	16	+40
2	Frisk Asker	13	9	3	1	28	1.077	46	28	+18
3	Storhamar	12	9	3	0	25	1.042	48	20	+28
4	Nidaros	12	7	4	1	21	.875	33	33	0
5	Stavanger	13	6	6	1	19	.731	34	39	−5
6	Stjernen	13	4	7	2	13	.500	34	41	−7
7	Ringerike	13	4	8	1	12	.462	23	52	−29
8	Narvik	12	4	8	0	10	.417	23	43	−20
9	Lillehammer	12	2	9	1	4	.167	23	48	−25

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Nidaros vs Valerenga prediction