Nitra vs Ban. Bystrica prediction
Chance to win · 51% and 28% in regulation
Jurusik M.Surprise startSV 95.7% · GAA 1.29 · 6-0-1
Gajan M.Surprise startSV 91.4% · GAA 2.83 · 4-3-3All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonNitraodds up 1.56Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.41Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostB. Bystrica +2.5odds down 1.47Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonNitraodds up 1.35Confidence 63%
- Double chanceWonNitra or draw1.18Confidence 72%
- Draw no betWonNitraodds up 1.27Confidence 66%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.11Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonNitra2.09Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.88Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Nitra 3–2
B. Bystrica Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min5–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period3–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formNitra
Ban. Bystrica
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Nitra 2–3
B. Bystrica - Sep 27, 2026: Ban. Bystrica 4, Nitra 2.
- Mar 8, 2026: Ban. Bystrica 0, Nitra 3.
- Jan 30, 2026: Nitra 3, Ban. Bystrica 1.
- Jan 5, 2026: Ban. Bystrica 5, Nitra 2.
- Dec 21, 2025: Nitra 2, Ban. Bystrica 3, after overtime.
Last five games
Nitra
4-0-1 - Overtime loss, 2–3 at Zilina, after overtime, Oct 30. Odds: Zilina 2.10, Nitra 2.65.
- Win, 4–1 against Poprad, Oct 24. Odds: Nitra 2.02, Poprad 2.84.
- Win, 5–1 against Kosice, Oct 23. Odds: Nitra 1.67, Kosice 3.70.
- Win, 4–0 at Slovan Bratislava, Oct 18. Odds: Slovan 1.88, Nitra 2.87.
- Win, 4–3 at Presov, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Presov 5.12, Nitra 1.50.
B. Bystrica
3-1-1 - Win, 2–1 against Presov, after overtime, Oct 30. Odds: B. Bystrica 1.44, Presov 4.50.
- Win, 5–4 at Spisska Nova Ves, after a shootout, Oct 25. Odds: Sp. Nova Ves 1.90, B. Bystrica 3.00.
- Win, 5–3 against Dukla Trencin, Oct 23. Odds: B. Bystrica 2.20, Trencin 2.50.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Zvolen, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: B. Bystrica 1.98, Zvolen 2.70.
- Loss, 2–3 at Michalovce, Oct 16. Odds: Michalovce 2.47, B. Bystrica 2.40.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-0
- 03:12 Goal Nitra: Paulovic M. assists: Bajtek F., Jackson R. 1-0
- 13:59 Goal Nitra: Timashov D. assists: Chrenko T. 2-0
- 18:10 Goal PPG Nitra: Jackson R. assists: Pollock B., Osburn Z. 3-0
2nd period0-1
- 02:23 Goal Ban. Bystrica: Jendek D. assists: Zabka B., Matousek T. 3-1
3rd period2-1
- 01:57 Goal Nitra: Jackson R. assists: Osburn Z., Paulovic M. 4-1
- 03:24 Goal Nitra: Jackson R. assists: Bajtek F., Paulovic M. 5-1
- 04:49 Goal Ban. Bystrica: Loshing Y. assists: Tomka L., Michalcin C. 5-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Surprise in goal: Jurusik M. started for Nitra, not Marinov M..
- 3-game winning streak for Ban. Bystrica coming into this game.
- 4-1-0 away for Ban. Bystrica this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Ban. Bystrica.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Nitra.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NIT) | 1.56 | 1.56 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.00 | 5.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (BAN) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap NIT | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Poprad |
16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 1.063 | 53 | 38 | +15 |
| 2 |  Zilina |
16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 31 | .969 | 49 | 31 | +18 |
| 3 |  Slovan Bratislava |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 56 | 43 | +13 |
| 4 |  Dukla Trencin |
16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 29 | .906 | 46 | 40 | +6 |
| 5 |  Liptovsky Mikulas |
16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 47 | 0 |
| 6 |  Spisska Nova Ves |
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 26 | .813 | 52 | 44 | +8 |
| 7 |  Kosice |
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 25 | .781 | 41 | 40 | +1 |
| 8 | Nitra |
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 49 | 43 | +6 |
| 9 | Ban. Bystrica |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 24 | .800 | 49 | 44 | +5 |
| 10 |  Zvolen |
16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 16 | .500 | 34 | 47 | −13 |
| 11 |  Michalovce |
16 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 34 | 60 | −26 |
| 12 |  Presov |
16 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 6 | .188 | 32 | 65 | −33 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Nitra host Ban. Bystrica in the Extraliga on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.