Nizhny Novgorod vs Dynamo Moscow prediction
Nizhny Novgorod 5–, Dynamo Moscow 4
FT
Puck drop 12:00 ET
1X2 2.161X2 2.70
VOLGA Arena (Nizhny Novgorod) · RussiaVOLGA Arena (Nizhny Novgorod)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
NIZ
1
2
2
DYN
0
1
3
65%Nizhny Novgorod win · 53% in regulationNIZ
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
35%Dynamo Moscow win · 25% in regulationDYN
Chance to win · 53% and 25% in regulation
Shugayev D.StartedSV 92.1% · GAA 2.22 · 6-2-2
Podyapolsky V.StartedSV 91.2% · GAA 2.20 · 5-5-0
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Double chance
Won
Nizhny Novgorod or draw
1.41
Confidence76%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonNizhny Novgorododds up 2.12Confidence 54%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.61Confidence 52%
- HandicapWonNizhny Novgorod +0.51.45Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonNizhny Novgorod1.69Confidence 67%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonNizhny Novgorod or draw1.41Confidence 76%
- Draw no betWonNizhny Novgorod1.67Confidence 71%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonNizhny Novgorod2.65Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds up 1.65Confidence 60%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Nizhny Novgorod 4–1
Dynamo Moscow
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 9
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Decided in regulation
NIZ to winTo win
65%
NIZ won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min5–45%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–019%chance
- Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals3rd · 5 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 1-1, 2-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo Moscow
Season recordNizhny Novgorod 9-4-1Dynamo Moscow 6-9-2
Home / road splitNizhny Novgorod 3-3-1Dynamo Moscow 2-4-1
StreakNizhny Novgorod L2Dynamo Moscow L1
RestNizhny Novgorod 3 daysDynamo Moscow 1 day
Goals forNizhny Novgorod 2.9Dynamo Moscow 1.9
Goals againstNizhny Novgorod 1.8Dynamo Moscow 2.8
In the standingsNizhny Novgorod 3rdDynamo Moscow 9th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameNizhny Novgorod +1.0Dynamo Moscow −1.1
Goals forNizhny Novgorod 2.7Dynamo Moscow 1.9
Goals againstNizhny Novgorod 1.7Dynamo Moscow 3.0
Shots on goalNizhny Novgorod 30.1Dynamo Moscow 33.5
Shots againstNizhny Novgorod 25.3Dynamo Moscow 25.1
Shooting %Nizhny Novgorod 9.0%Dynamo Moscow 5.7%
Save %Nizhny Novgorod 93.3%Dynamo Moscow 88.8%
Power-play %Nizhny Novgorod 18.8%Dynamo Moscow 17.1%
Penalty kill %Nizhny Novgorod 93.3%Dynamo Moscow 80.4%
Faceoff %Nizhny Novgorod 56.0%Dynamo Moscow 48.5%
Penalty minutesNizhny Novgorod 7.1Dynamo Moscow 9.8
HitsNizhny Novgorod 20.5Dynamo Moscow 14.4
Blocked shotsNizhny Novgorod 14.8Dynamo Moscow 20.2
Per game · NIZ at home, DYN away
Goal differential per gameNizhny Novgorod +0.2Dynamo Moscow −1.0
Goals forNizhny Novgorod 2.5Dynamo Moscow 1.7
Goals againstNizhny Novgorod 2.3Dynamo Moscow 2.7
Shots on goalNizhny Novgorod 30.6Dynamo Moscow 28.7
Shots againstNizhny Novgorod 27.5Dynamo Moscow 29.2
Shooting %Nizhny Novgorod 8.2%Dynamo Moscow 5.9%
Save %Nizhny Novgorod 91.6%Dynamo Moscow 91.4%
Power-play %Nizhny Novgorod 22.9%Dynamo Moscow 22.2%
Penalty kill %Nizhny Novgorod 91.3%Dynamo Moscow 75.0%
Faceoff %Nizhny Novgorod 57.8%Dynamo Moscow 44.1%
Penalty minutesNizhny Novgorod 5.4Dynamo Moscow 9.4
HitsNizhny Novgorod 25.7Dynamo Moscow 17.1
Blocked shotsNizhny Novgorod 15.2Dynamo Moscow 14.2
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Nizhny Novgorod 3–2
Dynamo Moscow
Goals a gameGoals
5.6
NIZ 2.6 · DYN 3.0
Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0
3 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
1 of 5
1 in overtime
- Nov 7, 2026: Nizhny Novgorod 4, Dynamo Moscow 3.
- Oct 1, 2026: Dynamo Moscow 1, Nizhny Novgorod 3.
- Feb 15, 2026: Nizhny Novgorod 2, Dynamo Moscow 4.
- Jan 12, 2026: Dynamo Moscow 3, Nizhny Novgorod 4, after overtime.
- Dec 1, 2025: Dynamo Moscow 4, Nizhny Novgorod 0.
Last five games
Nizhny Novgorod
3-1-1 - Overtime loss, 2–3 against Magnitogorsk, after overtime, Oct 12. Odds: Nizhny Novgorod 2.90, Magnitogorsk 2.08.
- Loss, 2–3 against Cherepovets, Oct 8.
- Win, 2–1 at Dinamo Minsk, after a shootout, Oct 5.
- Win, 6–0 at Sochi, Oct 3.
- Win, 3–1 at Dynamo Moscow, Oct 1.
Dynamo Moscow
1-3-1 - Loss, 0–1 at CSKA Moscow, Oct 14. Odds: CSKA Moscow 1.88, Dynamo Moscow 3.35.
- Win, 4–3 against SKA St. Petersburg, after overtime, Oct 11. Odds: Dynamo Moscow 2.47, SKA 2.35.
- Loss, 2–5 against CSKA Moscow, Oct 9. Odds: Dynamo Moscow 2.87, CSKA Moscow 2.12.
- Loss, 2–3 against Shanghai, Oct 7.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at CSKA Moscow, after a shootout, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 07:11 2 min Nizhny Novgorod: Firstov V. Roughing
- 12:59 2 min Dynamo Moscow: Sharakanov M. High sticking
- 13:07 2 min Dynamo Moscow: Novikov N. Delay of game
- 15:43 Goal Nizhny Novgorod: Garayev A. assists: Belevich A. 1-0
2nd period2-1
- 00:39 Goal Nizhny Novgorod: Goncharuk S. assists: Vorobyov M., Firstov V. 2-0
- 03:56 Goal Dynamo Moscow: Pylenkov D. assists: Ryabykin Y., Shafigullin B. 2-1
- 10:42 2 min Dynamo Moscow: Weal J. High sticking
- 15:34 Goal Nizhny Novgorod: Seroukh D. assists: Polyakov M., Kamalov N. 3-1
3rd period2-3
- 04:41 2 min Nizhny Novgorod: Vorobyov M. Tripping
- 05:58 Goal PPG Dynamo Moscow: Letunov M. assists: Weal J., Pylenkov D. 3-2
- 06:38 2 min Nizhny Novgorod: Kamalov N. Roughing
- 09:09 Goal Nizhny Novgorod: Goncharuk S. assists: Brickey S., Vorobyov M. 4-2
- 09:57 Goal Dynamo Moscow: Patalakha M. assists: Sergeyev A. 4-3
- 13:08 2 min Nizhny Novgorod: Dyblenko Y. Tripping
- 17:09 Goal ENG Nizhny Novgorod: Garayev A. assists: Tkachyov V., Dyblenko Y. 5-3
- 19:59 Goal Dynamo Moscow: Shen P. assists: Shvets-Rogovoy A. 5-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Nizhny Novgorod, 1 for Dynamo Moscow.
- In goal: Shugayev D. for Nizhny Novgorod (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts), Podyapolsky V. for Dynamo Moscow (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.1 per game — Nizhny Novgorod +1.0, Dynamo Moscow −1.1 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Nizhny Novgorod.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Dynamo Moscow.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NIZ) | 2.16 | 2.16 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (DYN) | 2.70 | 2.70 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap NIZ | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Moscow |
24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37 | .771 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 |  Lokomotiv Yaroslavl |
24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 35 | .729 | 64 | 39 | +25 |
| 3 | Nizhny Novgorod |
23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 64 | 51 | +13 |
| 4 |  Spartak Moscow |
25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 30 | .600 | 66 | 56 | +10 |
| 5 |  Cherepovets |
25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 30 | .600 | 59 | 57 | +2 |
| 6 |  Shanghai |
23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 30 | .652 | 68 | 59 | +9 |
| 7 |  SKA St. Petersburg |
23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 72 | 68 | +4 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Minsk |
25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 25 | .500 | 60 | 74 | −14 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow |
26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 25 | .481 | 56 | 68 | −12 |
| 10 |  Sochi |
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 16 | .333 | 42 | 81 | −39 |
| 11 |  Lada |
25 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 15 | .300 | 38 | 81 | −43 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Nizhny Novgorod host Dynamo Moscow in the KHL on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.