Niznekamsk vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl prediction
Niznekamsk 1–, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 5
FT
Puck drop 06:00 ET
1X2 3.481X2 1.97
Neftekhimik Arena (Nizhnekamsk) · RussiaNeftekhimik Arena (Nizhnekamsk)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
NIZ
0
0
1
LOK
1
2
2
41%Niznekamsk win · 30% in regulationNIZ
Overtime or shootout · 24%OT / SO 24%
59%Lokomotiv Yaroslavl win · 46% in regulationLOK
Chance to win · 30% and 46% in regulation
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Lost
Niznekamsk +1.5
odds down 1.48
Confidence66%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonLokomotivodds up 1.78Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU5.5odds down 1.50Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostNiznekamsk +1.5odds down 1.48Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonLokomotivodds up 1.46Confidence 61%
- Double chanceWonLokomotiv or drawodds up 1.24Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonLokomotivodds up 1.41Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.15Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.48Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.60Confidence 62%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Niznekamsk 1–2
Lokomotiv
Total goalsTotal
3
Actual 6
Draw after 60 minDraw
24%
Decided in regulation
LOK to winTo win
59%
LOK won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min1–55%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–126%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals26%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
- Likeliest 1-2 (5%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Niznekamsk
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Niznekamsk
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Season recordNiznekamsk 13-8-3Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 16-6-1
Home / road splitNiznekamsk 6-2-3Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 7-3-1
StreakNiznekamsk L1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl L1
RestNiznekamsk 2 daysLokomotiv Yaroslavl 1 day
Goals forNiznekamsk 2.8Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 2.6
Goals againstNiznekamsk 2.6Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 1.7
In the standingsNiznekamsk 2ndLokomotiv Yaroslavl 2nd
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameNiznekamsk −0.7Lokomotiv Yaroslavl +1.2
Goals forNiznekamsk 2.2Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 2.7
Goals againstNiznekamsk 2.9Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 1.5
Shots on goalNiznekamsk 28.7Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 29.3
Shots againstNiznekamsk 33.4Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 23.6
Shooting %Niznekamsk 7.7%Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 9.2%
Save %Niznekamsk 91.3%Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 94.1%
Power-play %Niznekamsk 13.9%Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 12.1%
Penalty kill %Niznekamsk 77.1%Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 91.9%
Faceoff %Niznekamsk 50.0%Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 51.5%
Penalty minutesNiznekamsk 7.0Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 7.9
HitsNiznekamsk 15.2Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 22.0
Blocked shotsNiznekamsk 16.1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 19.3
Per game · NIZ at home, LOK away
Goal differential per gameNiznekamsk +0.9Lokomotiv Yaroslavl +0.7
Goals forNiznekamsk 3.2Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 2.6
Goals againstNiznekamsk 2.3Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 1.9
Shots on goalNiznekamsk 34.7Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 25.7
Shots againstNiznekamsk 36.5Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 22.1
Shooting %Niznekamsk 9.2%Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 10.1%
Save %Niznekamsk 93.7%Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 91.9%
Power-play %Niznekamsk 26.7%Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 5.9%
Penalty kill %Niznekamsk 86.5%Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 91.3%
Faceoff %Niznekamsk 48.9%Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 55.3%
Penalty minutesNiznekamsk 7.4Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 9.7
HitsNiznekamsk 20.0Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 16.9
Blocked shotsNiznekamsk 18.6Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 17.4
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Niznekamsk 4–1
Lokomotiv
Goals a gameGoals
3.0
NIZ 1.8 · LOK 1.2
Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5
1 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
2 of 5
1 in overtime · 1 in a shootout
- Oct 20, 2026: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 0, Niznekamsk 1.
- Feb 17, 2026: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 1, Niznekamsk 0.
- Sep 14, 2025: Niznekamsk 5, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 4, after overtime.
- Mar 14, 2025: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 1, Niznekamsk 2, after a shootout.
- Sep 14, 2024: Niznekamsk 1, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 0.
Last five games
Niznekamsk
2-2-1 - Loss, 1–8 at Magnitogorsk, Nov 5. Odds: Magnitogorsk 1.67, Niznekamsk 4.50.
- Win, 2–1 at Sochi, Nov 3. Odds: Sochi 3.50, Niznekamsk 1.83.
- Win, 3–1 at Novosibirsk, Nov 1. Odds: Novosibirsk 2.64, Niznekamsk 2.32.
- Loss, 3–4 against Vladivostok, Oct 29. Odds: Niznekamsk 1.82, Vladivostok 3.68.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Magnitogorsk, after overtime, Oct 27. Odds: Niznekamsk 3.71, Magnitogorsk 1.91.
Lokomotiv
3-1-1 - Overtime loss, 0–1 at Lada, after a shootout, Nov 6. Odds: Lada 5.40, Lokomotiv 1.53.
- Win, 4–1 at Spartak Moscow, Nov 4. Odds: Spartak Moscow 2.85, Lokomotiv 2.20.
- Loss, 0–1 against Lada, Nov 2. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.37, Lada 7.80.
- Win, 6–2 against Sochi, Oct 29. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.37, Sochi 7.60.
- Win, 1–0 against Cherepovets, Oct 25. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.88, Cherepovets 3.58.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 01:14 2 min Niznekamsk: Nikolishin I. Tripping
- 07:34 2 min Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Fiore G. Tripping
- 11:18 Goal Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Surin Y. assists: Ivanov G., Rafikov R. 0-1
2nd period0-2
- 03:19 2 min Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Kotkov M. Holding
- 04:45 2 min Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Ivanov G. Tripping
- 09:19 Goal Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Pustovoy A. assists: Polunin A., Rafikov R. 0-2
- 09:38 2 min Niznekamsk: Yeryomenko V. Holding
- 09:45 Goal PPG Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Shalunov M. assists: Kayumov A., Rafikov R. 0-3
3rd period1-2
- 03:26 2 min Niznekamsk: Bikmullin R. Roughing
- 03:26 2 min Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Surin Y. Interference
- 04:12 2 min Niznekamsk: Belozyorov A. Tripping
- 04:19 Goal PPG Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Kayumov A. assists: Rafikov R., Shalunov M. 0-4
- 15:36 2 min Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Ivanov G. Tripping
- 16:18 Goal PPG Niznekamsk: Tyanulin A. assists: Mityakin Y., Belozyorov A. 1-4
- 19:57 Goal ENG Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Kotkov M. assists: Surin Y. 1-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Goal differential gap of 1.9 per game — Niznekamsk −0.7, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl +1.2 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Niznekamsk.
- +1.0 goals at home — Niznekamsk averaged 3.3 at home and 2.3 away this season.
- Save % gap: Niznekamsk 91.3%, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 94.1% over their recent games.
- 3.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NIZ) | 3.48 | 3.48 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (LOK) | 1.97 | 1.97 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 4.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap NIZ | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Kharlamov Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Magnitogorsk |
25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 38 | .760 | 87 | 57 | +30 |
| 2 | Niznekamsk |
26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 31 | .596 | 71 | 71 | 0 |
| 3 |  Tractor Chelyabinsk |
25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 26 | .520 | 57 | 62 | −5 |
| 4 |  Bars Kazan |
26 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 26 | .500 | 60 | 63 | −3 |
| 5 |  Yekaterinburg |
23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 62 | 58 | +4 |
Regular Season · Tarasov Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Moscow |
24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37 | .771 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl |
24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 35 | .729 | 64 | 39 | +25 |
| 3 |  Cherepovets |
25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 30 | .600 | 59 | 57 | +2 |
| 4 |  Shanghai |
23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 30 | .652 | 68 | 59 | +9 |
| 5 |  Dinamo Minsk |
25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 25 | .500 | 60 | 74 | −14 |
| 6 |  Dynamo Moscow |
26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 25 | .481 | 56 | 68 | −12 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Niznekamsk host Lokomotiv Yaroslavl in the KHL on Sunday, November 8, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.