Norfolk Admirals vs Trois-Rivieres Lions prediction
Chance to win · 32% and 47% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 59%Full game
- 1X2WonTrois-Rivieres2.13Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO5.51.60Confidence 54%
- HandicapLostNorfolk +1.51.39Confidence 62%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonTrois-Rivieres1.71Confidence 54%
- Double chanceWonTrois-Rivieres or draw1.42Confidence 65%
- Draw no betWonTrois-Rivieres1.70Confidence 56%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostTrois-Rivieres2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.69Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 2 games.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–4After 60 min3–62%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 5 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-4
- By period 0-2, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-4 (3%), 4-5 (1%), 5-6 (0%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 25, 2026: Norfolk Admirals 1, Trois-Rivieres Lions 7.
- Oct 24, 2026: Norfolk Admirals 3, Trois-Rivieres Lions 4, after a shootout.
- Jan 31, 2026: Norfolk Admirals 3, Trois-Rivieres Lions 6.
- Jan 30, 2026: Norfolk Admirals 5, Trois-Rivieres Lions 2.
- Nov 22, 2025: Trois-Rivieres Lions 6, Norfolk Admirals 1.
Last five games
- Win, 3–2 at Atlanta Gladiators, Oct 18. Odds: Atlanta 1.29, Norfolk 6.00.
- Loss, 1–2 at Atlanta Gladiators, Oct 17. Odds: Atlanta 2.61, Norfolk 2.09.
- Win, 3–0 at Savannah Ghost Pirates, Oct 16. Odds: Savannah 1.95, Norfolk 2.31.
- Win, 6–3 at Greensboro Gargoyles, Apr 19.
- Win, 3–0 at Greensboro Gargoyles, Apr 17.
- Win, 5–2 at Worcester Railers, Oct 18. Odds: Worcester 2.05, Trois-Rivieres 2.45.
- Win, 7–4 against Trenton Ironhawks, Oct 16. Odds: Trois-Rivieres 1.56, Trenton 3.42.
- Win, 6–0 against Maine Mariners, Apr 18.
- Loss, 5–7 at Adirondack Thunder, Apr 17.
- Win, 5–1 at Adirondack Thunder, Apr 12.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 04:31 Goal Norfolk Admirals: Gagnon R. assists: Gavin W., Citara M. 1-0
- 12:30 Goal Trois-Rivieres Lions: Hutcheson N. 1-1
2nd period2-3
- 00:40 Goal PPG Trois-Rivieres Lions: Kalmikov B. assists: Bizier M. 1-2
- 03:27 Goal Norfolk Admirals: Reifenberger M. assists: Crane B., Citara M. 2-2
- 06:04 Goal Norfolk Admirals: O'Leary J. assists: Gavin W., Pfoh B. 3-2
- 12:07 Goal Trois-Rivieres Lions: McCallum K. assists: Beauregard A., Kalmikov B. 3-3
- 16:53 Goal Trois-Rivieres Lions: Bizier M. assists: Laferriere M., Roy N. 3-4
3rd period0-2
- 11:31 Goal Trois-Rivieres Lions: Charron E. assists: Gravelle J., Dufort I. 3-5
- 18:33 Goal ENG Trois-Rivieres Lions: Bizier M. 3-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Trois-Rivieres Lions coming into this game.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Trois-Rivieres Lions.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Norfolk Admirals.
- 7.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 7th vs 3rd in the ECHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NOR) | 2.50 | 2.50 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TRL) | 2.15 | 2.15 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap NOR | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
ECHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | .818 | 38 | 26 | +12 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .889 | 33 | 12 | +21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .889 | 46 | 28 | +18 | |
| 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .875 | 35 | 16 | +19 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | .600 | 26 | 24 | +2 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | .611 | 30 | 30 | 0 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 11 | .458 | 30 | 42 | −12 | |
| 8 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 10 | .556 | 24 | 21 | +3 | |
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | .450 | 19 | 31 | −12 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | .571 | 20 | 16 | +4 | |
| 11 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | .571 | 24 | 24 | 0 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 7 | .350 | 24 | 38 | −14 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 6 | .333 | 18 | 30 | −12 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 5 | .250 | 18 | 35 | −17 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 16 | 26 | −10 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Norfolk Admirals host Trois-Rivieres Lions in the ECHL on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.