Norrtalje vs Kalix prediction
Chance to win · 22% and 60% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- 1X2LostKalix1.55Confidence 62%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.35Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonNorrtalje +2.5odds down 1.47Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostKalixodds up 1.32Confidence 71%
- Double chanceLostKalix or drawodds down 1.23Confidence 79%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betLostKalixodds down 1.28Confidence 75%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.07Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostKalixodds up 2.05Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5odds down 1.27Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–4After 60 min5–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period3–019%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-4
- By period 0-1, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-4 (4%), 1-3 (4%), 2-3 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Jan 23, 2026: Norrtalje 3, Kalix 5.
- Jan 3, 2026: Kalix 7, Norrtalje 0.
Last five games
- Loss, 4–5 at Vasby, Oct 24. Odds: Vasby 1.44, Norrtalje 4.95.
- Loss, 1–2 against Lindloven, Oct 21. Odds: Norrtalje 5.10, Lindloven 1.44.
- Loss, 2–3 at Surahammar, Oct 18. Odds: Surahammar 1.75, Norrtalje 3.30.
- Loss, 2–4 at Pitea, Oct 11.
- Loss, 1–4 at Ornskoldsvik, Oct 10. Odds: Ornskoldsvik 1.52, Norrtalje 3.85.
- Win, 5–1 against Sollentuna, Nov 1. Odds: Kalix 1.57, Sollentuna 4.10.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Vallentuna, after overtime, Oct 31. Odds: Kalix 1.50, Vallentuna 4.55.
- Loss, 1–4 at Boden, Oct 23. Odds: Boden 1.45, Kalix 4.95.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Kiruna IF, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Kalix 1.51, Kiruna 4.64.
- Win, 2–1 at Kiruna IF, Oct 14. Odds: Kiruna 4.82, Kalix 1.42.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-0
- 02:24 Goal Norrtalje: Melin G. 1-0
- 09:27 Goal Norrtalje: Nystrom T. assists: Edin L., Odman O. 2-0
- 14:51 Goal PPG Norrtalje: Melin G. assists: Radberg A. 3-0
2nd period1-1
- 07:39 Goal Norrtalje: Melin G. assists: Hakansson E., Bjorkman D. 4-0
- 09:38 Goal Kalix: Ekblad A. assists: Karja V., Kruukka A. 4-1
3rd period1-1
- 03:29 Goal Kalix: Claesson A. assists: Lundberg L., Ideback N. 4-2
- 17:34 Goal Norrtalje: Melin G. assists: Hamberg I. 5-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 7-game losing streak for Norrtalje coming into this game.
- The total moved down from 6.5 to 5.5 since it was first published.
- −1.8 goals away — Kalix averaged 4.0 at home and 2.3 away this season.
- 17th vs 6th in the HockeyEttan Norra standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NOR) | 4.15 | 4.15 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KAL) | 1.57 | 1.57 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 5.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap NOR | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Norra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 1.300 | 62 | 13 | +49 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 45 | 27 | +18 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 47 | 35 | +12 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1.050 | 37 | 28 | +9 | |
| 5 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 1.000 | 37 | 29 | +8 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | .833 | 36 | 28 | +8 | |
| 7 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | .818 | 22 | 23 | −1 | |
| 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 26 | 18 | +8 | |
| 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 31 | 28 | +3 | |
| 10 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17 | .708 | 33 | 34 | −1 | |
| 11 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17 | .773 | 36 | 39 | −3 | |
| 12 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 20 | 23 | −3 | |
| 13 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | .682 | 25 | 33 | −8 | |
| 14 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | .583 | 28 | 31 | −3 | |
| 15 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | .650 | 35 | 36 | −1 | |
| 16 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | .500 | 26 | 44 | −18 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .318 | 24 | 40 | −16 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 23 | 41 | −18 | |
| 19 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3 | .136 | 15 | 58 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Norrtalje host Kalix in the HockeyEttan Norra on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.