North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs Bentley Falcons Prediction & Picks

NCAA Friday, October 16, 2026Fri · Oct 16

HomeNorth Dakota Fighting HawksFighting Hawks12-1-05th in the standingsWWLWW

50 FT Puck drop 20:07 ET 1.385.00

1st 2nd 3rd

NDF 1 2 2

BEN 0 0 0

USAUSA

AwayBentley Falcons9-1-09th in the standingsLWLWW

72%North Dakota Fighting Hawks win · 61% in regulationNDF Overtime or shootout · 18%OT / SO 18% 28%Bentley Falcons win · 21% in regulationBEN

Chance to win · 61% and 21% in regulation

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

O4.5 1.36

Confidence68%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2WonNorth Dakota1.42Confidence 57%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.51.36Confidence 68%
HandicapWonNorth Dakota -0.5Confidence 61%
Winner (incl. OT)WonNorth Dakota1.22Confidence 61%
Double chanceWonNorth Dakota or draw1.14Confidence 66%
Draw no betWonNorth Dakota1.19Confidence 62%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.12Confidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonNorth Dakota1.95Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 72%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 2 games.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

North Dakota 41

Bentley

Final 5–0

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 18% Decided in regulation

NDF to winTo win 72% NDF won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min5–07%chance
1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–020%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd31%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%)

Last five games

North Dakota 4-1-0

Win, 4–3 against Bemidji State Beavers, Oct 10.
Win, 3–2 at Bemidji State Beavers, Oct 9. Odds: Bemidji State 7.10, North Dakota 1.31.
Loss, 1–2 against Wisconsin Badgers, Apr 9.
Win, 5–0 against Quinnipiac Bobcats, Mar 28.
Win, 3–0 against Merrimack Warriors, Mar 26.

Bentley 3-2-0

Loss, 1–5 against Northeastern Huskies, Oct 10.
Win, 3–0 against Vermont Catamounts, Oct 9. Odds: Bentley 2.07, Vermont 2.85.
Loss, 1–5 at Michigan Wolverines, Mar 27.
Win, 3–2 against Sacred Heart Pioneers, Mar 21.
Win, 4–0 against Holy Cross Crusaders, Mar 14.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (NDF)	1.38	1.38	No change
1X2: X (draw)	5.00	5.00	No change
1X2: 2 (BEN)	5.00	5.00	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

NCAA standings

NCAA · NCHC

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%
1	Denver Pioneers	30	23	1	0	112	1.867
2	St. Cloud State Huskies	28	18	1	1	96	1.714
3	Western Michigan Broncos	29	18	1	0	121	2.086
4	Omaha Mavericks	28	15	3	0	86	1.536
5	North Dakota Fighting Hawks	29	12	1	0	104	1.793
6	Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs	29	13	3	0	72	1.241
7	Colorado College Tigers	28	10	2	0	68	1.214
8	Miami Redhawks	0	0	0	0	0	.000

NCAA · Atlantic Hockey

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%
1	RIT Tigers	30	19	3	1	96	1.600
2	Niagara Purple Eagles	30	15	2	0	94	1.567
3	American International	32	14	0	0	105	1.641
4	Sacred Heart Pioneers	30	15	1	1	92	1.533
5	Canisius Golden Griffins	29	12	0	0	75	1.293
6	Army Black Knights	30	11	2	2	81	1.350
7	Holy Cross Crusaders	30	11	1	2	71	1.183
8	Air Force Falcons	32	12	0	0	88	1.375
9	Bentley Falcons	29	9	1	0	69	1.190
10	Mercyhurst Lakers	30	8	5	1	77	1.283

Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks host Bentley Falcons in the NCAA on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.