North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction & Picks

NCAA Saturday, October 31, 2026Sat · Oct 31

HomeNorth Dakota Fighting HawksFighting Hawks12-1-05th in the standingsLLWWW

35 FT Puck drop 20:07 ET 3.001.86

1st 2nd 3rd

NDF 0 2 3

MSS 0 1 2

USAUSA

AwayMichigan State SpartansState Spartans15-2-05th in the standingsWLWLW

66%North Dakota Fighting Hawks win · 55% in regulationNDF Overtime or shootout · 20%OT / SO 20% 34%Michigan State Spartans win · 25% in regulationMSS

Chance to win · 55% and 25% in regulation

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Lost

U6.5 1.50

Confidence71%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Full game

1X2LostNorth Dakota2.82Confidence 53%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU6.51.50Confidence 71%
HandicapLostNorth Dakota +1.5odds down 1.47Confidence 69%
Winner (incl. OT)LostNorth Dakota2.15Confidence 57%
Double chanceLostNorth Dakota or draw1.69Confidence 65%
Draw no betLostNorth Dakotaodds down 2.27Confidence 57%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 85%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostNorth Dakotaodds down 3.15Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 77%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

North Dakota 41

Michigan State

Final 3–5

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 8

Draw after 60 minDraw 20% Decided in regulation

NDF to winTo win 66% MSS won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–55%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–017%chance
Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%)

Last five games

North Dakota 3-2-0

Loss, 3–5 at Minnesota Golden Gophers, Oct 23. Odds: Minnesota 3.75, North Dakota 1.70.
Loss, 3–5 at Minnesota Golden Gophers, Oct 22. Odds: Minnesota 3.90, North Dakota 1.62.
Win, 5–0 against Bentley Falcons, Oct 17. Odds: North Dakota 1.18, Bentley 10.00.
Win, 5–0 against Bentley Falcons, Oct 16. Odds: North Dakota 1.38, Bentley 5.00.
Win, 4–3 against Bemidji State Beavers, Oct 10.

Michigan State 3-2-0

Win, 2–1 at New Hampshire Wildcats, Oct 24. Odds: New Hampshire 6.00, Michigan State 1.36.
Loss, 0–1 at New Hampshire Wildcats, Oct 23. Odds: New Hampshire 5.20, Michigan State 1.44.
Win, 5–1 at RIT Tigers, Oct 17. Odds: RIT 8.50, Michigan State 1.18.
Loss, 1–5 against Northern Michigan Wildcats, Oct 11.
Win, 6–2 against Northern Michigan Wildcats, Oct 9. Odds: Michigan State 1.05, N. Michigan 27.00.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (NDF)	3.00	3.00	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (MSS)	1.86	1.86	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap NDF	+1.5	+1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

NCAA standings

NCAA · NCHC

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%
1	Denver Pioneers	30	23	1	0	112	1.867
2	St. Cloud State Huskies	28	18	1	1	96	1.714
3	Western Michigan Broncos	29	18	1	0	121	2.086
4	Omaha Mavericks	28	15	3	0	86	1.536
5	North Dakota Fighting Hawks	29	12	1	0	104	1.793
6	Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs	29	13	3	0	72	1.241
7	Colorado College Tigers	28	10	2	0	68	1.214
8	Miami Redhawks	0	0	0	0	0	.000

NCAA · Big Ten

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%
1	Minnesota Golden Gophers	30	21	3	1	122	2.033
2	Michigan Wolverines	30	20	2	0	123	2.050
3	Penn State Nittany Lions	30	19	2	0	105	1.750
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	29	16	0	0	93	1.603
5	Michigan State Spartans	32	15	2	0	92	1.438
6	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	30	12	0	1	68	1.133
7	Wisconsin Badgers	30	11	0	0	74	1.233

Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks host Michigan State Spartans in the NCAA on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs Michigan State Spartans prediction