Northern Michigan Wildcats vs Stonehill Prediction & Picks

NCAA Friday, October 16, 2026Fri · Oct 16

HomeNorthern Michigan WildcatsMichigan Wildcats13-0-06th in the standingsWLLWL

51 FT Puck drop 19:07 ET 2.522.05

1st 2nd 3rd

NMW 1 3 1

STO 0 1 0

USAUSA

AwayStonehill8-0-11st in the standingsWWLOTW

56%Northern Michigan Wildcats win · 45% in regulationNMW Overtime or shootout · 21%OT / SO 21% 44%Stonehill win · 34% in regulationSTO

Chance to win · 45% and 34% in regulation

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

N. Michigan +1.5 1.37

Confidence64%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Full game

1X2WonN. Michigan2.70Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonU6.5Confidence 68%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonN. Michigan +1.51.37Confidence 64%
Winner (incl. OT)WonN. Michigan2.02Confidence 53%
Double chanceWonN. Michigan or draw1.57Confidence 65%
Draw no betWonN. Michigan2.05Confidence 54%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 82%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonN. Michigan3.05Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 73%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 2 games.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

N. Michigan 41

Stonehill

Final 5–1

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 6

Draw after 60 minDraw 21% Decided in regulation

NMW to winTo win 56% NMW won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min5–14%chance
1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–017%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals31%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 3-1 (4%)

Last five games

N. Michigan 2-3-0

Win, 5–1 at Michigan State Spartans, Oct 11.
Loss, 2–6 at Michigan State Spartans, Oct 9. Odds: Michigan State 1.05, N. Michigan 27.00.
Loss, 1–4 against Miami, Oct 3.
Win, 3–0 against Miami, Oct 2.
Loss, 0–3 at Minnesota State Mavericks, Feb 28.

Stonehill 3-1-1

Win, 4–2 against Colgate Raiders, Oct 10.
Win, 2–1 against Colgate Raiders, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Stonehill 3.85, Colgate 1.67.
Loss, 3–4 at Long Island Sharks, Mar 7.
Overtime loss, 4–5 at Alaska Nanooks, after a shootout, Mar 6.
Win, 3–2 against Long Island Sharks, Feb 21.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (NMW)	2.52	2.52	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.55	3.55	No change
1X2: 2 (STO)	2.05	2.05	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap NMW	+1.5	+1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

NCAA standings

NCAA · CCHA

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%
1	Minnesota State Mavericks	30	20	2	0	105	1.750
2	Michigan Tech Huskies	32	21	1	0	90	1.406
3	Bowling Green Falcons	30	15	2	1	101	1.683
4	Ferris State Bulldogs	29	12	1	0	75	1.293
5	Bemidji State Beavers	30	12	0	0	81	1.350
6	Northern Michigan Wildcats	28	13	0	0	78	1.393
7	St. Thomas Tommies	31	9	3	1	75	1.210
8	Lake Superior State Lakers	30	5	2	0	61	1.017

NCAA · Independents

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%
1	Stonehill	13	8	0	1	54	2.077
2	Alaska Nanooks	28	16	2	0	75	1.339
3	Arizona State Sun Devils	31	13	3	0	82	1.323
4	Long Island Sharks	26	9	4	0	81	1.558
5	Lindenwood Lions	24	7	1	0	80	1.667
6	Alaska Anchorage	20	4	3	0	37	.925

Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.

Northern Michigan Wildcats host Stonehill in the NCAA on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.