Nottingham vs Belfast prediction
Chance to win · 38% and 39% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonBelfastodds up 2.20Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.49Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostNottingham +1.5odds down 1.32Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonBelfast1.75Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonBelfast or drawodds up 1.43Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonBelfast1.75Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–64%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–119%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 12+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Mar 28, 2026: Belfast 4, Nottingham 3.
- Mar 27, 2026: Belfast 4, Nottingham 2.
- Feb 15, 2026: Nottingham 5, Belfast 3.
- Feb 14, 2026: Nottingham 2, Belfast 4.
- Jan 10, 2026: Belfast 4, Nottingham 1.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–4 against Cardiff, Oct 25. Odds: Nottingham 2.45, Cardiff 2.15.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Coventry, after a shootout, Oct 18. Odds: Coventry 2.65, Nottingham 2.02.
- Win, 3–2 against Sheffield, Oct 17. Odds: Nottingham 2.19, Sheffield 2.45.
- Win, 3–2 against Fife, Oct 11.
- Win, 2–1 at Manchester, after a shootout, Oct 10.
- Win, 4–1 at Cardiff, Oct 28. Odds: Cardiff 2.05, Belfast 2.65.
- Win, 2–1 against Glasgow, after overtime, Oct 25. Odds: Belfast 1.12, Glasgow 13.00.
- Win, 1–0 at Glasgow, Oct 23. Odds: Glasgow 3.80, Belfast 1.57.
- Loss, 2–3 at Fife, Oct 21. Odds: Fife 6.40, Belfast 1.30.
- Win, 5–4 at Manchester, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Manchester 4.00, Belfast 1.63.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 14:31 Goal Belfast: Conway S. assists: Piccinich J. 0-1
2nd period1-3
- 06:03 Goal Nottingham: Hazeldine J. assists: Pitkanen M. 1-1
- 14:30 Goal Belfast: Piccinich J. assists: Conway S., Goodwin D. 1-2
- 15:07 Goal Belfast: Cockerill L. assists: Lee M., Pearson K. 1-3
- 19:39 Goal Belfast: Gaudet J. assists: Prefontaine T. 1-4
3rd period0-2
- 02:47 Goal PPG Belfast: Guay P. assists: Pearson K., Jensen M. 1-5
- 19:20 Goal Belfast: Conway S. assists: Goodwin D., Piccinich J. 1-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Belfast coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Nottingham, 1 for Belfast.
- In goal: Robson M. for Nottingham (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts), Kupsky J. for Belfast (8-1-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1-0 away for Belfast this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Belfast.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NOT) | 2.40 | 2.40 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (BEL) | 2.15 | 2.15 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap NOT | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Elite League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 27 | 15 | +12 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .875 | 28 | 16 | +12 | |
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | .650 | 34 | 26 | +8 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | .750 | 26 | 15 | +11 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11 | .550 | 25 | 26 | −1 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | .500 | 32 | 39 | −7 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | .438 | 25 | 26 | −1 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | .500 | 15 | 17 | −2 | |
| 9 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | .286 | 14 | 28 | −14 | |
| 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | .111 | 12 | 30 | −18 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Nottingham host Belfast in the Elite League on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.