Nottingham vs Sheffield prediction
Chance to win · 39% and 39% in regulation
Robson M.StartedSV 90.5% · GAA 2.57 · 5-4-1
Greenfield M.StartedSV 92.7% · GAA 2.10 · 7-1-2All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2LostSheffield2.50Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.35Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonSheffield +1.51.35Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSheffield1.93Confidence 51%
- Double chanceLostSheffield or draw1.45Confidence 65%
- Draw no betLostSheffield1.93Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSheffield2.70Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.80Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Nottingham 1–4
Sheffield Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min3–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-3 (4%), 2-4 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 9+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formNottingham
Sheffield
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Nottingham 1–4
Sheffield - Oct 31, 2026: Sheffield 4, Nottingham 2.
- Sep 19, 2026: Sheffield 3, Nottingham 2, after overtime.
- Mar 22, 2026: Nottingham 2, Sheffield 4.
- Mar 21, 2026: Sheffield 2, Nottingham 4.
- Feb 25, 2026: Sheffield 4, Nottingham 2, after overtime.
Last five games
Nottingham
5-0-0 - Win, 3–2 against Fife, Oct 11.
- Win, 2–1 at Manchester, after a shootout, Oct 10.
- Win, 6–3 at Guildford, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–3 against Coventry, Oct 3.
- Win, 5–1 against Manchester, Sep 26.
Sheffield
2-1-2 - Win, 4–3 at Manchester, Oct 11.
- Win, 5–0 against Glasgow, Oct 10. Odds: Sheffield 1.41, Glasgow 4.50.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Fife, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Fife, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–4 at Coventry, Sep 27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-1
- 08:11 Goal Sheffield: Collins S. assists: Roe L., Bjorkly Nordstrom I. 0-1
- 18:39 Goal Nottingham: Doherty T. assists: Pearson C., Louis-Jean D. 1-1
3rd period2-1
- 06:16 Goal Sheffield: Roe L. assists: Jasper E. 1-2
- 14:48 Goal Nottingham: Garat Z. assists: Grondin M., Pearson C. 2-2
- 17:58 Goal PPG Nottingham: Corbeil B. assists: O'Brien Z. 3-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Nottingham coming into this game.
- In goal: Robson M. for Nottingham (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Greenfield M. for Sheffield (7-1-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Sheffield.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 4th vs 1st in the Challenge Cup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NOT) | 2.10 | 2.19 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.20 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (SHE) | 2.50 | 2.45 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap NOT | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Challenge Cup standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheffield |
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 14 | .700 | 34 | 23 | +11 |
| 2 |  Cardiff |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | .650 | 29 | 27 | +2 |
| 3 |  Guildford |
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | .600 | 34 | 31 | +3 |
| 4 | Nottingham |
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | .600 | 28 | 30 | −2 |
| 5 |  Coventry |
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 9 | .450 | 25 | 33 | −8 |
| 6 |  Manchester |
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | .450 | 28 | 34 | −6 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Nottingham host Sheffield in the Challenge Cup on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.