Nove Zamky vs Dubnica Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance Won

Nove Zamky or draw 1.60

Confidence69%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2LostNove Zamkyodds down 2.66Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonO5.5odds down 1.37Confidence 70%
HandicapWonDubnica +1.5Confidence 64%
Winner (incl. OT)WonNove Zamkyodds down 2.06Confidence 60%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonNove Zamky or drawodds down 1.60Confidence 69%
Draw no betPushNove Zamkyodds down 2.12Confidence 59%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.03Confidence 89%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonNove Zamkyodds down 2.85Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.56Confidence 59%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Nove Zamky 43

Dubnica

Final 7–6

Total goalsTotal 7 Actual 13

Draw after 60 minDraw 18% Went to overtime

NOV to winTo win 59% NOV won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–3After 60 min6–63%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period4–27%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 6 goals29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-3
By period 2-0, 1-2, 1-1
Likeliest 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%), 6-5 (1%)

Season so far

This season

Season

Season record6-5-28-5-1

Home / road split3-2-13-2-1

StreakW2W1

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for3.53.9

Goals against3.53.6

In the standings8th5th

Head-to-head

Nove Zamky 32

Dubnica

Nove Zamky won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 8.4 NOV 4.2 · DUB 4.2

Over 6.5 goalsOver 6.5 4 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Sep 25, 2026: Dubnica 7, Nove Zamky 3.
Feb 17, 2026: Nove Zamky 4, Dubnica 2.
Jan 7, 2026: Dubnica 3, Nove Zamky 5.
Nov 26, 2025: Nove Zamky 6, Dubnica 5.
Oct 15, 2025: Dubnica 4, Nove Zamky 3.

Last five games

Nove Zamky 3-1-1

Win, 5–4 at Martin, Oct 28. Odds: Martin 1.44, Nove Zamky 5.00.
Win, 4–2 at Topolcany, Oct 23. Odds: Topolcany 1.75, Nove Zamky 3.35.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at HK Levice, after overtime, Oct 21. Odds: Levice 2.08, Nove Zamky 2.65.
Loss, 1–2 against Skalica, Oct 18. Odds: Nove Zamky 3.45, Skalica 1.67.
Win, 3–1 at Trnava, Oct 16. Odds: Trnava 1.76, Nove Zamky 3.26.

Dubnica 3-2-0

Win, 5–3 against Topolcany, Oct 28. Odds: Dubnica 1.67, Topolcany 3.55.
Loss, 1–3 against Martin, Oct 23. Odds: Dubnica 2.15, Martin 2.50.
Win, 4–2 at HK Detva, Oct 20. Odds: Detva 3.30, Dubnica 1.75.
Loss, 2–5 at Ziar nad Hronom, Oct 18. Odds: Ziar nad Hronom 1.91, Dubnica 2.89.
Win, 5–4 against Povazska Bystrica, Oct 16. Odds: Dubnica 1.21, Pov. Bystrica 8.31.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period4-2

03:54 Goal PPG Dubnica: Jakubek M. assists: Svec J., Hovorka M. 0-1
07:04 Goal Dubnica: Bezuch J. assists: Plokhotnik O. 0-2
09:26 Goal PPG Nove Zamky: Sisovsky P. assists: Knizka M. 1-2
13:29 Goal Nove Zamky: Hajnik D. assists: Poncak S. 2-2
13:38 Goal Nove Zamky: Brejcak M. assists: Sisovsky P., Barilla D. 3-2
16:24 Goal Nove Zamky: Hajnik D. assists: Ondrusek R. 4-2

2nd period1-4

02:38 Goal PPG Dubnica: Hovorka M. assists: Tybor R., Jakubek M. 4-3
05:36 Goal Dubnica: Nahalka S. assists: Jakubek M., Tybor R. 4-4
10:51 Goal Dubnica: Pangelov-Yuldashev F. assists: Plokhotnik O. 4-5
17:36 Goal Nove Zamky: Mucka M. assists: Poncak S., Brejcak M. 5-5
18:26 Goal Dubnica: Jakubek M. assists: Svec J. 5-6

3rd period1-0

11:46 Goal Nove Zamky: Mucka M. assists: Barilla D. 6-6

Overtime1-0

01:16 Goal Nove Zamky: Knizka M. assists: Hajnik D. 7-6

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

In goal: Dubek M. for Nove Zamky (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts), Kukucka A. for Dubnica (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts).
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Nove Zamky.
−1.9 goals away — Dubnica averaged 4.8 at home and 2.8 away this season.
8.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
8th vs 5th in the 1. Liga standings.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (NOV)	2.60	2.60	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.35	4.35	No change
1X2: 2 (DUB)	2.05	2.08	Drifted
Over/Under line	6.5	6.5	No change
Handicap NOV	+1.5	+1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

1. Liga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	HC 19 Humenne	15	12	1	2	33	1.100	50	34	+16
2	Martin	14	10	4	0	29	1.036	58	42	+16
3	Skalica	15	9	4	2	27	.900	61	45	+16
4	Ziar nad Hronom	15	9	5	1	27	.900	49	39	+10
5	Dubnica	15	8	5	2	26	.867	61	57	+4
6	TEBS Bratislava	15	8	7	0	24	.800	47	48	−1
7	HK Detva	15	7	7	1	22	.733	47	42	+5
8	Nove Zamky	14	7	5	2	22	.786	53	52	+1
9	Topolcany	15	6	6	3	21	.700	51	48	+3
10	Trnava	14	7	7	0	19	.679	37	40	−3
11	HK Levice	16	6	9	1	18	.563	47	58	−11
12	Povazska Bystrica	15	3	11	1	8	.267	31	54	−23
13	Slovakia U18	8	1	7	0	3	.188	8	41	−33

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Nove Zamky vs Dubnica prediction