Novosibirsk vs Bars Kazan prediction
Chance to win · 33% and 43% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostAk Bars Kazanodds down 2.27Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.50Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonNovosibirsk +2.51.12Confidence 76%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostAk Bars Kazanodds down 1.77Confidence 57%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostAk Bars Kazan or drawodds down 1.41Confidence 69%
- Draw no betLostAk Bars KazanConfidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.63Confidence 60%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–3After 60 min3–15%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period2–125%chance
- Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals1st · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-3
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-2
- Likeliest 1-3 (5%), 1-2 (5%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 24, 2026: Novosibirsk 2, Bars Kazan 3, after a shootout.
- Sep 5, 2026: Bars Kazan 4, Novosibirsk 3, after a shootout.
- Mar 7, 2026: Bars Kazan 6, Novosibirsk 3.
- Feb 2, 2026: Novosibirsk 3, Bars Kazan 2, after a shootout.
- Jan 24, 2026: Bars Kazan 2, Novosibirsk 3, after a shootout.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–3 against Niznekamsk, Nov 1. Odds: Novosibirsk 2.64, Niznekamsk 2.32.
- Win, 5–2 against Magnitogorsk, Oct 29. Odds: Novosibirsk 4.10, Magnitogorsk 1.72.
- Loss, 1–2 at Tractor Chelyabinsk, Oct 26. Odds: Tractor 1.91, Novosibirsk 3.45.
- Loss, 1–5 at Magnitogorsk, Oct 24. Odds: Magnitogorsk 1.53, Novosibirsk 5.48.
- Loss, 3–6 at SKA St. Petersburg, Oct 22. Odds: SKA 1.82, Novosibirsk 3.65.
- Loss, 3–4 against SKA St. Petersburg, Nov 2. Odds: Ak Bars Kazan 2.39, SKA 2.57.
- Win, 3–1 against Khabarovsk, Oct 30. Odds: Ak Bars Kazan 1.93, Khabarovsk 3.45.
- Loss, 0–4 against Avangard Omsk, Oct 28. Odds: Ak Bars Kazan 2.81, Avangard Omsk 2.24.
- Win, 2–1 at Salavat Ufa, Oct 25. Odds: Salavat Ufa 2.15, Ak Bars Kazan 2.93.
- Loss, 1–3 at Tractor Chelyabinsk, Oct 23. Odds: Tractor 2.44, Ak Bars Kazan 2.55.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 02:41 2 min Novosibirsk: Nekolenko A. Tripping
- 03:14 Goal PPG Bars Kazan: Denisenko G. assists: Stas A., Semyonov K. 0-1
- 04:09 Goal Novosibirsk: Kisakov A. assists: Kosolapov A., Alanov Y. 1-1
- 07:16 2 min Bars Kazan: Dynyak N. Slashing
- 09:23 Goal Novosibirsk: Yaremchuk A. assists: Dietz D., Kisakov A. 2-1
2nd period0-0
- 04:25 2 min Novosibirsk: Orlov M. Tripping
3rd period1-0
- 02:29 2 min Bars Kazan: Dulnev A. Interference
- 12:05 Goal Novosibirsk: Nikulin S. assists: Smirnov N., Berdin M. 3-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 2-5-2 at home for Novosibirsk this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Bars Kazan.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Novosibirsk.
- 6.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
- 11th vs 5th in the KHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NOV) | 2.75 | 2.75 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.90 | 3.90 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (BAR) | 2.25 | 2.25 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
| Handicap NOV | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 38 | .760 | 87 | 57 | +30 | |
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 31 | .596 | 71 | 71 | 0 | |
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 26 | .520 | 72 | 73 | −1 | |
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 26 | .520 | 57 | 62 | −5 | |
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 26 | .500 | 60 | 63 | −3 | |
| 6 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 26 | .565 | 46 | 55 | −9 | |
| 7 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 46 | 38 | +8 | |
| 8 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 25 | .521 | 76 | 66 | +10 | |
| 9 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 62 | 58 | +4 | |
| 10 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 61 | 64 | −3 | |
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 22 | .423 | 58 | 77 | −19 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Novosibirsk host Bars Kazan in the KHL on Wednesday, November 4, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.