Novosibirsk vs Barys Astana prediction
Chance to win · 31% and 47% in regulation
Krasotkin A.StartedSV 92.2% · GAA 2.60 · 3-5-2
Shutov A.StartedSV 92.2% · GAA 2.60 · 5-4-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2WonBarys Astanaodds down 2.44Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.29Confidence 74%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonBarys Astana +1.5odds down 1.28Confidence 73%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonBarys Astanaodds down 1.88Confidence 61%
- Double chanceWonBarys Astana or draw1.51Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonBarys Astanaodds down 1.89Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.11Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDraw2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.19Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Novosibirsk 1–3
Barys Astana Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–3After 60 min0–15%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–022%chance
- Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals3rd · 1 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-3
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-2
- Likeliest 1-3 (5%), 1-4 (4%), 1-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formNovosibirsk
Barys Astana
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Novosibirsk 4–1
Barys Astana - Oct 12, 2026: Barys Astana 2, Novosibirsk 3.
- Sep 7, 2026: Barys Astana 7, Novosibirsk 1.
- Mar 20, 2026: Novosibirsk 2, Barys Astana 1, after a shootout.
- Dec 7, 2025: Barys Astana 1, Novosibirsk 2, after a shootout.
- Dec 1, 2025: Novosibirsk 4, Barys Astana 1.
Last five games
Novosibirsk
3-1-1 - Win, 4–2 at Salavat Ufa, Oct 14. Odds: Salavat Ufa 1.74, Novosibirsk 3.75.
- Win, 3–2 at Barys Astana, Oct 12. Odds: Barys Astana 1.98, Novosibirsk 3.10.
- Win, 2–1 at Tractor Chelyabinsk, Oct 10. Odds: Tractor 1.92, Novosibirsk 3.30.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Salavat Ufa, after overtime, Oct 7.
- Loss, 2–3 at Niznekamsk, Oct 4.
Barys Astana
4-1-0 - Win, 4–1 against Yekaterinburg, Oct 14. Odds: Barys Astana 2.45, Yekaterinburg 2.37.
- Loss, 2–3 against Novosibirsk, Oct 12. Odds: Barys Astana 1.98, Novosibirsk 3.10.
- Win, 5–1 against Avangard Omsk, Oct 10. Odds: Barys Astana 3.05, Avangard Omsk 2.00.
- Win, 4–3 at Spartak Moscow, after a shootout, Oct 4.
- Win, 5–4 at Niznekamsk, after overtime, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 09:25 2 min Barys Astana: Bailey J. Boarding
- 14:30 2 min Barys Astana: Sarkenov A. Hooking
2nd period0-0
- 04:11 2 min Barys Astana: Morelli M. Slashing
- 06:44 2 min Barys Astana: Priskie C. Slashing
- 07:30 2 min Novosibirsk: Yaremchuk A. Roughing
- 07:30 2 min Barys Astana: Morelli M. Roughing
- 13:51 2 min Novosibirsk: Lyuzenkov I. Hooking
- 18:43 2 min Novosibirsk: Tyutnev P. Holding the stick
3rd period0-1
- 05:15 2 min Novosibirsk: Sushko M. Interference
- 07:16 Goal Barys Astana: Morelli M. assists: Day L., Lyapunov K. 0-1
- 07:16 2 min Novosibirsk: — Delay of game
- 13:19 2 min Barys Astana: Morelli M. Holding
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Novosibirsk coming into this game.
- 1-3-2 at home for Novosibirsk this season.
- In goal: Krasotkin A. for Novosibirsk (3-5-2 in the last 10 starts), Shutov A. for Barys Astana (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Novosibirsk.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Barys Astana.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NOV) | 2.57 | 2.64 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.90 | 3.90 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (BAR) | 2.36 | 2.30 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap NOV | −0.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Chernyshev Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salavat Ufa |
25 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 26 | .520 | 72 | 73 | −1 |
| 2 |  Avangard Omsk |
23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 26 | .565 | 46 | 55 | −9 |
| 3 |  Khabarovsk |
23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 46 | 38 | +8 |
| 4 | Barys Astana |
24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 25 | .521 | 76 | 66 | +10 |
| 5 |  Vladivostok |
23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 61 | 64 | −3 |
| 6 | Novosibirsk |
26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 22 | .423 | 58 | 77 | −19 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Novosibirsk host Barys Astana in the KHL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.