Nurnberg Ice Tigers vs Krefeld Pinguine prediction
Chance to win · 56% and 25% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonNurnbergodds down 2.36Confidence 53%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.41Confidence 65%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonNurnberg +1.5odds down 1.27Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonNurnbergodds down 1.86Confidence 58%
- Double chanceWonNurnberg or drawodds down 1.48Confidence 65%
- Draw no betWonNurnbergodds down 1.84Confidence 60%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonNurnbergodds down 2.75Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.85Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 24% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 9% since they opened; the odds drifted 18% since they opened; the odds drifted 13% since they opened; the odds drifted 22% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 14% since they opened.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min7–25%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period3–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (5%), 5-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Last five games
- Win, 6–2 against Munchen, Oct 18. Odds: Nurnberg 2.75, Munchen 2.01.
- Loss, 1–2 at Bremerhaven, Oct 16. Odds: Bremerhaven 2.10, Nurnberg 2.84.
- Loss, 2–4 at Kolner, Oct 11.
- Loss, 2–5 against Adler Mannheim, Oct 9. Odds: Nurnberg 2.90, Mannheim 1.94.
- Loss, 1–4 at Eisbaren Berlin, Oct 4.
- Loss, 0–4 against Eisbaren Berlin, Oct 18. Odds: Krefeld 3.55, Berlin 1.65.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Grizzly Wolfsburg, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Wolfsburg 1.94, Krefeld 3.21.
- Loss, 1–2 against Augsburger Panther, Oct 11.
- Win, 5–2 at Frankfurt Lowen, Oct 8.
- Loss, 2–3 at Iserlohn Roosters, Oct 4.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-1
- 01:18 Goal Krefeld Pinguine: Kero T. assists: Gildon M. 0-1
- 14:10 Goal Nurnberg Ice Tigers: Dove-McFalls S. assists: Dufour W., Heigl N. 1-1
- 16:03 2 min Krefeld Pinguine: Mebus O. Holding
- 16:38 Goal PPG Nurnberg Ice Tigers: Magera A. assists: Heigl T., Dove-McFalls S. 2-1
- 18:55 Goal Nurnberg Ice Tigers: Heigl T. assists: Jones R., Karrer J. 3-1
- 19:12 2 min Nurnberg Ice Tigers: Karrer J. Hooking
2nd period0-1
- 05:08 2 min Nurnberg Ice Tigers: Samanski No. Cross checking
- 06:20 2 min Nurnberg Ice Tigers: Heigl T. Tripping
- 18:43 Goal Krefeld Pinguine: Percy S. assists: Gogulla P., Santos M. 3-2
3rd period4-0
- 00:27 Goal Nurnberg Ice Tigers: Barratt E. assists: Heigl T., Cates J. 4-2
- 01:53 Goal Nurnberg Ice Tigers: Dove-McFalls S. assists: Heigl N., Dufour W. 5-2
- 03:02 2 min Nurnberg Ice Tigers: Braun C. High sticking
- 03:30 2 min Krefeld Pinguine: Gogulla P. Delay of game
- 09:32 2 min Krefeld Pinguine: Santos M. Interference
- 14:10 Goal Nurnberg Ice Tigers: Dufour W. assists: Heigl N. 6-2
- 14:24 2 min Krefeld Pinguine: Payerl A. Slashing
- 15:20 Goal PPG Nurnberg Ice Tigers: Heigl T. assists: Cates J., Jones R. 7-2
- 17:18 2 min Nurnberg Ice Tigers: Magera A. High sticking
- 18:43 2 min Nurnberg Ice Tigers: Weber M. Cross checking
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Krefeld Pinguine coming into this game.
- In goal: Treutle N. for Nurnberg Ice Tigers (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Jatkola J. for Krefeld Pinguine (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
- +1.6 goals at home — Nurnberg Ice Tigers averaged 4.0 at home and 2.4 away this season.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Nurnberg Ice Tigers.
- 3rd vs 11th in the DEL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NIT) | 1.66 | 1.71 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.75 | 4.75 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KRE) | 3.80 | 3.50 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap NIT | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
DEL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 1.143 | 50 | 24 | +26 | |
| 2 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 1.000 | 53 | 38 | +15 | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 28 | .933 | 56 | 34 | +22 | |
| 4 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .964 | 42 | 42 | 0 | |
| 5 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 26 | .929 | 52 | 41 | +11 | |
| 6 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | .833 | 57 | 53 | +4 | |
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 20 | .667 | 45 | 53 | −8 | |
| 8 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 19 | .679 | 43 | 42 | +1 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 19 | .679 | 32 | 37 | −5 | |
| 10 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | .607 | 32 | 33 | −1 | |
| 11 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 17 | .567 | 38 | 45 | −7 | |
| 12 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 17 | .567 | 36 | 51 | −15 | |
| 13 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 16 | .500 | 37 | 60 | −23 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 13 | .464 | 32 | 52 | −20 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation - DEL2
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Nurnberg Ice Tigers host Krefeld Pinguine in the DEL on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.