Ohio State Buckeyes vs Michigan Wolverines prediction
Chance to win · 26% and 55% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Full game
- 1X2LostMichiganodds down 1.26Confidence 57%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU7.5odds down 1.32Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonOhio State +3.5odds up 1.40Confidence 76%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonMichiganodds down 1.11Confidence 68%
- Double chanceWonMichigan or draw1.07Confidence 75%
- Draw no betPushMichiganodds down 1.09Confidence 71%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.16Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostMichiganodds down 1.73Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.70Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Ohio State 1–4
Michigan Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min4–46%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–010%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (6%), 2-5 (6%), 2-4 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonOhio State Buckeyes
Michigan Wolverines
Head-to-head
Ohio State 1–4
Michigan - Oct 31, 2026: Ohio State Buckeyes 5, Michigan Wolverines 2.
- Mar 21, 2026: Michigan Wolverines 7, Ohio State Buckeyes 3.
- Jan 31, 2026: Ohio State Buckeyes 2, Michigan Wolverines 3, after overtime.
- Jan 30, 2026: Ohio State Buckeyes 4, Michigan Wolverines 6.
- Nov 22, 2025: Michigan Wolverines 8, Ohio State Buckeyes 1.
Last five games
Ohio State
3-2-0 - Win, 5–2 against Michigan Wolverines, Oct 31. Odds: Ohio State 7.10, Michigan 1.30.
- Loss, 3–4 against Augustana Vikings, Oct 24. Odds: Ohio State 2.36, Augustana 2.14.
- Win, 5–1 at Sacred Heart Pioneers, Oct 17. Odds: Sacred Heart 2.40, Ohio State 2.20.
- Loss, 3–5 at Sacred Heart Pioneers, Oct 16. Odds: Sacred Heart 2.62, Ohio State 1.95.
- Win, 3–2 at Rensselaer Engineers, Oct 10.
Michigan
4-1-0 - Loss, 2–5 at Ohio State Buckeyes, Oct 31. Odds: Ohio State 7.10, Michigan 1.30.
- Win, 3–2 against Western Michigan Broncos, Oct 23. Odds: Michigan 1.80, W. Michigan 3.35.
- Win, 4–3 at Denver Pioneers, Oct 17. Odds: Denver 2.55, Michigan 1.98.
- Win, 4–1 at Denver Pioneers, Oct 16. Odds: Denver 2.12, Michigan 2.32.
- Win, 7–2 against Alaska Anchorage, Oct 10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Ohio State Buckeyes and Michigan Wolverines played yesterday.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Michigan Wolverines.
- −3.3 goals away — Michigan Wolverines averaged 6.8 at home and 3.5 away this season.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Michigan Wolverines.
- 8.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (OSB) | 7.40 | 7.60 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.50 | 5.40 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (MIC) | 1.28 | 1.26 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap OSB | +2.5 | +2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Big Ten
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Golden Gophers |
30 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 122 | 2.033 | 0 |
| 2 | Michigan Wolverines |
30 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 123 | 2.050 | 0 |
| 3 |  Penn State Nittany Lions |
30 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 105 | 1.750 | 0 |
| 4 | Ohio State Buckeyes |
29 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 1.603 | 0 |
| 5 |  Michigan State Spartans |
32 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 92 | 1.438 | 0 |
| 6 |  Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
30 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 1.133 | 0 |
| 7 |  Wisconsin Badgers |
30 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 1.233 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Ohio State Buckeyes host Michigan Wolverines in the NCAA on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.