Olomouc vs Karlovy Vary prediction
Chance to win · 24% and 56% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Full game
- 1X2WonKarlovy Varyodds down 2.22Confidence 57%
- Over/UnderWonO3.5odds down 1.31Confidence 72%
- HandicapLostOlomouc +1.5odds up 1.30Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKarlovy Varyodds down 1.75Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonKarlovy Vary or drawodds down 1.40Confidence 77%
- Draw no betWonKarlovy Varyodds down 1.69Confidence 72%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.14Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonKarlovy Varyodds down 2.75Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.15Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min0–54%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–11st period0–119%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-1, 2-1, 0-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 16, 2026: Olomouc 1, Karlovy Vary 5.
- Dec 5, 2025: Karlovy Vary 4, Olomouc 2.
- Oct 19, 2025: Olomouc 5, Karlovy Vary 3.
- Sep 14, 2025: Karlovy Vary 2, Olomouc 4.
- Mar 2, 2025: Karlovy Vary 4, Olomouc 1.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–3 at Mountfield HK, Oct 11. Odds: Hradec Kralove 1.56, Olomouc 4.60.
- Loss, 1–3 at Litvinov, Oct 9. Odds: Litvinov 1.79, Olomouc 3.45.
- Loss, 0–9 against Trinec, Oct 4.
- Loss, 0–2 at Liberec, Oct 2.
- Loss, 3–4 against Vitkovice, Sep 29.
- Win, 3–1 against Kladno, Oct 11. Odds: Karlovy Vary 1.76, Kladno 3.65.
- Loss, 0–5 at Liberec, Oct 9. Odds: Liberec 2.10, Karlovy Vary 2.75.
- Win, 4–1 against Plzen, Oct 4.
- Win, 3–0 at Vitkovice, Oct 2.
- Win, 1–0 at Sparta Prague, Sep 28.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 18:09 Goal Karlovy Vary: Stastny D. assists: Jones N., Bambula J. 0-1
2nd period0-2
- 01:05 2 min Olomouc: Senyshyn Z. High sticking
- 03:44 2 min Olomouc: Freibergs R. Holding
- 08:03 Goal Karlovy Vary: Winberg T. assists: Jones N., Bambula J. 0-2
- 09:48 Goal Karlovy Vary: Beranek O. assists: Cernoch J. 0-3
- 18:03 2 min Karlovy Vary: Lukosik A. Roughing
3rd period0-2
- 11:41 2 min Karlovy Vary: Sapousek R. Roughing
- 16:07 2 min Olomouc: Berglund C. Tripping
- 17:06 Goal PPG Karlovy Vary: Cernoch J. assists: Sapousek R., Stastny D. 0-4
- 19:24 Goal Karlovy Vary: Tomek P. assists: Egle H., Sapousek R. 0-5
- 19:39 2 min Olomouc: Cosgrove T. Roughing
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Olomouc coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Karlovy Vary dropped from 1.80 to 1.60 since they were first published.
- 1-4-0 at home for Olomouc this season.
- In goal: Machovsky M. for Olomouc (2-6-2 in the last 10 starts), Frodl D. for Karlovy Vary (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.3 per game — Olomouc −1.8, Karlovy Vary +0.5 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (OLO) | 3.03 | 3.13 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.12 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (KAR) | 2.05 | 2.00 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
| Handicap OLO | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 7 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 | |
| 10 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 | |
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 | |
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 | |
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Olomouc host Karlovy Vary in the Extraliga on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.